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Sydney vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 88-95
22-23 19-28 30-18 17-26
Position#4
Record16-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game88.2
vs
Position#6
Record13-16
FormWWLLL
Points / game94.3
Allowed / game96.4
AustraliaNBL· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sydney v Adelaide
11 Oct 2026
SYDN78
ADEL84
05 Apr 2026
SYDN113
ADEL101
29 Mar 2026
SYDN106
ADEL93
21 Mar 2026
SYDN112
ADEL68
25 Jan 2026
SYDN106
ADEL101
17 Dec 2025
SYDN97
ADEL93
13 Feb 2025
SYDN88
ADEL95
24 Jan 2025
SYDN96
ADEL105
30 Dec 2024
SYDN96
ADEL111
08 Oct 2023
SYDN109
ADEL100
04 Dec 2022
SYDN97
ADEL78
21 Oct 2022
SYDN88
ADEL92
17 Apr 2022
SYDN82
ADEL90
16 May 2021
SYDN85
ADEL75
09 May 2021
SYDN88
ADEL97
21 Feb 2021
SYDN94
ADEL77
04 Jan 2020
SYDN91
ADEL77
12 Oct 2019
SYDN102
ADEL80
19 Jan 2019
SYDN99
ADEL119
13 Oct 2018
SYDN83
ADEL94
13 Jan 2018
SYDN101
ADEL104
07 Oct 2017
SYDN96
ADEL105
18 Dec 2016
SYDN96
ADEL103
28 Nov 2016
SYDN85
ADEL91
12 Nov 2015
SYDN106
ADEL84
23 Oct 2015
SYDN80
ADEL91
25 Jan 2015
SYDN86
ADEL105
09 Nov 2014
SYDN107
ADEL100
16 Mar 2014
SYDN100
ADEL90
26 Jan 2014
SYDN105
ADEL93
05 Jan 2013
SYDN86
ADEL82
04 Nov 2012
SYDN81
ADEL88
30 Dec 2011
SYDN77
ADEL96
08 Dec 2011
SYDN107
ADEL103
13 Mar 2011
SYDN76
ADEL72
04 Feb 2011
SYDN99
ADEL90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#6
L
96-111
96
111
-15
80avg 83
H30/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
110-101
110
101
+9
106avg 83
H02/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
91-86
91
86
+5
88avg 83
A04/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
88-90
88
90
-2
78avg 83
H09/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
91-87
91
87
+4
80avg 83
H12/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
88-77
88
77
+11
73avg 83
H19/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
103-92
103
92
+11
103avg 83
A22/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
96-105
96
105
-9
82avg 83
H24/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
97-104
97
104
-7
97avg 83
H02/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 83
A07/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-32
31-30
25-28
28-21
28-30
19-30
25-25
38-16
28-29
17-19
24-23
22-15
16-32
25-25
23-13
24-20
17-19
22-19
25-24
27-25
16-15
22-19
18-21
32-22
26-22
36-23
17-23
24-24
23-34
32-18
18-26
23-27
21-32
27-24
26-29
23-19
24-29
15-21
22-15
14-30
188.3Avg total
93.5Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)90.788.2178.9+2.555%
Season at home (14)93.389.9183.1+3.450%
Season away (15)88.386.6174.9+1.760%
Last 10 (10)93.594.8188.3-1.350%
Last 5 (5)91.894.6186.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.897.0184.8-9.20%
vs Similar (10)90.190.1180.2+0.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)90.984.4175.3+6.475%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
W
100-81
100
81
+19
92avg 85
H04/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
103-104 OT
103
104
-1
99avg 85
A10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
91-88
91
88
+3
89avg 85
H13/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
103-110
103
110
-7
98avg 85
A17/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
99-75
99
75
+24
95avg 85
A19/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
105-96
105
96
+9
94avg 85
A24/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
94-78
94
78
+16
92avg 85
H26/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
89-92
89
92
-3
82avg 85
H31/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
99-105
99
105
-6
88avg 85
A02/02
NBL
Perth
#3
L
104-112
104
112
-8
91avg 85
A07/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
28-25
22-20
23-19
22-30
31-11
21-24
21-30
33-25
30-18
12-19
16-26
24-22
17-30
32-24
30-34
38-12
22-25
22-21
17-17
34-23
18-32
26-18
27-23
27-15
30-20
22-23
15-20
21-22
24-20
18-26
26-24
23-30
20-31
34-18
22-26
27-20
29-29
22-32
26-31
192.8Avg total
98.7Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)94.396.4190.8-2.145%
Season at home (15)92.790.7183.4+1.960%
Season away (14)96.1102.5198.6-6.429%
Last 10 (10)98.794.1192.8+4.650%
Last 5 (5)98.296.6194.8+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)95.397.6192.9-2.350%
vs Similar (9)89.193.3182.4-4.233%
vs Weaker (3)98.389.7188.0+8.767%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
SydneyAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#6
L
43-62
43
62
-19
H30/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H02/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A04/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H09/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H12/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H19/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
62-45
62
45
+17
A22/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H24/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H02/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A07/02
