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Bendigo W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 81-77
19-12 15-20 23-19 24-26
Position#5
Record2-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game75.7
Bendigo W 🏆
Australia
vs
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
Position#7
Record2-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game74.4
AustraliaNBL W· Bendigo Stadium
Women2023-24
Meetings · Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W
19 Dec 2025
BEND75
ADEL67
30 Nov 2025
BEND71
ADEL65
24 Jan 2025
BEND65
ADEL59
02 Nov 2024
BEND84
ADEL70
10 Jan 2024
BEND96
ADEL68
15 Dec 2023
BEND81
ADEL77
10 Dec 2022
BEND84
ADEL75
24 Feb 2022
BEND77
ADEL84
25 Nov 2020
BEND83
ADEL89
01 Nov 2019
BEND67
ADEL54
10 Jan 2019
BEND81
ADEL92
03 Nov 2018
BEND70
ADEL52
27 Oct 2017
BEND66
ADEL79
27 Nov 2016
BEND69
ADEL51
08 Oct 2016
BEND77
ADEL63
14 Feb 2016
BEND78
ADEL92
11 Jan 2015
BEND75
ADEL64
06 Dec 2014
BEND81
ADEL55
30 Nov 2013
BEND78
ADEL65
11 Oct 2013
BEND65
ADEL59
24 Nov 2012
BEND68
ADEL62
04 Feb 2012
BEND87
ADEL97
05 Nov 2011
BEND72
ADEL81
18 Feb 2011
BEND84
ADEL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bendigo WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#4
W
75-64
75
64
+11
no box
H22/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
W
97-96
97
96
+1
no box
H05/08
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
H12/08
NBL1 South Women
Townsville W
#2
L
80-93
80
93
-13
80avg 62
H04/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
62-68
62
68
-6
51avg 62
H10/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
76-86
76
86
-10
65avg 62
A17/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
74-76
74
76
-2
67avg 62
A19/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
82-66
82
66
+16
78avg 62
H25/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
70-65 OT
70
65
+5
no box
A02/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
51-76
51
76
-25
33avg 62
A09/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
26-14
19-16
14-18
24-24
30-17
14-25
29-30
19-21
21-20
26-21
17-16
22-25
18-21
21-27
19-20
12-12
8-23
23-13
19-20
20-24
22-22
14-21
20-19
30-16
11-11
21-23
12-26
17-18
20-28
28-9
17-11
19-15
9-8
22-15
10-22
7-17
14-22
17-24
13-13
151.8Avg total
75.0Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.775.7146.4-5.029%
Season at home (3)74.775.7150.3-1.033%
Season away (4)67.875.8143.5-8.025%
Last 10 (10)75.076.8151.8-1.850%
Last 5 (5)70.673.8144.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)70.877.5148.3-6.717%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)89.170.0159.1+19.1100%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
93-97
93
97
-4
no box
H02/03
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
60-68
60
68
-8
53avg 58
H01/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
82-79
82
79
+3
71avg 58
A05/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
86avg 58
A11/11
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
67-56
67
56
+11
49avg 58
H18/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
51-74
51
74
-23
36avg 58
H23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
61-67
61
67
-6
52avg 58
A29/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
65-70 OT
65
70
-5
no box
H02/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
64-66
64
66
-2
56avg 58
H06/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
no box
H10/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
18-32
27-25
28-15
24-13
11-13
13-25
12-17
31-20
27-23
12-16
12-20
27-17
17-25
28-24
13-26
14-15
25-11
8-9
20-21
14-27
11-11
17-22
9-14
19-15
11-19
21-16
10-17
15-19
8-9
15-22
22-10
21-21
11-13
12-15
20-17
26-13
23-23
19-25
20-27
149.0Avg total
72.3Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.074.4144.4-4.422%
Season at home (6)67.072.0139.0-5.017%
Season away (3)76.079.3155.3-3.333%
Last 10 (10)72.376.7149.0-4.420%
Last 5 (5)67.275.0142.2-7.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.681.8157.4-6.218%
vs Similar (9)78.783.7162.3-5.011%
vs Weaker (4)85.082.0167.0+3.075%
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
Bendigo WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bendigo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H22/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H05/08
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H12/08
NBL1 South Women
Townsville W
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H04/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
20-35
20
35
-15
H10/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A17/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A19/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H25/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A02/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A09/12
NBL W
73.9Avg total
36.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.736.579.2+6.273%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.037.481.4+6.662%-
Last 30 away (14)41.235.576.7+5.786%-
