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Olimpia Milano vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 61-66
9-19 18-18 13-22 21-7
Position#12
Record6-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game76.6
Olimpia Milano
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Position#9
Record10-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game77.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 19
European cup2022
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas
12 Nov 2026
MIL v ZAL
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
MIL82
ZAL86
17 Oct 2024
MIL82
ZAL85
30 Nov 2023
MIL70
ZAL83
13 Jan 2023
MIL61
ZAL66
28 Jan 2022
MIL65
ZAL58
20 Nov 2020
MIL98
ZAL92
24 Jan 2019
MIL80
ZAL70
09 Nov 2017
MIL62
ZAL94
29 Dec 2016
MIL70
ZAL78
24 Oct 2013
MIL82
ZAL75
07 Dec 2012
MIL65
ZAL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
63avg 71
H13/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
71-67
71
67
+4
64avg 71
A15/12
Euroleague
Trento
#7
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 71
A18/12
Lega A
Monaco
#4
W
79-71
79
71
+8
71avg 71
H23/12
Euroleague
Varese
#4
W
96-84
96
84
+12
101avg 71
H26/12
Lega A
Valencia
#13
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 71
H29/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
96-74
96
74
+22
95avg 71
A02/01
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
66-82
66
82
-16
66avg 71
A06/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#12
L
81-87 OT
81
87
-6
no box
A08/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#17
L
63-83
63
83
-20
54avg 71
A10/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
19-11
19-27
12-18
26-16
17-13
14-20
14-18
16-21
12-18
19-18
28-20
24-21
10-26
17-15
28-9
36-21
21-11
25-28
14-24
29-22
21-21
21-17
19-19
19-15
21-17
25-18
31-24
15-27
23-17
6-15
22-23
18-23
19-18
21-11
17-23
12-20
21-25
18-15
12-23
156.9Avg total
78.8Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)70.176.6146.7-6.533%
Season at home (8)71.677.0148.6-5.425%
Season away (10)68.976.3145.2-7.440%
Last 10 (10)78.878.1156.9+0.750%
Last 5 (5)79.281.0160.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.978.9145.8-12.012%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.476.0151.4-0.650%
vs Weaker (12)83.873.8157.6+10.175%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
73-77
73
77
-4
68avg 76
A13/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
81-72
81
72
+9
70avg 76
H15/12
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H18/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
89-71
89
71
+18
93avg 76
A21/12
LKL
Bayern
#16
W
75-67
75
67
+8
68avg 76
H23/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
82-84
82
84
-2
75avg 76
A29/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#6
W
95-79
95
79
+16
no box
A02/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Fenerbahce
#7
W
86-66
86
66
+20
no box
H05/01
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
77-46
77
46
+31
75avg 76
H08/01
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
87-77
87
77
+10
81avg 76
A10/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
15-22
21-20
15-21
18-21
19-14
19-20
25-17
24-12
8-25
27-14
26-26
20-14
17-19
33-17
19-21
26-21
18-14
16-13
15-19
26-17
23-25
15-18
18-24
26-21
22-14
28-25
19-19
21-15
20-15
26-10
19-26
12-13
19-13
25-15
21-5
24-13
16-23
20-24
27-17
154.6Avg total
83.0Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.677.6155.1+0.056%
Season at home (9)74.372.4146.8+1.978%
Season away (9)80.882.7163.4-1.933%
Last 10 (10)83.071.6154.6+11.480%
Last 5 (5)85.470.4155.8+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.682.8159.4-6.240%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.174.7150.8+1.464%
vs Weaker (14)88.072.1160.1+15.993%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
Olimpia MilanoZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H13/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A15/12
Euroleague
Trento
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A18/12
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H23/12
Euroleague
Varese
#4
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H26/12
Lega A
Valencia
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H29/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A02/01
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A06/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#17
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A10/01
Euroleague
78.4Avg total
40.0Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.777.1+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.237.278.3+4.062%-
Last 30 away (17)38.038.176.1-0.141%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.478.4+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.080.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.039.976.9-2.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.838.375.1-1.540%-
vs Weaker (12)43.135.878.8+7.367%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A13/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H15/12
