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AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 13:45
Final 67-76
20-21 16-18 14-18 17-19
Position#3
Record17-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#2
Record20-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game65.6
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 25
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · AEK Athens v Olympiacos
20 Dec 2026
AAT v OLY
upcoming
30 May 2026
AAT68
OLY95
25 Apr 2026
AAT84
OLY94
15 May 2025
AAT64
OLY90
03 Nov 2024
AAT77
OLY96
18 May 2024
AAT68
OLY100
07 Jan 2024
AAT80
OLY92
09 Apr 2023
AAT78
OLY85
29 Jan 2022
AAT74
OLY80
20 Apr 2019
AAT67
OLY76
10 Dec 2017
AAT66
OLY62
13 Mar 2017
AAT63
OLY70
03 Nov 2014
AAT62
OLY81
29 Jan 2011
AAT74
OLY79
03 Jan 2010
AAT91
OLY96
18 Feb 2009
AAT75
OLY95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Holargos B.C.
#8
W
81-70
81
70
+11
no box
A09/03
Basket League
PAOK
#14
L
62-63
62
63
-1
no box
H13/03
Champions League
G.S. Kymis
#11
W
96-92
96
92
+4
no box
H16/03
Basket League
Ifaistos Limnou
#7
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
A23/03
Basket League
Bamberg
#12
L
67-71
67
71
-4
no box
A27/03
Champions League
Aris
#9
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
H30/03
Basket League
Bamberg
#12
W
69-67
69
67
+2
no box
H03/04
Champions League
Lavrio
#13
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
no box
A06/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
72-104
72
104
-32
no box
H10/04
Basket League
Panionios
#12
L
74-78
74
78
-4
no box
A13/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
17-23
22-17
18-12
18-14
14-13
13-20
17-16
17-24
31-13
21-24
27-31
22-21
17-17
24-16
24-20
10-11
20-17
20-21
17-22
21-14
22-23
17-18
21-18
20-17
16-15
18-17
15-18
20-28
29-14
21-27
19-20
18-27
19-28
17-25
18-24
18-21
17-26
22-15
17-16
157.5Avg total
78.9Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.577.1158.6+4.471%
Season at home (12)83.972.6156.5+11.392%
Season away (12)79.181.6160.7-2.550%
Last 10 (10)78.978.6157.5+0.360%
Last 5 (5)79.283.2162.4-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)77.296.5173.8-19.225%
vs Similar (4)76.569.0145.5+7.575%
vs Weaker (22)82.873.2156.0+9.682%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
57-66
57
66
-9
86avg 101
A14/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#1
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H17/03
Basket League
Bayern
#12
W
89-69
89
69
+20
126avg 101
H19/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
L
67-90
67
90
-23
53avg 101
A21/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#12
W
101-65
101
65
+36
no box
A24/03
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
68-72
68
72
-4
57avg 101
H29/03
Euroleague
Rethymno
#10
W
92-58
92
58
+34
no box
A01/04
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
W
99-74
99
74
+25
97avg 101
H05/04
Euroleague
Peristeri
#4
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A10/04
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
80-59
80
59
+21
no box
H13/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
13-4
16-26
18-17
–
–
–
–
20-10
30-21
22-17
17-21
16-19
14-21
16-29
21-21
20-19
27-18
20-4
34-24
18-16
20-18
13-14
17-24
16-6
22-19
24-16
30-17
20-28
25-16
30-12
24-18
19-22
20-23
17-18
20-18
20-22
16-12
24-15
20-10
138.3Avg total
72.9Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.565.6146.0+14.987%
Season at home (11)81.561.6143.1+19.891%
Season away (12)79.669.2148.8+10.483%
Last 10 (10)72.965.4138.3+7.550%
Last 5 (5)83.068.8151.8+14.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.866.0115.8-16.20%
vs Similar (7)71.971.4143.3+0.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)82.670.1152.7+12.582%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.4+3.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.4+3.4
AEK AthensOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holargos B.C.
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A09/03
Basket League
PAOK
#14
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H13/03
Champions League
G.S. Kymis
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H16/03
Basket League
Ifaistos Limnou
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A23/03
Basket League
Bamberg
#12
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A27/03
Champions League
Aris
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H30/03
Basket League
Bamberg
#12
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H03/04
Champions League
Lavrio
#13
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A06/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H10/04
Basket League
Panionios
#12
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A13/04
Basket League
77.4Avg total
39.0Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.477.6+2.873%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.235.075.2+5.287%-
Last 30 away (15)40.239.779.9+0.560%-
Last 10 (10)39.038.477.4+0.670%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.682.6-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)40.251.892.0-11.525%-
vs Similar (4)41.230.872.0+10.5100%-
vs Weaker (22)40.036.076.0+4.077%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
D
23-23
23
23
+0
A14/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H19/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A21/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A24/03
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H29/03
Euroleague
Rethymno
#10
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A01/04
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H05/04
Euroleague
Peristeri
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A10/04
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H13/04
Basket League
73.2Avg total
38.4Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.036.175.0+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.136.178.2+6.075%-
Last 30 away (16)36.636.172.7+0.644%-
Last 10 (9)38.434.873.2+3.767%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.475.6+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.845.285.0-5.50%-
vs Similar (7)36.032.068.0+4.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.035.675.6+4.471%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.9
51.6%
53.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.75.3
28.3%
34.8%15.9
🏀 Free throws20.014.9
74.5%
73.9%14.9
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
AEK Athens wins
8
Olympiacos wins
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/19APanionios74-78
10/04/19HPanathinaikos72-104
06/04/19ALavrio100-94 OT
03/04/19HBamberg69-67
30/03/19HAris81-73
27/03/19ABamberg67-71
23/03/19AIfaistos Limnou87-74
16/03/19HG.S. Kymis96-92
13/03/19HPAOK62-63
09/03/19AHolargos B.C.81-70
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/19HPAOK80-59
10/04/19APeristeri76-81
05/04/19HDarussafaka99-74
01/04/19ARethymno92-58
29/03/19HZalgiris Kaunas68-72
24/03/19APanionios101-65
21/03/19AGran Canaria67-90
19/03/19HBayern89-69
17/03/19HPanathinaikos0-20
14/03/19AOlimpia Milano57-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %71%92%50%
Points / game81.583.979.1
Allowed / game77.172.681.6
Point differential+4.4+11.3-2.5
Avg total158.6156.5160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Olympiacos
Basket League 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW87%
HomeWWWLW91%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %87%91%83%
Points / game80.581.579.6
Allowed / game65.661.669.2
Point differential+14.9+19.8+10.4
Avg total146.0143.1148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%82%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)-83% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos2423196%86.266.0+20.2
2 Olympiacos2320387%80.565.6+14.9
3 AEK Athens2417771%81.577.1+4.4
4 Peristeri2416867%77.276.2+1.0
5 Promitheas2415962%76.773.1+3.6
6 PAOK2415962%77.074.5+2.5
7 Ifaistos Limnou24121250%73.576.5-2.9
8 Holargos B.C.24111346%69.872.0-2.2
9 Aris2481633%69.471.8-2.4
10 Panionios2481633%74.783.2-8.5
11 Lavrio2361726%75.882.0-6.2
12 Rethymno2461825%72.379.1-6.8
13 G.S. Kymis2461825%74.683.8-9.2
14 Kolossos Rhodes2231914%75.584.3-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2016141767
Olympiacos2118181976
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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