Last 10 (10)36.537.473.9-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)33.836.270.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)33.539.873.3-6.317%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.035.780.7+9.388%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H02/03
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H01/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A05/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A11/11
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H18/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A29/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H02/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H06/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H10/12
NBL W
73.7Avg total
37.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.780.1-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.238.276.4+0.041%-
Last 30 away (13)41.144.085.1-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)37.336.473.7+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)31.834.065.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.340.779.0-2.429%-
vs Similar (9)40.740.681.2+0.144%-
vs Weaker (4)41.541.082.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bendigo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bendigo W: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.316.5
43.0%
47.3%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.2
30.8%
32.7%24.5
🏀 Free throws19.012.3
64.9%
74.3%12.3
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaide Lightning Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide Lightning W: 66.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.9 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.418.4
43.4%
47.3%36.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.3
27.5%
32.7%18.9
🏀 Free throws15.010.6
70.5%
74.3%10.6
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/7 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bendigo W
LWWLLLLWWW
Adelaide Lightning W
LLLLLWLWLL
#5
League position
#7
-9.0
Net rating
-5.5
94.3
Offensive rating
85.0
103.4
Defensive rating
90.5
44.3%
Effective FG%
42.7%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
43.4%
18.3%
Turnover %
23.0%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.8%
3-point %
27.5%
66.2%
Assist %
63.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence94.3 · 85.0Defence103.4 · 90.5Shooting44.3% · 42.7%3-point %30.8% · 27.5%Ball care18.3% · 23.0%Off. rebounds30.6% · 28.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Bendigo W   ■ Adelaide Lightning W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bendigo W wins
5
Adelaide Lightning W wins
DateGameScore
02/12/23Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W65-70 OT
14/01/23Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W68-86
28/12/22Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W66-78
10/12/22Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W84-75
24/02/22Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W77-84
05/02/22Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W62-74
09/12/20Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W69-59
25/11/20Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W83-89
15/12/19Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W91-75
09/11/19Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W105-77
Bendigo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23ASouthside W51-76
02/12/23AAdelaide Lightning W70-65 OT
25/11/23HSydney W82-66
19/11/23AGeelong United W74-76
17/11/23APerth Lynx W76-86
10/11/23HSydney W62-68
04/11/23HTownsville W80-93
12/08/23HWaverley W83-78
05/08/23HMt. Gambier W97-96
22/07/23HWaverley W75-64
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HPerth Lynx W95-98 OT
06/12/23HSydney W64-66
02/12/23HBendigo W65-70 OT
29/11/23ATownsville W61-67
23/11/23HTownsville W51-74
18/11/23HSouthside W67-56
11/11/23APerth Lynx W85-92
05/11/23ACanberra Capitals W82-79
01/11/23HGeelong United W60-68
02/03/23HPerth Lynx W93-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL29%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game70.774.767.8
Allowed / game75.775.775.8
Point differential-5.0-1.0-8.0
Avg total146.4150.3143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeWLLLL17%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %22%17%33%
Points / game70.067.076.0
Allowed / game74.472.079.3
Point differential-4.4-5.0-3.3
Avg total144.4139.0155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %22%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W87188%84.268.5+15.8
2 Geelong United W86275%78.973.9+5.0
3 Perth Lynx W96367%85.480.8+4.7
4 Southside W85362%79.176.1+3.0
5 Sydney W84450%70.979.6-8.8
6 Bendigo W72529%70.775.7-5.0
7 Adelaide Lightning W92722%70.074.4-4.4
8 Canberra Capitals W91811%74.083.7-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bendigo W1915232481
Adelaide Lightning W1220192677
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