Adelaide vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	94.0	96.4	190.4	-2.4	48%
Season at home (13)	92.8	91.6	184.5	+1.2	62%
Season away (12)	95.2	101.5	196.8	-6.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	98.0	98.3	196.3	-0.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	100.2	94.6	194.8	+5.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	93.5	95.9	189.4	-2.4	56%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	87.9	93.7	181.6	-5.8	33%
vs Weaker (3)	98.3	89.7	188.0	+8.7	67%

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBreakers

Date

Competition

Sydney

84-92

-8

71avg 77

H20/12

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

82-97

-15

75avg 77

A25/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

92-68

+24

92avg 77

A31/12

NBL

Perth

86-96

-10

85avg 77

H05/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

74-83

-9

62avg 77

A08/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

100-108

100

108

-8

96avg 77

A11/01

NBL

Melbourne United

89-91

-2

78avg 77

H13/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

85-75

+10

85avg 77

H16/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

89-102

102

-13

81avg 77

A18/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

87-93

-6

80avg 77

H24/01

NBL

19-15

32-29

18-23

15-25

18-20

21-22

19-22

24-33

21-15

26-22

25-17

20-14

24-30

20-25

28-19

14-22

17-15

18-23

15-20

24-25

28-35

20-34

22-19

30-20

26-25

16-16

29-21

18-29

19-8

20-37

22-17

24-13

17-30

27-19

21-27

24-26

19-21

21-25

23-20

24-27

177.3Avg total

86.8Scored

90.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	85.6	91.1	176.7	-5.5	35%
Season at home (13)	84.0	89.5	173.5	-5.5	38%
Season away (13)	87.2	92.7	179.9	-5.5	31%
Last 10 (10)	86.8	90.5	177.3	-3.7	20%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	93.8	183.8	-3.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	87.3	95.4	182.7	-8.1	29%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	85.0	85.5	170.5	-0.5	47%
vs Weaker (1)	70.0	76.0	146.0	-6.0	0%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaideNew Zealand Breakers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.1	24.1	49.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.2	22.8	47.0	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	26.1	25.6	51.7	+0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.1	21.7	49.8	+6.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.2	22.4	52.6	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	26.0	23.1	49.1	+2.9	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.6	26.8	48.3	-5.2	11%	-
vs Weaker (3)	30.3	22.3	52.7	+8.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	22.8	43.3	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	21.9	43.2	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	23.7	43.4	-3.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	23.8	45.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.2	26.1	46.4	-5.9	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	17.0	31.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	23.9	47.2	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.8	21.8	45.6	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.8	26.4	49.1	-3.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	25.8	49.1	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	23.2	46.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	22.9	25.2	48.1	-2.2	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	24.6	19.7	44.2	+4.9	78%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	29.0	51.0	-7.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	22.7	45.2	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	22.6	44.7	-0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.0	22.7	45.7	+0.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	25.2	47.3	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	26.2	47.0	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	22.8	22.1	44.9	+0.7	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.5	23.4	45.9	-0.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	100%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

38-56

-18

A21/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

48-51

-3

H24/12

NBL

Perth

42-55

-13

H28/12

NBL

Sydney

62-43

+19

A30/12

NBL

Melbourne United

55-42

+13

H04/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

53-41

+12

A10/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

63-43

+20

H13/01

NBL

Perth

41-52

-11

A17/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

60-37

+23

A19/01

NBL

Sydney

52-55

-3

A24/01

NBL

98.9Avg total

51.4Scored

47.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.4	48.0	96.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	48.0	44.6	92.6	+3.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	48.9	51.9	100.9	-3.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	51.4	47.5	98.9	+3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.8	45.6	99.4	+8.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	48.9	48.2	97.2	+0.7	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	46.1	46.4	92.6	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	52.3	51.3	103.7	+1.0	33%	-

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

51-44

H20/12

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

39-42

-3

A25/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

47-37

+10

A31/12

NBL

Perth

44-55

-11

H05/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

35-38

-3

A08/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

48-69

-21

A11/01

NBL

Melbourne United

42-41

H13/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

39-45

-6

H16/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

44-49

-5

A18/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

40-46

-6

H24/01

NBL

89.5Avg total

42.9Scored

46.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	45.5	88.6	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.4	44.5	87.9	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.8	46.4	89.1	-3.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	46.6	89.5	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	50.0	92.6	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	43.0	48.2	91.2	-5.2	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	43.7	43.5	87.2	+0.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	37.0	72.0	-2.0	0%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	22.0	43.9	-0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	20.1	40.4	+0.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.7	24.1	47.9	-0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	22.8	46.7	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.2	43.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	22.9	22.4	45.4	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.8	22.3	42.1	-2.6	22%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	18.0	40.3	+4.3	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.5	41.8	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	20.6	42.6	+1.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.5	42.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.8	44.2	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	23.3	21.9	45.2	+1.4	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+0.9	53%	-
vs Weaker (1)	12.0	21.0	33.0	-9.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	24.2	45.5	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	23.2	45.1	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	25.4	45.9	-4.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	27.1	49.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	26.0	48.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	21.6	25.3	46.9	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.1	23.9	45.0	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	23.8	45.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	24.2	44.1	-4.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.3	23.5	45.8	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	23.4	45.1	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	23.0	47.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	21.0	25.3	46.3	-4.3	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.3	22.9	44.1	-1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	18.0	41.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	46.2	89.4	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.3	43.2	85.6	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.3	49.5	93.8	-5.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	49.9	95.7	-4.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	47.2	92.0	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	44.6	47.7	92.3	-3.2	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	40.9	46.2	87.1	-5.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	42.3	36.7	79.0	+5.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	44.3	86.8	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	44.8	86.7	-2.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.0	43.9	86.9	-0.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	43.9	87.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	43.8	91.2	+3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	44.3	47.2	91.5	-2.9	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	41.3	42.0	83.3	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	39.0	74.0	-4.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 97.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.9	25.2	53.7%	52.3%	50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	9.6	37.5%	35.1%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	23.4	18.0	76.9%	74.7%	18.0

