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Cairns Taipans vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 05:30
Final 75-99
12-38 25-22 21-22 17-17
Position#10
Record5-18
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game94.9
Cairns Taipans
Australia
vs
Adelaide 🏆
Australia
Position#6
Record10-13
FormWWLWL
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game97.3
AustraliaNBLRound 17· Cairns Convention Centre
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cairns Taipans v Adelaide
12 Feb 2027
CAIR v ADEL
upcoming
09 Dec 2026
CAIR v ADEL
upcoming
18 Oct 2025
CAIR86
ADEL91
02 Oct 2025
CAIR79
ADEL110
19 Jan 2025
CAIR75
ADEL99
28 Sep 2024
CAIR101
ADEL97
13 Jan 2024
CAIR111
ADEL101
30 Jan 2023
CAIR96
ADEL99
31 Dec 2022
CAIR86
ADEL83
18 Dec 2021
CAIR93
ADEL67
09 Feb 2017
CAIR89
ADEL85
12 Dec 2016
CAIR83
ADEL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Taipans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
90-99
90
99
-9
81avg 75
A05/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
94-99
94
99
-5
82avg 75
A07/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
92-128
92
128
-36
74avg 75
H14/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
104-107
104
107
-3
97avg 75
A20/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
66-76
66
76
-10
51avg 75
H26/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
68-92
68
92
-24
54avg 75
H31/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
108-105
108
105
+3
89avg 75
A03/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
87-91
87
91
-4
77avg 75
A12/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
102-113
102
113
-11
89avg 75
H14/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
111-80
111
80
+31
107avg 75
A17/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-31
24-21
19-23
17-24
28-39
22-24
32-12
12-24
28-22
29-32
18-39
17-35
30-29
24-27
26-25
24-26
13-25
16-21
22-13
15-17
15-21
22-26
17-25
14-20
19-24
26-32
40-21
23-28
19-17
19-22
24-25
25-27
28-33
31-25
19-24
24-31
31-24
31-21
20-20
29-15
191.2Avg total
92.2Scored
99.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.394.9181.3-8.622%
Season at home (12)82.392.8175.1-10.417%
Season away (11)90.797.3188.0-6.527%
Last 10 (10)92.299.0191.2-6.820%
Last 5 (5)95.296.2191.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)86.297.7183.9-11.621%
vs Similar (11)89.091.6180.6-2.636%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
L
105-115
105
115
-10
98avg 83
H08/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
111-94
111
94
+17
108avg 83
H14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
86-106
86
106
-20
74avg 83
A21/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
90-111
90
111
-21
76avg 83
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
92-116
92
116
-24
74avg 83
H28/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
111-96
111
96
+15
106avg 83
A30/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
100-81
100
81
+19
92avg 83
H04/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
103-104 OT
103
104
-1
99avg 83
A10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
91-88
91
88
+3
89avg 83
H13/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
103-110
103
110
-7
98avg 83
A17/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-29
28-25
22-25
23-36
22-22
36-27
20-27
33-18
22-26
16-30
33-27
15-23
23-24
25-27
22-27
20-33
26-26
16-29
21-23
29-38
32-12
30-31
28-25
21-28
27-17
28-25
22-20
23-19
22-30
31-11
21-24
21-30
33-25
30-18
12-19
16-26
24-22
17-30
32-24
30-34
201.3Avg total
99.2Scored
102.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)93.397.3190.6-4.043%
Season at home (13)92.891.6184.5+1.262%
Season away (10)93.9104.7198.6-10.820%
Last 10 (10)99.2102.1201.3-2.940%
Last 5 (5)101.695.8197.4+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)92.895.9188.8-3.153%
vs Similar (10)88.793.2181.9-4.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)102.093.0195.0+9.067%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -5.4-5.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -5.4-5.4
Cairns TaipansAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A05/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A07/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H14/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A20/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H26/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H31/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A03/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H14/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
62-45
62
45
+17
A17/01
NBL
100.1Avg total
48.5Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.949.496.3-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.248.194.2-1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)47.751.098.7-3.336%-