NBL
95.9Avg total
45.7Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.946.591.4-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.547.693.1-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)44.345.489.7-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)45.750.295.9-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)48.447.495.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.850.094.8-5.20%-
vs Similar (10)45.648.494.0-2.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.544.488.9+0.150%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H04/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H13/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A17/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
60-37
60
37
+23
A19/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A24/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H26/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H31/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A02/02
NBL
Perth
#3
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A07/02
NBL
98.2Avg total
52.5Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.248.097.1+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.844.493.2+4.362%-
Last 30 away (14)49.652.0101.6-2.429%-
Last 10 (10)52.545.798.2+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)50.648.499.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)49.948.998.8+1.050%-
vs Similar (9)46.745.091.7+1.744%-
vs Weaker (3)52.351.3103.7+1.033%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.9
51.7%
52.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.0
34.9%
35.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws28.122.1
78.6%
74.7%22.1
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 97.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.926.8
57.1%
52.3%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.7
35.2%
35.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.518.2
80.9%
74.7%18.2
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
LLLWWWLWWL
Adelaide
LLLWWWLWLW
#4
League position
#6
-1.1
Net rating
+5.1
115.1
Offensive rating
118.2
116.2
Defensive rating
113.2
51.9%
Effective FG%
55.7%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
13.3%
Turnover %
10.5%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
19.1%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.9%
3-point %
35.2%
53.1%
Assist %
53.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 118.2Defence116.2 · 113.2Shooting51.9% · 55.7%3-point %34.9% · 35.2%Ball care13.3% · 10.5%Off. rebounds28.1% · 19.1%Free throws0.41 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Sydney   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sydney wins
7
Adelaide wins
DateGameScore
24/01/25Sydney v Adelaide96-105
30/12/24Sydney v Adelaide96-111
11/10/24Adelaide v Sydney89-79
22/09/24Adelaide v Sydney94-102
02/02/24Adelaide v Sydney85-78
11/01/24Adelaide v Sydney95-82
08/10/23Sydney v Adelaide109-100
03/02/23Adelaide v Sydney115-108
04/12/22Sydney v Adelaide97-78
21/10/22Sydney v Adelaide88-92
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25AIllawarra Hawks75-95
02/02/25HPerth97-104
24/01/25HAdelaide96-105
22/01/25ASouth East Melbourne103-92
19/01/25HTasmania JackJumpers88-77
12/01/25HCairns Taipans91-87
09/01/25HMelbourne United88-90
04/01/25ABrisbane Bullets91-86
02/01/25HSouth East Melbourne110-101
30/12/24HAdelaide96-111
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25APerth104-112
02/02/25ASouth East Melbourne99-105
31/01/25HBrisbane Bullets89-92
26/01/25HNew Zealand Breakers94-78
24/01/25ASydney105-96
19/01/25ACairns Taipans99-75
17/01/25APerth103-110
13/01/25HIllawarra Hawks91-88
10/01/25ATasmania JackJumpers103-104 OT
04/01/25HMelbourne United100-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL55%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayWWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %55%50%60%
Points / game90.793.388.3
Allowed / game88.289.986.6
Point differential+2.5+3.4+1.7
Avg total178.9183.1174.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)40% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL45%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %45%60%29%
Points / game94.392.796.1
Allowed / game96.490.7102.5
Point differential-2.1+1.9-6.4
Avg total190.8183.4198.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%40%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks2920969%101.491.2+10.2
2 Melbourne United29191066%95.691.4+4.1
3 Perth30191163%100.897.2+3.6
4 Sydney29161355%90.788.2+2.5
5 South East Melbourne30161453%96.492.6+3.8
6 Adelaide29131645%94.396.4-2.1
7 Tasmania JackJumpers29131645%84.088.0-4.1
8 Brisbane Bullets29121741%92.397.9-5.5
9 New Zealand Breakers29101934%85.791.4-5.7
10 Cairns Taipans2982128%88.395.5-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney2219301788
Adelaide2328182695
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