Melbourne United vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Dec 2022

Tip-off: 05:00

Final 88-77

24-19 22-18 18-25 24-15

Position#5

Record7-11

FormLLWLW

Points / game84.9

Allowed / game86.9

Melbourne United 🏆

Illawarra Hawks

Position#10

Record2-13

FormLWLLL

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game91.7

NBL

Other2022-23

Meetings · Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illawarra Hawks winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns Taipans

72-97

-25

A04/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

110-85

110

+25

H06/11

NBL

Adelaide

86-91

-5

H17/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

69-84

-15

A19/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

90-94

-4

H26/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

72-78

-6

A03/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

79-93

-14

A05/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

104-88

104

+16

H10/12

NBL

Perth

89-90

-1

A12/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

92-76

+16

H15/12

NBL

15-15

18-26

10-30

29-26

29-31

23-18

31-18

27-18

20-25

30-26

14-23

22-17

16-17

16-22

14-30

23-15

31-23

22-24

15-23

18-23

20-22

21-18

13-15

25-31

20-22

18-22

16-18

28-23

22-18

21-22

33-25

21-24

24-15

20-22

24-29

21-14

26-22

22-19

23-21

173.9Avg total

86.3Scored

87.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	84.9	86.9	171.8	-1.9	39%
Season at home (11)	87.1	85.5	172.6	+1.5	45%
Season away (7)	81.6	89.0	170.6	-7.4	29%
Last 10 (10)	86.3	87.6	173.9	-1.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	85.0	172.2	+2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	80.3	91.7	172.0	-11.3	33%
vs Similar (15)	83.3	84.7	168.1	-1.4	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	86.0	80.5	166.5	+5.5	67%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

56-82

-26

H24/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

61-86

-25

A27/10

NBL

Melbourne United

100-106 OT

100

106

-6

H29/10

NBL

Adelaide

80-96

-16

H03/11

NBL

Sydney

82-83

-1

A20/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

78-112

112

-34

A27/11

NBL

Melbourne United

93-79

+14

H05/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

72-111

111

-39

A08/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

101-102 OT

101

102

-1

A10/12

NBL

Sydney

79-86

-7

H16/12

NBL

13-22

16-22

13-11

14-27

17-29

13-23

16-21

15-13

20-18

16-17

24-23

25-27

18-26

19-23

21-16

22-31

19-25

20-17

17-23

26-18

17-27

21-27

20-30

20-28

31-25

22-20

22-18

18-16

27-28

23-30

9-29

13-24

27-16

21-27

15-24

24-20

29-21

14-24

17-20

19-21

174.5Avg total

80.2Scored

94.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	79.8	91.7	171.5	-11.9	13%
Season at home (8)	81.5	89.4	170.9	-7.9	25%
Season away (7)	77.9	94.4	172.3	-16.6	0%
Last 10 (10)	80.2	94.3	174.5	-14.1	10%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	98.0	182.6	-13.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	83.8	92.7	176.5	-8.9	20%
vs Similar (5)	67.8	82.8	150.6	-15.0	20%
vs Weaker (10)	92.9	87.2	180.1	+5.7	80%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedIllawarra Hawks

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.9	43.7	-0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.4	22.5	44.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.9	20.9	41.8	+0.0	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	22.6	45.0	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	23.0	45.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	23.7	44.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.9	22.1	44.0	-0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.1	21.1	43.2	+1.0	58%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	23.0	44.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	22.1	44.5	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	23.9	45.3	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	23.7	45.5	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	23.4	49.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	22.9	23.2	46.1	-0.3	47%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.0	24.4	43.4	-5.4	20%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.9	22.0	43.9	-0.1	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.6	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.2	20.1	38.2	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	21.5	43.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.8	42.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.0	22.7	37.7	-7.7	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.7	20.7	41.5	+0.0	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.3	19.5	39.8	+0.8	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	21.2	41.9	-0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	23.0	41.5	-4.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	25.6	45.8	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.3	22.0	42.3	-1.7	53%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.2	17.8	33.0	-2.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.3	20.8	43.1	+1.5	60%	-

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns Taipans

33-41

-8

A04/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

52-49

H06/11

NBL

Adelaide

50-51

-1

H17/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

32-39

-7

A19/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

53-47

H26/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

38-45

-7

A03/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

45-53

-8

A05/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

50-41

H10/12

NBL

Perth

45-39

A12/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

47-36

+11

H15/12

NBL

88.6Avg total

44.5Scored

44.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	42.3	84.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	43.7	43.2	86.8	+0.5	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.1	41.0	80.1	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	44.1	88.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	42.8	87.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.7	46.3	82.0	-10.7	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	42.6	42.9	85.5	-0.3	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	42.4	40.6	83.0	+1.8	50%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

