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AEK Athens vs Hapoel Holon Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 108-112 (OT)
18-15 20-21 19-25 20-16 31-35
Position#33
Record5-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#10
Record6-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game74.1
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 4· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
European cup2023
Meetings · AEK Athens v Hapoel Holon
05 Mar 2024
AAT108
HHO112
04 Nov 2020
AAT100
HHO96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hapoel Holon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#17
L
74-83
74
83
-9
68avg 77
A13/01
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
91-93
91
93
-2
83avg 77
H20/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
L
79-80
79
80
-1
74avg 77
A23/01
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
95-86
95
86
+9
91avg 77
A27/01
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
68-79
68
79
-11
56avg 77
A30/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
80-103
80
103
-23
64avg 77
A03/02
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
67avg 77
H06/02
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
57avg 77
H12/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#12
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 77
A15/02
Greek Cup
PAOK
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
94avg 77
A02/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
14-28
18-23
22-13
22-19
20-24
29-24
20-26
18-20
22-15
18-27
21-18
26-15
26-32
23-15
20-24
26-23
12-23
13-14
17-19
19-27
17-24
19-29
25-23
25-27
14-15
21-20
19-22
16-28
19-20
18-20
16-21
15-20
15-19
18-20
24-20
22-23
22-22
23-16
27-24
166.2Avg total
80.1Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.878.2162.0+5.656%
Season at home (4)89.876.5166.2+13.275%
Season away (5)79.079.6158.6-0.640%
Last 10 (10)80.186.1166.2-6.020%
Last 5 (5)78.888.0166.8-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.091.5173.5-9.50%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.883.6167.3+0.244%
vs Weaker (12)89.979.8169.7+10.275%
This opponent (Hapoel Holon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel HolonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolon
Date
Competition
Murcia
#2
L
61-78
61
78
-17
46avg 72
A23/01
Champions League
Ironi Eilat
#13
W
87-71
87
71
+16
90avg 72
H26/01
Super League
AEK Athens
#33
W
79-68
79
68
+11
74avg 72
H30/01
Champions League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
84-86
84
86
-2
80avg 72
H03/02
Super League
Promitheas
#13
L
65-74
65
74
-9
54avg 72
H06/02
Champions League
Bnei Herzliya
#10
L
72-75
72
75
-3
70avg 72
A11/02
Super League
Hapoel Haifa
#7
W
84-71
84
71
+13
82avg 72
A14/02
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
W
98-90
98
90
+8
92avg 72
H17/02
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
73-72
73
72
+1
63avg 72
A28/02
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
76avg 72
A02/03
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-13
17-31
16-16
17-18
18-25
19-16
27-13
23-17
23-26
23-12
14-13
19-17
21-23
22-22
18-23
23-18
17-13
10-12
18-25
20-24
24-19
17-20
13-18
18-18
17-17
23-11
23-22
21-21
21-24
25-27
28-21
24-18
13-17
19-16
21-23
20-16
24-22
13-26
18-25
23-17
155.6Avg total
78.1Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.974.1148.0-0.250%
Season at home (7)75.072.9147.9+2.157%
Season away (5)72.475.8148.2-3.440%
Last 10 (10)78.177.5155.6+0.650%
Last 5 (5)81.079.6160.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.691.9171.4-12.314%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.676.5152.1-0.846%
vs Weaker (10)83.073.1156.1+9.980%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
AEK AthensHapoel Holon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#17
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A13/01
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H20/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A23/01
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A27/01
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A30/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A03/02
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H06/02
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H12/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#12
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A15/02
Greek Cup
PAOK
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A02/03
Basket League
83.3Avg total
39.0Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.443.083.4-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.843.687.4+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)37.442.479.8-5.131%-
Last 10 (10)39.044.383.3-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)36.845.081.8-8.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.447.184.5-9.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.940.783.6+2.267%-
vs Weaker (12)41.342.383.7-1.050%-
This opponent (Hapoel Holon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel HolonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A23/01
Champions League
Ironi Eilat
#13
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H26/01
Super League
AEK Athens
#33
