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AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record2-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#4
Record6-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game72.4
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 11· SUNEL Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · AEK Athens v Olympiacos
20 Dec 2026
AAT v OLY
upcoming
30 May 2026
AAT68
OLY95
25 Apr 2026
AAT84
OLY94
15 May 2025
AAT64
OLY90
03 Nov 2024
AAT77
OLY96
18 May 2024
AAT68
OLY100
07 Jan 2024
AAT80
OLY92
09 Apr 2023
AAT78
OLY85
29 Jan 2022
AAT74
OLY80
20 Apr 2019
AAT67
OLY76
10 Dec 2017
AAT66
OLY62
13 Mar 2017
AAT63
OLY70
03 Nov 2014
AAT62
OLY81
29 Jan 2011
AAT74
OLY79
03 Jan 2010
AAT91
OLY96
18 Feb 2009
AAT75
OLY95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#10
W
91-70
91
70
+21
88avg 80
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#15
W
95-93
95
93
+2
95avg 80
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#2
L
58-88
58
88
-30
47avg 80
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 80
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#12
L
76-103
76
103
-27
65avg 80
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#1
L
62-65
62
65
-3
59avg 80
A24/10
Basket League
Vikos
#13
L
84-95
84
95
-11
69avg 80
A31/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#33
W
72-66
72
66
+6
no box
A04/11
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
H08/11
Basket League
Lefkadas
#9
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
H14/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
28-22
18-16
27-20
24-24
25-20
17-27
29-22
10-23
11-19
14-22
23-24
22-17
25-21
18-21
19-20
25-25
25-23
12-28
14-27
15-20
14-5
15-22
18-18
16-20
27-26
17-25
24-24
18-17
20-10
16-21
18-18
19-14
21-23
15-21
19-25
13-27
24-18
22-15
14-17
158.8Avg total
76.9Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.179.6154.7-4.429%
Season at home (4)80.577.2157.8+3.250%
Season away (3)68.082.7150.7-14.70%
Last 10 (10)76.981.9158.8-5.040%
Last 5 (5)73.077.2150.2-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.786.3161.0-11.527%
vs Similar (13)82.281.8163.9+0.454%
vs Weaker (6)89.581.8171.3+7.783%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Vikos
#13
W
79-68
79
68
+11
76avg 92
A18/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
61-64
61
64
-3
58avg 92
H23/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#14
W
85-45
85
45
+40
86avg 92
A25/10
Basket League
Besiktas
#13
W
81-73
81
73
+8
83avg 92
A28/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 92
H30/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
91-62
91
62
+29
89avg 92
H01/11
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
57-62
57
62
-5
no box
H06/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#10
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
A08/11
Basket League
Dubai
#9
W
101-72
101
72
+29
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Aris
#2
L
78-100
78
100
-22
no box
A15/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
18-13
25-15
15-17
20-8
14-16
15-21
12-19
16-12
25-17
21-8
23-8
25-23
17-13
19-22
20-15
25-19
19-25
25-17
15-17
25-18
23-12
28-12
15-20
11-19
11-21
19-11
16-11
24-20
17-21
22-24
20-16
25-18
32-25
31-13
13-16
23-23
20-24
16-29
19-24
150.5Avg total
80.0Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.772.4157.1+12.386%
Season at home (2)95.072.5167.5+22.5100%
Season away (5)80.672.4153.0+8.280%
Last 10 (10)80.070.5150.5+9.570%
Last 5 (5)82.075.4157.4+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)78.081.6159.6-3.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)90.976.3167.2+14.688%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
AEK AthensOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#2
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#12
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#1
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A24/10
Basket League
Vikos
#13
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A31/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#33
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A04/11
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H08/11
Basket League
Lefkadas
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H14/11
Basket League
78.6Avg total
40.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.182.3+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.941.984.9+1.053%-
Last 30 away (13)38.840.178.8-1.346%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.678.6+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.073.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.539.578.1-1.055%-
vs Similar (13)40.541.782.2-1.246%-
vs Weaker (6)47.242.890.0+4.350%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vikos
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A18/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H23/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#14
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A25/10
Basket League
Besiktas
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A28/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#19
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H30/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H01/11
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H06/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A08/11
Basket League
Dubai
#9
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H12/11
Euroleague
Aris
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A15/11
Basket League
78.1Avg total
41.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.738.082.7+6.777%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.636.080.6+8.686%-
Last 30 away (16)44.839.884.6+5.169%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.078.1+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.282.4+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)35.842.878.6-7.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)46.537.083.6+9.584%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.0
53.0%
50.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.3
33.2%
34.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws22.216.1
72.5%
71.8%16.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.822.3
59.0%
50.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.8
34.0%
34.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
71.8%16.4
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LLWLLLWLWW
Olympiacos
LWWLWWWWLW
#11
League position
#4
-9.2
Net rating
+16.1
93.6
Offensive rating
101.9
102.8
Defensive rating
85.8
51.9%
Effective FG%
55.7%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.2%
3-point %
34.0%
67.5%
Assist %
66.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 101.9Defence102.8 · 85.8Shooting51.9% · 55.7%3-point %33.2% · 34.0%Ball care14.8% · 15.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Athens wins
10
Olympiacos wins
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HLefkadas73-77
08/11/26HPanathinaikos74-83
04/11/26ASzombathely72-66
31/10/26AVikos84-95
24/10/26APAOK62-65
21/10/26HAntwerp Giants76-103
17/10/26HMykonos84-79
10/10/26AAris58-88
07/10/26HSalon Vilpas95-93
03/10/26HMaroussi91-70
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AAris78-100
12/11/26HDubai101-72
08/11/26AMaroussi83-81
06/11/26HCrvena zvezda57-62
01/11/26HPeristeri91-62
30/10/26HOlimpia Milano84-78
28/10/26ABesiktas81-73
25/10/26APromitheas85-45
23/10/26HFenerbahce61-64
18/10/26AVikos79-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game75.180.568.0
Allowed / game79.677.282.7
Point differential-4.4+3.2-14.7
Avg total154.7157.8150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olympiacos
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %86%100%80%
Points / game84.795.080.6
Allowed / game72.472.572.4
Point differential+12.3+22.5+8.2
Avg total157.1167.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 PAOK770100%79.670.4+9.1
2 Aris76186%86.772.4+14.3
3 Panathinaikos76186%87.474.3+13.1
4 Olympiacos76186%84.772.4+12.3
5 AS Karditsas74357%73.771.9+1.9
6 Peristeri74357%81.084.6-3.6
7 Iraklis73443%80.176.4+3.7
8 Kolossos Rhodes73443%79.681.3-1.7
9 Lefkadas73443%78.380.4-2.1
10 Maroussi72529%79.983.1-3.3
11 AEK Athens72529%75.179.6-4.4
12 Mykonos71614%72.684.4-11.9
13 Vikos71614%77.389.7-12.4
14 Promitheas71614%73.388.3-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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