Sydney vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	90.8	86.7	177.5	+4.2	62%
Season at home (12)	92.8	87.4	180.2	+5.3	58%
Season away (14)	89.2	86.0	175.2	+3.2	64%
Last 10 (10)	96.0	92.0	188.0	+4.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	92.2	86.4	178.6	+5.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	92.0	97.7	189.7	-5.7	0%
vs Similar (10)	89.9	90.3	180.2	-0.4	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	91.6	82.2	173.9	+9.4	76%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAdelaide

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

111-94

111

+17

108avg 83

H14/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

86-106

106

-20

74avg 83

A21/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

90-111

111

-21

76avg 83

H24/12

NBL

Perth

92-116

116

-24

74avg 83

H28/12

NBL

Sydney

111-96

111

+15

106avg 83

A30/12

NBL

Melbourne United

100-81

100

+19

92avg 83

H04/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

103-104 OT

103

104

-1

99avg 83

A10/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

91-88

89avg 83

H13/01

NBL

Perth

103-110

103

110

-7

98avg 83

A17/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

99-75

+24

95avg 83

A19/01

NBL

22-22

36-27

20-27

33-18

22-26

16-30

33-27

15-23

23-24

25-27

22-27

20-33

26-26

16-29

21-23

29-38

32-12

30-31

28-25

21-28

27-17

28-25

22-20

23-19

22-30

31-11

21-24

21-30

33-25

30-18

12-19

16-26

24-22

17-30

32-24

30-34

38-12

22-25

22-21

17-17

196.7Avg total

98.6Scored

98.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	93.5	96.4	189.9	-2.8	46%
Season at home (13)	92.8	91.6	184.5	+1.2	62%
Season away (11)	94.4	102.0	196.4	-7.6	27%
Last 10 (10)	98.6	98.1	196.7	+0.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	99.2	91.6	190.8	+7.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	92.8	95.9	188.8	-3.1	53%
vs Similar (10)	88.7	93.2	181.9	-4.5	40%
vs Weaker (3)	98.3	89.7	188.0	+8.7	67%

This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SydneyAdelaide

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	22.0	44.1	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	23.3	44.2	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.0	20.9	43.9	+2.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	24.6	46.0	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	23.4	44.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	24.0	46.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.9	23.2	45.1	-1.3	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	47%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.7	23.8	48.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.2	22.8	47.0	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	25.2	25.0	50.2	+0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.9	21.6	48.5	+5.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.8	21.2	50.0	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	25.5	23.1	48.6	+2.5	65%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.5	25.6	47.1	-4.1	20%	-
vs Weaker (3)	30.3	22.3	52.7	+8.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	23.7	46.8	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.7	24.2	47.9	-0.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.6	23.2	45.9	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	26.1	51.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	21.0	45.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	24.0	26.0	50.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.5	25.5	49.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.8	22.2	45.0	+0.5	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	23.6	47.1	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.8	21.8	45.6	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.0	25.8	48.8	-2.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	25.3	50.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	21.8	47.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	23.2	24.8	48.0	-1.5	41%	-
vs Similar (10)	24.2	20.1	44.3	+4.1	70%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	29.0	51.0	-7.0	0%	-

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

48-54

-6

H15/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

44-51

-7

A20/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

58-58

H25/12

NBL

Adelaide

43-62

-19

H30/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

47-60

-13

H02/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

45-48

-3

A04/01

NBL

Melbourne United

41-57

-16

H09/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

39-38

H12/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

38-34

H19/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

62-45

+17

A22/01

NBL

97.2Avg total

46.5Scored

50.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.2	45.7	90.9	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.6	47.5	92.1	-2.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	45.6	44.2	89.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.5	50.7	97.2	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	44.4	89.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	46.7	50.0	96.7	-3.3	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	45.4	48.7	94.1	-3.3	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	44.8	43.2	88.0	+1.5	53%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

58-49

H14/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

38-56

-18

A21/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

48-51

-3

H24/12

NBL

Perth

42-55

-13

H28/12

NBL

Sydney

62-43

+19

A30/12

NBL

Melbourne United

55-42

+13

H04/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

53-41

+12

A10/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

63-43

+20

H13/01

NBL

Perth

41-52

-11

A17/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

60-37

+23

A19/01

NBL

98.9Avg total

52.0Scored

46.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.1	47.5	95.6	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	48.0	44.6	92.6	+3.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	48.2	50.8	99.0	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	52.0	46.9	98.9	+5.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	54.4	43.0	97.4	+11.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	48.8	47.8	96.6	+0.9	47%	-
vs Similar (10)	45.7	45.7	91.4	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	52.3	51.3	103.7	+1.0	33%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.5	42.1	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	22.0	43.4	-0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	19.2	40.9	+2.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	22.4	44.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	26.7	47.3	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.6	19.8	42.4	+2.8	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	22.1	44.1	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	20.1	40.4	+0.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.7	24.5	48.2	-0.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	23.7	47.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.6	43.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	22.8	22.7	45.5	+0.1	47%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.4	22.4	42.8	-2.0	30%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	18.0	40.3	+4.3	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.4	20.2	44.6	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.7	18.9	44.6	+6.8	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.2	21.4	44.6	+1.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.4	18.9	46.3	+8.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	21.2	47.0	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	24.7	21.0	45.7	+3.7	100%	-
vs Similar (10)	24.4	21.7	46.1	+2.7	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	24.3	19.2	43.5	+5.1	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	24.3	45.7	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	23.2	45.1	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	25.6	46.3	-5.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	26.6	49.1	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	25.2	46.6	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	21.3	25.4	46.7	-4.1	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.8	24.2	46.0	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.9	40.7	86.7	+5.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	47.1	40.9	88.0	+6.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.9	40.6	85.5	+4.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.5	41.3	90.8	+8.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	42.0	89.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	45.3	47.7	93.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	44.5	41.6	86.1	+2.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	46.9	39.0	85.9	+7.9	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	46.5	89.7	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.3	43.2	85.6	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.4	50.1	94.5	-5.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	50.3	96.1	-4.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	46.8	90.0	-3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	44.1	48.1	92.2	-4.1	35%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.2	46.6	88.8	-4.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	42.3	36.7	79.0	+5.7	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 95.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.9	23.0	52.4%	52.3%	46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	9.4	34.6%	35.1%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	27.7	21.2	76.5%	74.7%	21.2

