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Adelaide vs Tasmania JackJumpers Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 08:30
Scheduled
Position#5
Record7-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game92.5
Adelaide
Australia
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Tasmania JackJumpers
Australia
Position#2
Record9-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game90.4
AustraliaNBLRound 11· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2026-27
Meetings · Adelaide v Tasmania JackJumpers
05 Dec 2026
ADEL v TASM
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
ADEL72
TASM80
09 Oct 2025
ADEL98
TASM89
30 Nov 2024
ADEL73
TASM77
20 Oct 2024
ADEL77
TASM73
11 Nov 2023
ADEL72
TASM82
19 Dec 2022
ADEL93
TASM82
13 Oct 2022
ADEL72
TASM97
01 Apr 2022
ADEL72
TASM80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Tasmania JackJumpers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
92-114
92
114
-22
87avg 87
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
L
72-88
72
88
-16
61avg 87
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
79avg 87
H07/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 87
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
94-88
94
88
+6
85avg 87
A16/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
94-108
94
108
-14
86avg 87
A24/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
108-101
108
101
+7
106avg 87
A30/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
89-96
89
96
-7
77avg 87
H01/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
106-78
106
78
+28
no box
H07/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
101-93
101
93
+8
no box
H12/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-35
14-30
32-27
25-22
19-23
23-25
15-12
15-28
21-31
17-25
21-20
32-20
18-18
23-26
20-12
23-22
14-22
26-17
31-23
23-26
25-42
18-30
29-14
22-22
28-24
28-20
18-28
34-29
17-30
26-20
23-26
23-20
22-21
27-16
36-23
21-18
27-10
32-25
21-27
21-31
187.1Avg total
93.1Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)92.992.5185.4+0.554%
Season at home (6)90.386.7177.0+3.750%
Season away (7)95.197.4192.6-2.357%
Last 10 (10)93.194.0187.1-0.950%
Last 5 (5)99.695.2194.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)92.997.9190.7-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (10)93.795.5189.2-1.850%
vs Weaker (6)96.088.5184.5+7.550%
This opponent (Tasmania JackJumpers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tasmania JackJumpersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJackJumpers
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
109-99 OT
109
99
+10
95avg 80
A03/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
122-112
122
112
+10
124avg 80
A09/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
88-94
88
94
-6
83avg 80
H16/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
98-92
98
92
+6
87avg 80
H18/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
106-85
106
85
+21
108avg 80
H21/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
68-71
68
71
-3
58avg 80
H30/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
98-89
98
89
+9
93avg 80
A01/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
H06/11
NBL
Perth
#6
L
92-98
92
98
-6
no box
A12/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
104-92
104
92
+12
no box
A15/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
23-24
34-18
17-26
32-22
35-25
24-26
31-39
22-14
17-26
23-31
26-23
31-32
22-19
17-14
28-27
22-15
34-29
28-20
22-21
19-19
12-18
24-13
13-21
27-18
30-21
19-25
22-25
27-19
16-24
21-12
15-22
21-19
27-24
16-26
28-29
21-26
29-26
29-14
25-26
187.3Avg total
96.4Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)94.790.4185.1+4.369%
Season at home (7)88.484.6173.0+3.971%
Season away (6)102.097.2199.2+4.867%
Last 10 (10)96.490.9187.3+5.570%
Last 5 (5)88.285.4173.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)84.387.0171.3-2.733%
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.289.2173.5-5.038%
vs Weaker (13)98.489.4187.8+9.077%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -3.2-3.2
AdelaideTasmania JackJumpers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
35-65
35
65
-30
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H07/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A16/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
43-72
43
72
-29
A24/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A30/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H01/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H07/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
59-35
59
35
+24
H12/11
NBL
93.6Avg total
44.6Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.148.595.6-1.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.046.494.4+1.654%-
Last 30 away (17)46.450.196.5-3.853%-
Last 10 (10)44.649.093.6-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)50.047.697.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)48.949.998.9-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.547.992.4-3.450%-