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H18/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A21/12
LKL
Bayern
#16
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H23/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A29/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A02/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Fenerbahce
#7
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H05/01
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H08/01
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A10/01
Euroleague
74.1Avg total
39.6Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.136.576.6+3.573%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.235.073.2+3.269%-
Last 30 away (14)42.238.380.5+3.979%-
Last 10 (10)39.634.574.1+5.190%-
Last 5 (5)41.833.875.6+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.240.079.2-0.860%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.936.973.8+0.055%-
vs Weaker (14)42.935.077.9+7.993%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.5
55.7%
53.5%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.7
35.7%
36.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.513.7
74.1%
78.5%13.7
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.7
53.9%
53.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.3
37.7%
36.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.014.8
77.9%
78.5%14.8
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LLLWWWWLWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWLWWWWL
#12
League position
#9
+4.4
Net rating
+17.5
111.0
Offensive rating
115.4
106.6
Defensive rating
97.9
54.7%
Effective FG%
54.9%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
18.8%
Turnover %
18.2%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.7%
3-point %
37.7%
58.8%
Assist %
59.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 115.4Defence106.6 · 97.9Shooting54.7% · 54.9%3-point %35.7% · 37.7%Ball care18.8% · 18.2%Off. rebounds30.2% · 35.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olimpia Milano wins
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
18/11/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano71-62
08/02/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano70-74
28/01/22Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas65-58
05/03/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano64-69
20/11/20Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas98-92
24/01/19Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas80-70
29/11/18Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano83-78
20/03/18Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano77-65
09/11/17Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas62-94
31/03/17Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano84-88
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/23AAlba Berlin63-83
08/01/23ABasket Napoli81-87 OT
06/01/23AOlympiacos66-82
02/01/23AVirtus Bologna96-74
29/12/22HValencia90-79
26/12/22HVarese96-84
23/12/22HMonaco79-71
18/12/22ATrento75-77
15/12/22ACrvena zvezda71-67
13/12/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv71-77
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/23AVirtus Bologna87-77
08/01/23HNeptunas77-46
05/01/23HFenerbahce86-66
02/01/23ABC Wolves95-79
29/12/22AMonaco82-84
23/12/22HBayern75-67
21/12/22AGargzdai89-71
18/12/22HLietkabelis85-77
15/12/22HReal Madrid81-72
13/12/22ACrvena zvezda73-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL33%
HomeLLLWW25%
AwayLLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %33%25%40%
Points / game70.171.668.9
Allowed / game76.677.076.3
Point differential-6.5-5.4-7.4
Avg total146.7148.6145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %11%12%10%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW56%
HomeLLWWW78%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%78%33%
Points / game77.674.380.8
Allowed / game77.672.482.7
Point differential+0.0+1.9-1.9
Avg total155.1146.8163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%11%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1913668%84.477.1+7.4
2 Barcelona1812667%80.477.2+3.2
3 Olympiacos1912763%85.276.8+8.4
4 Fenerbahce1912763%83.278.6+4.5
5 Monaco1912763%80.781.4-0.7
6 Baskonia1811761%85.581.3+4.2
7 Zalgiris Kaunas1810856%77.677.6+0.0
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv1910953%81.381.9-0.6
9 Crvena zvezda1910953%75.977.9-2.0
10 Anadolu Efes189950%81.777.7+4.0
11 Valencia1991047%81.083.4-2.4
12 Partizan1881044%84.385.2-0.9
13 Virtus Bologna1981142%77.581.3-3.7
14 Bayern1971237%75.778.3-2.5
15 Panathinaikos1971237%79.383.7-4.4
16 Olimpia Milano1861233%70.176.6-6.5
17 Alba Berlin1961332%81.283.2-2.0
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne1961332%74.479.9-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano918132161
Zalgiris Kaunas191822766
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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