They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 85.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	23.6	60.4%	52.3%	47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	8.0	31.2%	35.1%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	22.4	14.6	65.2%	74.7%	14.6

They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.5	22.9	51.5%	52.3%	45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.7	12.6	35.3%	35.1%	37.8
🏀 Free throws	18.9	14.1	74.6%	74.7%	14.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	21.2	52.0%	52.3%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	10.1	33.9%	35.1%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	22.8	17.0	74.6%	74.7%	17.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.0	23.7	51.4%	52.3%	47.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	8.8	35.3%	35.1%	26.3
🏀 Free throws	23.9	18.0	75.4%	74.7%	18.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	22.5	56.5%	52.3%	44.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	8.5	31.8%	35.1%	25.4
🏀 Free throws	20.0	14.2	71.3%	74.7%	14.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.9	22.3	52.1%	52.3%	44.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.8	11.6	36.5%	35.1%	34.8
🏀 Free throws	18.8	14.2	75.8%	74.7%	14.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	21.0	51.4%	52.3%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	9.9	35.4%	35.1%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	23.5	17.4	74.2%	74.7%	17.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Adelaide

WWLWLWWLLL

New Zealand Breakers

LLWLLLLWLL

League position

-0.6

Net rating

-5.0

117.7

Offensive rating

110.6

118.3

Defensive rating

115.6

54.6%

Effective FG%

55.0%

52.1%

Opp. effective FG%

51.5%

11.3%

Turnover %

17.2%

23.7%

Off. rebound %

28.0%

0.32

Free-throw rate

0.35

37.5%

3-point %

31.2%

51.1%

Assist %

54.1%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

20%

Profile

■ Adelaide ■ New Zealand Breakers

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

New Zealand Breakers wins

Date	Game	Score
14/12/24	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	111-94
02/11/24	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	109-82
18/02/24	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	76-70
30/11/23	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	96-83
26/10/23	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	85-97
08/01/23	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	83-85
20/11/22	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	89-83
28/10/22	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	70-99
24/04/22	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	60-93
12/03/22	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	84-75

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/01/25	A	Sydney	105-96
19/01/25	A	Cairns Taipans	99-75
17/01/25	A	Perth	103-110
13/01/25	H	Illawarra Hawks	91-88
10/01/25	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	103-104 OT
04/01/25	H	Melbourne United	100-81
30/12/24	A	Sydney	111-96
28/12/24	H	Perth	92-116
24/12/24	H	Brisbane Bullets	90-111
21/12/24	A	South East Melbourne	86-106

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/01/25	H	Brisbane Bullets	87-93
18/01/25	A	South East Melbourne	89-102
16/01/25	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	85-75
13/01/25	H	Melbourne United	89-91
11/01/25	A	Illawarra Hawks	100-108
08/01/25	A	Brisbane Bullets	74-83
05/01/25	H	Perth	86-96
31/12/24	A	Cairns Taipans	92-68
25/12/24	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	82-97
20/12/24	H	Sydney	84-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2024-25

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	48%
Home	WLLWW	62%
Away	WLLWW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	48%	62%	33%
Points / game	94.0	92.8	95.2
Allowed / game	96.4	91.6	101.5
Point differential	-2.4	+1.2	-6.2
Avg total	190.4	184.5	196.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	38%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	67% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	8%	8%	8%

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2024-25

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	35%
Home	LLLWL	38%
Away	LWLLL	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	35%	38%	31%
Points / game	85.6	84.0	87.2
Allowed / game	91.1	89.5	92.7
Point differential	-5.5	-5.5	-5.5
Avg total	176.7	173.5	179.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	15%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	75% (4)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Illawarra Hawks	26	17	9	65%	101.8	92.7	+9.2
2	Melbourne United	27	17	10	63%	95.3	91.4	+4.0
3	Sydney	27	16	11	59%	91.0	87.3	+3.7
4	South East Melbourne	26	15	11	58%	95.8	90.5	+5.2
5	Perth	26	15	11	58%	99.5	96.6	+2.9
6	Adelaide	25	12	13	48%	94.0	96.4	-2.4
7	Tasmania JackJumpers	26	12	14	46%	83.7	87.5	-3.8
8	Brisbane Bullets	27	11	16	41%	92.5	98.1	-5.6
9	New Zealand Breakers	26	9	17	35%	85.6	91.1	-5.5
10	Cairns Taipans	26	7	19	27%	87.9	95.8	-7.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	27	30	22	15	94
New Zealand Breakers	15	20	23	20	78

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Adelaide vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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