29-44

-15

H24/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

30-52

-22

A27/10

NBL

Melbourne United

36-35

H29/10

NBL

Adelaide

37-49

-12

H03/11

NBL

Sydney

39-42

-3

A20/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

38-54

-16

A27/11

NBL

Melbourne United

53-45

H05/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

50-58

-8

A08/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

48-43

A10/12

NBL

Sydney

43-45

-2

H16/12

NBL

87.0Avg total

40.3Scored

46.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	43.9	85.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.0	42.7	84.7	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.1	45.1	87.2	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	46.7	87.0	-6.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	49.0	95.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	43.2	45.2	88.4	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	34.2	42.2	76.4	-8.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.2	42.8	87.0	+1.4	50%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.7	40.8	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+1.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.1	22.2	41.3	-3.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	22.8	42.1	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.3	22.3	43.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.2	22.2	42.4	-2.0	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.7	42.2	-1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	19.9	42.0	+2.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	23.5	42.3	-4.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	21.5	38.9	-4.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	24.2	40.8	-7.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.1	20.3	39.4	-1.1	47%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.6	20.4	38.0	-2.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.8	24.6	48.4	-0.8	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.9	41.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.7	43.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.6	43.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.9	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.2	20.2	42.4	+2.1	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	22.4	43.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	22.3	43.4	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	22.5	42.9	-2.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	22.5	42.1	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.5	24.9	44.4	-5.3	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.0	20.2	36.2	-4.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.9	19.8	44.7	+5.1	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	40.6	81.8	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	41.9	39.7	81.6	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.0	42.0	82.0	-2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	43.5	85.3	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	42.2	84.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.3	42.3	82.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	40.7	41.9	82.6	-1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	41.8	38.7	80.5	+3.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	44.1	85.3	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.2	42.2	85.4	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	46.1	85.2	-6.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	44.0	81.0	-7.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	46.0	81.4	-10.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	38.7	45.1	83.8	-6.5	27%	-
vs Similar (5)	33.6	40.6	74.2	-7.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (10)	48.7	44.4	93.1	+4.3	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Illawarra Hawks wins

Date	Game	Score
05/12/22	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	93-79
29/10/22	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	100-106 OT
02/04/22	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	90-96
27/03/22	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	77-92
16/01/22	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	84-88
18/05/21	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	87-102
18/04/21	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	87-76
21/03/21	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	75-65
13/03/21	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	77-69
10/02/21	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	88-91

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/12/22	H	South East Melbourne	92-76
12/12/22	A	Perth	89-90
10/12/22	H	Brisbane Bullets	104-88
05/12/22	A	Illawarra Hawks	79-93
03/12/22	A	South East Melbourne	72-78
26/11/22	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	90-94
19/11/22	A	South East Melbourne	69-84
17/11/22	H	Adelaide	86-91
06/11/22	H	South East Melbourne	110-85
04/11/22	A	Cairns Taipans	72-97

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/12/22	H	Sydney	79-86
10/12/22	A	Cairns Taipans	101-102 OT
08/12/22	A	South East Melbourne	72-111
05/12/22	H	Melbourne United	93-79
27/11/22	A	South East Melbourne	78-112
20/11/22	A	Sydney	82-83
03/11/22	H	Adelaide	80-96
29/10/22	H	Melbourne United	100-106 OT
27/10/22	A	Brisbane Bullets	61-86
24/10/22	H	Brisbane Bullets	56-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	39%
Home	WLLWW	45%
Away	LLLLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	11	7
Win %	39%	45%	29%
Points / game	84.9	87.1	81.6
Allowed / game	86.9	85.5	89.0
Point differential	-1.9	+1.5	-7.4
Avg total	171.8	172.6	170.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	36%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	25% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	11%	9%	14%

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2022-23

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	13%
Home	LLLWL	25%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	13%	25%	0%
Points / game	79.8	81.5	77.9
Allowed / game	91.7	89.4	94.4
Point differential	-11.9	-7.9	-16.6
Avg total	171.5	170.9	172.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	-	0% (2)
Overtime %	13%	12%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	16	11	5	69%	87.6	78.4	+9.2
2	Sydney	16	11	5	69%	91.8	86.1	+5.7
3	Cairns Taipans	15	10	5	67%	86.9	83.7	+3.2
4	South East Melbourne	18	11	7	61%	90.7	88.3	+2.4
5	Tasmania JackJumpers	15	8	7	53%	83.1	81.7	+1.4
6	Perth	15	8	7	53%	88.0	88.5	-0.5
7	Adelaide	15	7	8	47%	87.7	89.8	-2.1
8	Melbourne United	18	7	11	39%	84.9	86.9	-1.9
9	Brisbane Bullets	15	4	11	27%	83.7	90.3	-6.5
10	Illawarra Hawks	15	2	13	13%	79.8	91.7	-11.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	24	22	18	24	88
Illawarra Hawks	19	18	25	15	77

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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