Last 10 (10)48.551.6100.1-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)48.249.097.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)46.649.696.3-3.037%-
vs Similar (11)47.449.196.5-1.745%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H08/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A21/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H28/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
62-43
62
43
+19
A30/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H04/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H13/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A17/01
NBL
100.6Avg total
52.0Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.447.695.9+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.044.692.6+3.456%-
Last 30 away (14)48.851.099.8-2.229%-
Last 10 (10)52.048.6100.6+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)54.844.299.0+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)48.847.896.6+0.947%-
vs Similar (10)45.745.791.4+0.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)55.052.3107.3+2.733%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.0
50.5%
52.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.9
37.0%
35.1%35.7
🏀 Free throws23.117.3
74.9%
74.7%17.3
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 98.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.724.7
54.0%
52.3%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.110.0
39.8%
35.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws25.319.2
75.9%
74.7%19.2
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cairns Taipans
WLLWLLLLLL
Adelaide
LWLWWLLLWL
#10
League position
#6
-8.8
Net rating
-3.0
111.0
Offensive rating
119.1
119.8
Defensive rating
122.2
52.8%
Effective FG%
56.1%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
14.1%
Turnover %
12.0%
23.0%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.0%
3-point %
39.8%
53.1%
Assist %
53.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 119.1Defence119.8 · 122.2Shooting52.8% · 56.1%3-point %37.0% · 39.8%Ball care14.1% · 12.0%Off. rebounds23.0% · 23.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Cairns Taipans   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cairns Taipans wins
6
Adelaide wins
DateGameScore
25/10/24Adelaide v Cairns Taipans99-93 OT
28/09/24Cairns Taipans v Adelaide101-97
27/01/24Adelaide v Cairns Taipans88-71
13/01/24Cairns Taipans v Adelaide111-101 OT
09/12/23Adelaide v Cairns Taipans101-116
30/01/23Cairns Taipans v Adelaide96-99
31/12/22Cairns Taipans v Adelaide86-83
02/12/22Adelaide v Cairns Taipans78-75
18/03/22Adelaide v Cairns Taipans83-57
20/02/22Adelaide v Cairns Taipans82-71
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25ABrisbane Bullets111-80
14/01/25HSouth East Melbourne102-113
12/01/25ASydney87-91
03/01/25AIllawarra Hawks108-105
31/12/24HNew Zealand Breakers68-92
26/12/24HMelbourne United66-76
20/12/24ABrisbane Bullets104-107
14/12/24HPerth92-128
07/12/24ASouth East Melbourne94-99
05/12/24ATasmania JackJumpers90-99
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25APerth103-110
13/01/25HIllawarra Hawks91-88
10/01/25ATasmania JackJumpers103-104 OT
04/01/25HMelbourne United100-81
30/12/24ASydney111-96
28/12/24HPerth92-116
24/12/24HBrisbane Bullets90-111
21/12/24ASouth East Melbourne86-106
14/12/24HNew Zealand Breakers111-94
08/12/24HPerth105-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Taipans
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW22%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLLWLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %22%17%27%
Points / game86.382.390.7
Allowed / game94.992.897.3
Point differential-8.6-10.4-6.5
Avg total181.3175.1188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%8%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Adelaide
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL43%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %43%62%20%
Points / game93.392.893.9
Allowed / game97.391.6104.7
Point differential-4.0+1.2-10.8
Avg total190.6184.5198.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%38%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %9%8%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks2416867%101.492.6+8.8
2 Perth2415962%99.195.3+3.8
3 Sydney25151060%90.486.4+3.9
4 Melbourne United25151060%94.491.4+3.0
5 South East Melbourne24141058%95.190.5+4.6
6 Tasmania JackJumpers25121348%83.886.3-2.5
7 Adelaide23101343%93.397.3-4.0
8 Brisbane Bullets24101442%92.996.9-4.0
9 New Zealand Breakers2591636%85.691.0-5.4
10 Cairns Taipans2351822%86.394.9-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Taipans1225211775
Adelaide3822221799
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