vs Weaker (6)47.046.293.2+0.867%-
This opponent (Tasmania JackJumpers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tasmania JackJumpersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A03/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
67-47
67
47
+20
A09/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H16/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H18/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H21/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H30/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A01/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H06/11
NBL
Perth
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A12/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A15/11
NBL
92.7Avg total
48.4Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.844.289.0+0.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.042.987.9+2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)44.545.690.1-1.133%-
Last 10 (10)48.444.392.7+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.842.888.6+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.443.384.8-1.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.643.886.4-1.138%-
vs Weaker (13)48.445.293.5+3.246%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.9
56.3%
56.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.09.4
30.3%
34.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.116.4
71.0%
74.0%16.4
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tasmania JackJumperstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tasmania JackJumpers: 95.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.723.1
55.4%
56.4%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.0
37.5%
34.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws27.019.2
71.1%
74.0%19.2
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
WWLWLWWLLL
Tasmania JackJumpers
WLWWLWWLWW
#5
League position
#2
-3.3
Net rating
+5.5
99.1
Offensive rating
103.2
102.4
Defensive rating
97.7
51.6%
Effective FG%
55.7%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
11.2%
Turnover %
13.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.39
30.3%
3-point %
37.5%
67.5%
Assist %
61.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 103.2Defence102.4 · 97.7Shooting51.6% · 55.7%3-point %30.3% · 37.5%Ball care11.2% · 13.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Adelaide   ■ Tasmania JackJumpers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Adelaide wins
6
Tasmania JackJumpers wins
DateGameScore
16/10/26Tasmania JackJumpers v Adelaide88-94
09/01/26Adelaide v Tasmania JackJumpers72-80
13/11/25Tasmania JackJumpers v Adelaide86-97
09/10/25Adelaide v Tasmania JackJumpers98-89
10/01/25Tasmania JackJumpers v Adelaide104-103 OT
30/11/24Adelaide v Tasmania JackJumpers73-77
20/10/24Adelaide v Tasmania JackJumpers77-73
04/02/24Tasmania JackJumpers v Adelaide109-86
02/12/23Tasmania JackJumpers v Adelaide94-59
11/11/23Adelaide v Tasmania JackJumpers72-82
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HMelbourne United101-93
07/11/26HIllawarra Hawks106-78
01/11/26HBrisbane Bullets89-96
30/10/26ANew Zealand Breakers108-101
24/10/26ASouth East Melbourne94-108
16/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers94-88
11/10/26ASydney84-78
07/10/26HMelbourne United91-96
04/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers72-88
02/10/26AIllawarra Hawks92-114
Tasmania JackJumperslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ABrisbane Bullets104-92
12/11/26APerth92-98
06/11/26HNew Zealand Breakers79-77
01/11/26ASouth East Melbourne98-89
30/10/26HSydney68-71
21/10/26HBrisbane Bullets106-85
18/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers98-92
16/10/26HAdelaide88-94
09/10/26AIllawarra Hawks122-112
03/10/26ABrisbane Bullets109-99 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW54%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%50%57%
Points / game92.990.395.1
Allowed / game92.586.797.4
Point differential+0.5+3.7-2.3
Avg total185.4177.0192.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tasmania JackJumpers
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW69%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game94.788.4102.0
Allowed / game90.484.697.2
Point differential+4.3+3.9+4.8
Avg total185.1173.0199.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%14%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney139469%98.689.7+8.9
2 Tasmania JackJumpers139469%94.790.4+4.3
3 Melbourne United148657%98.391.9+6.4
4 Cairns Taipans148657%92.495.9-3.6
5 Adelaide137654%92.992.5+0.5
6 Perth137654%95.797.8-2.1
7 Brisbane Bullets146843%94.499.2-4.9
8 New Zealand Breakers145936%90.691.4-0.8
9 Illawarra Hawks1551033%97.5104.7-7.3
10 South East Melbourne134931%97.998.1-0.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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