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AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 May 2024
Tip-off: 14:15
Final 68-100
12-24 29-25 12-23 15-28
Position#9
Record12-16
FormLWWLL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#3
Record25-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game69.4
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Quarter-finals· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · AEK Athens v Olympiacos
20 Dec 2026
AAT v OLY
upcoming
30 May 2026
AAT68
OLY95
25 Apr 2026
AAT84
OLY94
15 May 2025
AAT64
OLY90
03 Nov 2024
AAT77
OLY96
18 May 2024
AAT68
OLY100
07 Jan 2024
AAT80
OLY92
09 Apr 2023
AAT78
OLY85
29 Jan 2022
AAT74
OLY80
20 Apr 2019
AAT67
OLY76
10 Dec 2017
AAT66
OLY62
13 Mar 2017
AAT63
OLY70
03 Nov 2014
AAT62
OLY81
29 Jan 2011
AAT74
OLY79
03 Jan 2010
AAT91
OLY96
18 Feb 2009
AAT75
OLY95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Murcia
#2
L
89-100
89
100
-11
81avg 80
A12/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
90-82
90
82
+8
90avg 80
A16/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
L
67-79
67
79
-12
63avg 80
H20/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
97-101
97
101
-4
no box
H23/03
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
88-85
88
85
+3
79avg 80
H01/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
79-89
79
89
-10
71avg 80
A06/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
100-67
100
67
+33
104avg 80
H14/04
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
99-91
99
91
+8
94avg 80
H21/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
66avg 80
A27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
67avg 80
A15/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-35
29-20
19-24
26-21
24-17
23-20
23-22
20-23
12-11
17-20
17-24
21-24
29-29
22-29
25-18
21-25
13-20
28-19
25-21
22-25
13-26
29-24
16-25
21-14
31-10
19-13
30-23
20-21
29-28
20-19
29-21
21-23
25-25
18-16
17-19
19-21
20-19
22-22
17-31
16-20
173.0Avg total
86.3Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)86.885.8172.6+1.043%
Season at home (14)91.585.6177.1+5.957%
Season away (14)82.186.1168.1-4.029%
Last 10 (10)86.386.7173.0-0.440%
Last 5 (5)86.484.0170.4+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)83.293.1176.3-9.90%
vs Similar (11)85.086.3171.3-1.336%
vs Weaker (9)90.782.4173.1+8.267%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
75avg 79
H12/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
72avg 79
A15/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
W
80-69
80
69
+11
87avg 79
H18/04
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
W
77-75
77
75
+2
76avg 79
A24/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
69-77
69
77
-8
71avg 79
A26/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
80-82 OT
80
82
-2
71avg 79
H30/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
92-58
92
58
+34
93avg 79
H02/05
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
63-59
63
59
+4
57avg 79
A08/05
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
100-66
100
66
+34
104avg 79
A12/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#9
W
92-75
92
75
+17
87avg 79
H15/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
19-15
15-18
16-17
16-23
17-15
22-21
16-18
20-9
24-27
18-8
18-25
19-18
25-17
17-19
16-21
14-27
23-16
20-17
12-17
13-13
24-19
14-25
20-14
21-23
32-14
19-10
20-11
9-12
16-15
15-13
23-19
23-19
25-18
31-11
21-18
19-20
22-22
31-17
20-16
152.7Avg total
80.8Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.469.4154.8+16.089%
Season at home (15)82.670.9153.5+11.793%
Season away (13)88.667.7156.3+20.985%
Last 10 (10)80.871.9152.7+8.970%
Last 5 (5)85.468.0153.4+17.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)78.673.8152.5+4.864%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)83.870.2154.0+13.7100%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
AEK AthensOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#2
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A12/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A16/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H23/03
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H01/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A06/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H14/04
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H21/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A15/05
Basket League
86.0Avg total
43.8Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.242.984.1-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.841.583.3+0.343%-
Last 30 away (16)40.644.184.8-3.544%-
Last 10 (10)43.842.286.0+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.485.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.748.187.8-8.411%-
vs Similar (11)41.539.581.1+2.073%-
vs Weaker (9)43.442.285.7+1.244%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H12/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A15/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H18/04
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A24/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A26/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H30/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H02/05
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A08/05
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A12/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H15/05
Basket League
76.1Avg total
40.0Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.577.3+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.138.479.5+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)38.536.775.1+1.860%-
Last 10 (10)40.036.176.1+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.075.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)38.036.574.5+1.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)40.938.479.3+2.467%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.322.0
56.0%
52.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.7
33.7%
33.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.014.4
75.8%
71.5%14.4
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.9
58.7%
52.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.6
35.5%
33.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.712.6
71.2%
71.5%12.6
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LLWWLWLLWL
Olympiacos
WWWWLLWWLW
#9
League position
#3
-1.5
Net rating
+12.8
111.7
Offensive rating
112.7
113.1
Defensive rating
99.9
53.8%
Effective FG%
56.5%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
17.3%
Turnover %
19.8%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.7%
3-point %
35.5%
63.2%
Assist %
65.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 112.7Defence113.1 · 99.9Shooting53.8% · 56.5%3-point %33.7% · 35.5%Ball care17.3% · 19.8%Off. rebounds30.8% · 33.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Athens wins
10
Olympiacos wins
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/24AOlympiacos75-92
27/04/24AAS Karditsas79-81
21/04/24HPAOK99-91
14/04/24HLavrio100-67
06/04/24AApollon Patras79-89
01/04/24HMaroussi88-85
23/03/24HPeristeri97-101
20/03/24HPromitheas67-79
16/03/24AMaroussi90-82
12/03/24AMurcia89-100
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/24HAEK Athens92-75
12/05/24AKolossos Rhodes100-66
08/05/24ABarcelona63-59
02/05/24HBarcelona92-58
30/04/24HBarcelona80-82 OT
26/04/24ABarcelona69-77
24/04/24ABarcelona77-75
18/04/24HPromitheas80-69
15/04/24APanathinaikos71-77
12/04/24HFenerbahce84-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayWWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game86.891.582.1
Allowed / game85.885.686.1
Point differential+1.0+5.9-4.0
Avg total172.6177.1168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%36%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)33% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olympiacos
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW89%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWLW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %89%93%85%
Points / game85.482.688.6
Allowed / game69.470.967.7
Point differential+16.0+11.7+20.9
Avg total154.8153.5156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%67%77%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W10100100%84.665.1+19.5
2 Panathinaikos2827196%85.570.4+15.1
3 Olympiacos2825389%85.469.4+16.0
4 Klaipedos Neptunas W97278%75.660.7+14.9
5 Kibirkstis Vilnius W129375%82.063.2+18.8
6 Peristeri28171161%83.076.4+6.6
7 Promitheas28171161%83.779.3+4.4
8 Aris28131546%74.276.4-2.1
9 AEK Athens28121643%86.885.8+1.0
10 PAOK28111739%75.379.7-4.4
11 Maroussi27101737%81.785.4-3.6
12 AS Karditsas27101737%76.380.4-4.1
13 Lavrio27101737%77.184.7-7.7
14 Siauliai W114736%72.671.0+1.6
15 Kolossos Rhodes28101836%79.984.8-4.9
16 Aistes LSU Kaunas W1221017%57.077.6-20.6
17 Apollon Patras2742315%67.384.9-17.5
18 Panevezys W121118%58.185.2-27.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1229121568
Olympiacos24252328100
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