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Cairns Taipans vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 79-110
23-36 15-22 22-27 19-25
Position#9
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game90.0
Cairns Taipans
Australia
vs
Adelaide 🏆
Australia
Position#3
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game80.0
AustraliaNBLRound 3· Cairns Convention Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cairns Taipans v Adelaide
12 Feb 2027
CAIR v ADEL
upcoming
09 Dec 2026
CAIR v ADEL
upcoming
18 Oct 2025
CAIR86
ADEL91
02 Oct 2025
CAIR79
ADEL110
19 Jan 2025
CAIR75
ADEL99
28 Sep 2024
CAIR101
ADEL97
13 Jan 2024
CAIR111
ADEL101
30 Jan 2023
CAIR96
ADEL99
31 Dec 2022
CAIR86
ADEL83
18 Dec 2021
CAIR93
ADEL67
09 Feb 2017
CAIR89
ADEL85
12 Dec 2016
CAIR83
ADEL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Taipans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
111-80
111
80
+31
107avg 78
A17/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
75-99
75
99
-24
62avg 78
H19/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
100-94
100
94
+6
91avg 78
H23/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
125-116 OT
125
116
+9
116avg 78
A25/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
92-99
92
99
-7
77avg 78
A01/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
100-88
100
88
+12
99avg 78
H06/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
83-90
83
90
-7
75avg 78
A08/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
77-114
77
114
-37
no box
A20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
83-82
83
82
+1
74avg 78
H26/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
77-74
77
74
+3
69avg 78
A28/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
31-21
20-20
29-15
12-38
25-22
21-22
17-17
31-17
23-20
17-27
29-30
22-18
34-29
17-35
27-18
28-26
21-28
15-25
28-20
32-26
16-22
25-23
27-17
20-26
21-23
19-16
23-25
15-23
20-36
26-29
16-26
21-17
24-24
16-15
22-26
22-18
18-27
21-13
16-16
185.9Avg total
92.3Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.090.0169.0-11.067%
Season at home (1)83.082.0165.0+1.0100%
Season away (2)77.094.0171.0-17.050%
Last 10 (10)92.393.6185.9-1.360%
Last 5 (5)84.089.6173.6-5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)86.597.7184.2-11.226%
vs Similar (11)88.989.5178.4-0.536%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
L
103-110
103
110
-7
98avg 84
A17/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
99-75
99
75
+24
95avg 84
A19/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
105-96
105
96
+9
94avg 84
A24/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
94-78
94
78
+16
92avg 84
H26/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
89-92
89
92
-3
82avg 84
H31/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
99-105
99
105
-6
88avg 84
A02/02
NBL
Perth
#3
L
104-112
104
112
-8
91avg 84
A07/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
95-88
95
88
+7
88avg 84
A13/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
75-85
75
85
-10
63avg 84
A16/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
83avg 84
H28/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
17-30
32-24
30-34
38-12
22-25
22-21
17-17
34-23
18-32
26-18
27-23
27-15
30-20
22-23
15-20
21-22
24-20
18-26
26-24
23-30
20-31
34-18
22-26
27-20
29-29
22-32
26-31
23-22
28-19
18-30
26-17
16-15
29-11
15-28
15-31
27-23
21-24
29-20
10-13
187.1Avg total
95.0Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.080.0167.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)87.080.0167.0+7.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)95.092.1187.1+2.950%
Last 5 (5)92.094.0186.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)95.397.7192.9-2.450%
vs Similar (9)89.193.3182.4-4.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)95.082.7177.7+12.3100%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.2-2.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.2-2.2
Cairns TaipansAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
62-45
62
45
+17
A17/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
37-60
37
60
-23
H19/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H23/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A25/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A01/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H06/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A08/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H26/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A28/09
NBL
95.2Avg total
46.7Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.948.994.8-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.746.491.1-1.750%-
Last 30 away (16)46.951.198.0-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)46.748.595.2-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.848.490.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)44.649.894.4-5.237%-
vs Similar (11)48.147.595.5+0.645%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A17/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
60-37
60
37
+23
A19/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A24/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H26/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H31/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A02/02
NBL
Perth
#3
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A07/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A13/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A16/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H28/09
NBL
94.3Avg total
49.8Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.347.096.3+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.544.894.3+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)49.149.198.3+0.040%-
Last 10 (10)49.844.594.3+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)48.644.893.4+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)50.547.898.3+2.756%-
vs Similar (9)46.745.091.7+1.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)50.347.798.0+2.767%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 94.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.622.9
53.8%
54.6%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.6
33.9%
33.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws22.516.4
72.9%
74.8%16.4
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 94.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.025.4
57.7%
54.6%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.9
34.2%
33.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.316.5
81.3%
74.8%16.5
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cairns Taipans
WWLLWLWWLW
Adelaide
WLWLLLWWWL
#9
League position
#3
+0.5
Net rating
+2.6
113.1
Offensive rating
115.5
112.6
Defensive rating
112.9
52.5%
Effective FG%
55.4%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
13.1%
Turnover %
12.4%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
20.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.9%
3-point %
34.2%
57.0%
Assist %
51.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 115.5Defence112.6 · 112.9Shooting52.5% · 55.4%3-point %33.9% · 34.2%Ball care13.1% · 12.4%Off. rebounds27.1% · 20.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Cairns Taipans   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cairns Taipans wins
6
Adelaide wins
DateGameScore
19/01/25Cairns Taipans v Adelaide75-99
25/10/24Adelaide v Cairns Taipans99-93 OT
28/09/24Cairns Taipans v Adelaide101-97
27/01/24Adelaide v Cairns Taipans88-71
13/01/24Cairns Taipans v Adelaide111-101 OT
09/12/23Adelaide v Cairns Taipans101-116
30/01/23Cairns Taipans v Adelaide96-99
31/12/22Cairns Taipans v Adelaide86-83
02/12/22Adelaide v Cairns Taipans78-75
18/03/22Adelaide v Cairns Taipans83-57
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25ASydney77-74
26/09/25HBrisbane Bullets83-82
20/09/25ASouth East Melbourne77-114
08/02/25ATasmania JackJumpers83-90
06/02/25HBrisbane Bullets100-88
01/02/25ANew Zealand Breakers92-99
25/01/25APerth125-116 OT
23/01/25HIllawarra Hawks100-94
19/01/25HAdelaide75-99
17/01/25ABrisbane Bullets111-80
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25HBrisbane Bullets87-80
16/02/25ASouth East Melbourne75-85
13/02/25ASydney95-88
07/02/25APerth104-112
02/02/25ASouth East Melbourne99-105
31/01/25HBrisbane Bullets89-92
26/01/25HNew Zealand Breakers94-78
24/01/25ASydney105-96
19/01/25ACairns Taipans99-75
17/01/25APerth103-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Taipans
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game79.083.077.0
Allowed / game90.082.094.0
Point differential-11.0+1.0-17.0
Avg total169.0165.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game87.087.0-
Allowed / game80.080.0-
Point differential+7.0+7.0-
Avg total167.0167.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United330100%101.783.0+18.7
2 Adelaide110100%87.080.0+7.0
3 Tasmania JackJumpers32167%83.382.0+1.3
4 Cairns Taipans32167%79.090.0-11.0
5 South East Melbourne21150%98.590.0+8.5
6 Perth21150%80.576.5+4.0
7 Brisbane Bullets31233%88.788.3+0.3
8 Sydney1010%74.077.0-3.0
9 Illawarra Hawks1010%86.091.0-5.0
10 New Zealand Breakers3030%85.0102.3-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Taipans2315221979
Adelaide36222725110
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