They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 97.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.7	24.3	54.4%	52.3%	48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	10.2	38.3%	35.1%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	24.6	18.6	75.6%	74.7%	18.6

They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	20.4	49.6%	52.3%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.2	11.5	34.6%	35.1%	34.5
🏀 Free throws	19.5	15.3	78.5%	74.7%	15.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.8	22.7	51.8%	52.3%	45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.6	12.5	35.1%	35.1%	37.5
🏀 Free throws	19.1	14.4	75.4%	74.7%	14.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	21.1	51.3%	52.3%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.6	10.4	34.1%	35.1%	31.3
🏀 Free throws	22.5	16.7	74.0%	74.7%	16.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.6	23.5	51.6%	52.3%	47.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	8.7	35.1%	35.1%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	24.0	18.1	75.4%	74.7%	18.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	19.1	48.0%	52.3%	38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.3	10.2	32.7%	35.1%	30.7
🏀 Free throws	21.8	16.6	76.1%	74.7%	16.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.2	22.3	51.7%	52.3%	44.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.8	11.5	36.3%	35.1%	34.6
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.2	76.2%	74.7%	14.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Sydney

WWWLWWLLWW

Adelaide

WLWLWWLLLW

League position

+5.9

Net rating

+0.6

117.2

Offensive rating

118.8

111.3

Defensive rating

118.2

52.2%

Effective FG%

55.5%

50.7%

Opp. effective FG%

52.2%

12.2%

Turnover %

10.9%

29.9%

Off. rebound %

22.1%

0.39

Free-throw rate

0.35

34.6%

3-point %

38.3%

53.4%

Assist %

54.2%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Sydney ■ Adelaide

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sydney wins

Adelaide wins

Date	Game	Score
30/12/24	Sydney v Adelaide	96-111
11/10/24	Adelaide v Sydney	89-79
22/09/24	Adelaide v Sydney	94-102
02/02/24	Adelaide v Sydney	85-78
11/01/24	Adelaide v Sydney	95-82
08/10/23	Sydney v Adelaide	109-100
03/02/23	Adelaide v Sydney	115-108
04/12/22	Sydney v Adelaide	97-78
21/10/22	Sydney v Adelaide	88-92
17/04/22	Sydney v Adelaide	82-90

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/01/25	A	South East Melbourne	103-92
19/01/25	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	88-77
12/01/25	H	Cairns Taipans	91-87
09/01/25	H	Melbourne United	88-90
04/01/25	A	Brisbane Bullets	91-86
02/01/25	H	South East Melbourne	110-101
30/12/24	H	Adelaide	96-111
25/12/24	H	Illawarra Hawks	108-111
20/12/24	A	New Zealand Breakers	92-84
15/12/24	H	Brisbane Bullets	93-81

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/01/25	A	Cairns Taipans	99-75
17/01/25	A	Perth	103-110
13/01/25	H	Illawarra Hawks	91-88
10/01/25	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	103-104 OT
04/01/25	H	Melbourne United	100-81
30/12/24	A	Sydney	111-96
28/12/24	H	Perth	92-116
24/12/24	H	Brisbane Bullets	90-111
21/12/24	A	South East Melbourne	86-106
14/12/24	H	New Zealand Breakers	111-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney

NBL 2024-25

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	62%
Home	LWLWW	58%
Away	LWWWW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	62%	58%	64%
Points / game	90.8	92.8	89.2
Allowed / game	86.7	87.4	86.0
Point differential	+4.2	+5.3	+3.2
Avg total	177.5	180.2	175.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	33%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (10)	40% (5)	40% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Adelaide

NBL 2024-25

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	46%
Home	WLLWW	62%
Away	LWLLW	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	13	11
Win %	46%	62%	27%
Points / game	93.5	92.8	94.4
Allowed / game	96.4	91.6	102.0
Point differential	-2.8	+1.2	-7.6
Avg total	189.9	184.5	196.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	38%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	67% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	8%	8%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Illawarra Hawks	26	17	9	65%	101.8	92.7	+9.2
2	Sydney	26	16	10	62%	90.8	86.7	+4.2
3	Melbourne United	26	16	10	62%	94.6	91.5	+3.1
4	Perth	25	15	10	60%	98.8	95.4	+3.4
5	South East Melbourne	25	14	11	56%	95.0	91.0	+4.0
6	Tasmania JackJumpers	25	12	13	48%	83.8	86.3	-2.5
7	Adelaide	24	11	13	46%	93.5	96.4	-2.8
8	Brisbane Bullets	26	11	15	42%	92.7	97.5	-4.8
9	New Zealand Breakers	26	9	17	35%	85.6	91.1	-5.5
10	Cairns Taipans	25	6	19	24%	86.4	95.0	-8.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sydney	23	32	18	23	96
Adelaide	34	18	26	27	105

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Sydney vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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