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H30/01
Champions League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H03/02
Super League
Promitheas
#13
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H06/02
Champions League
Bnei Herzliya
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A11/02
Super League
Hapoel Haifa
#7
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A14/02
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H17/02
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A28/02
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A02/03
Super League
76.9Avg total
37.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.078.8-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.440.481.8+1.153%-
Last 30 away (13)35.539.575.0-4.131%-
Last 10 (10)37.739.276.9-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.879.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.148.386.4-10.10%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.838.175.8-0.346%-
vs Weaker (10)40.736.777.4+4.070%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.622.1
50.7%
51.4%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.45.6
28.9%
34.9%16.8
🏀 Free throws24.017.9
74.6%
74.5%17.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hapoel Holontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Holon: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.5
50.7%
51.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.5
36.7%
34.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.313.6
74.3%
74.5%13.6
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WLLLLLWLLL
Hapoel Holon
LWWWLLLWWL
#33
League position
#10
-8.8
Net rating
+0.6
104.6
Offensive rating
106.3
113.4
Defensive rating
105.8
48.4%
Effective FG%
52.6%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
19.2%
Turnover %
16.8%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.9%
3-point %
36.7%
58.8%
Assist %
69.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 106.3Defence113.4 · 105.8Shooting48.4% · 52.6%3-point %28.9% · 36.7%Ball care19.2% · 16.8%Off. rebounds34.0% · 23.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Hapoel Holon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEK Athens wins
2
Hapoel Holon wins
DateGameScore
30/01/24Hapoel Holon v AEK Athens79-68
05/01/21Hapoel Holon v AEK Athens77-71
04/11/20AEK Athens v Hapoel Holon100-96
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24APAOK94-85
15/02/24APanathinaikos72-79
12/02/24HPanathinaikos69-89
06/02/24HMurcia79-84
03/02/24AKolossos Rhodes80-103
30/01/24AHapoel Holon68-79
27/01/24AAS Karditsas95-86
23/01/24APromitheas79-80
20/01/24HAris91-93
13/01/24AApollon Patras74-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AHapoel Tel-Aviv78-90
28/02/24AHapoel Jerusalem73-72
17/02/24HHapoel Tel-Aviv98-90
14/02/24AHapoel Haifa84-71
11/02/24ABnei Herzliya72-75
06/02/24HPromitheas65-74
03/02/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv84-86
30/01/24HAEK Athens79-68
26/01/24HIroni Eilat87-71
23/01/24AMurcia61-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL56%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game83.889.879.0
Allowed / game78.276.579.6
Point differential+5.6+13.2-0.6
Avg total162.0166.2158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hapoel Holon
Champions League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%57%40%
Points / game73.975.072.4
Allowed / game74.172.975.8
Point differential-0.2+2.1-3.4
Avg total148.0147.9148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem98189%84.272.2+12.0
2 Murcia108280%84.772.7+12.0
3 Unicaja97278%82.772.9+9.8
4 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
5 Dijon96367%85.177.2+7.9
6 Tenerife96367%82.977.0+5.9
7 Promitheas128467%83.277.8+5.5
8 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
9 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
10 Tortona85362%82.481.2+1.1
11 Bonn106460%82.378.4+3.9
12 Cholet159660%82.783.2-0.5
13 Ludwigsburg127558%83.179.2+3.8
14 Strasbourg127558%80.480.6-0.2
15 AEK Athens95456%83.878.2+5.6
16 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
17 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
18 Rytas84450%85.181.0+4.1
19 Tofas126650%87.183.7+3.4
20 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
21 Galatasaray126650%85.585.1+0.4
22 Karsiyaka126650%83.983.8+0.2
23 Hapoel Holon126650%73.974.1-0.2
24 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
25 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
26 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
27 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
28 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
29 Peristeri115645%80.684.0-3.4
30 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
31 Breogan94544%78.178.6-0.4
32 Oostende94544%75.079.8-4.8
33 Darussafaka94544%78.683.7-5.1
34 PAOK94544%75.282.7-7.4
35 Le Mans83538%77.979.0-1.1
36 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
37 Sassari93633%85.689.2-3.7
38 Szczecin62433%78.882.7-3.8
39 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
40 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
AEK Athens1820192031108
Hapoel Holon1521251635112
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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