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AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 May 2026
Tip-off: 14:15
Final 68-95
10-20 20-24 16-22 22-29
Position#4
Record18-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#1
Record27-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.9
Allowed / game78.4
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Semi-finals· SUNEL Arena
Domestic2025-26Neutral venue
Meetings · AEK Athens v Olympiacos
20 Dec 2026
AAT v OLY
upcoming
30 May 2026
AAT68
OLY95
25 Apr 2026
AAT84
OLY94
15 May 2025
AAT64
OLY90
03 Nov 2024
AAT77
OLY96
18 May 2024
AAT68
OLY100
07 Jan 2024
AAT80
OLY92
09 Apr 2023
AAT78
OLY85
29 Jan 2022
AAT74
OLY80
20 Apr 2019
AAT67
OLY76
10 Dec 2017
AAT66
OLY62
13 Mar 2017
AAT63
OLY70
03 Nov 2014
AAT62
OLY81
29 Jan 2011
AAT74
OLY79
03 Jan 2010
AAT91
OLY96
18 Feb 2009
AAT75
OLY95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
66-88
66
88
-22
58avg 80
A07/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#5
W
72-67
72
67
+5
66avg 80
H15/04
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
71-57
71
57
+14
72avg 80
A19/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
77avg 80
H25/04
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 80
A07/05
Champions League
Rytas
#4
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
71avg 80
H09/05
Champions League
Aris
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
94avg 80
H14/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
81-90
81
90
-9
80avg 80
A17/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
102-99
102
99
+3
102avg 80
H25/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
77-94
77
94
-17
71avg 80
A28/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
18-26
24-19
11-16
20-18
14-22
16-15
22-12
21-7
17-22
21-13
12-15
21-22
19-24
24-22
20-26
14-9
23-12
19-22
22-22
25-15
17-10
21-20
17-35
17-17
29-23
20-14
21-27
23-25
26-27
19-19
13-19
32-25
20-21
24-22
26-31
19-26
19-20
19-25
20-23
163.1Avg total
80.4Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.081.0165.1+3.064%
Season at home (14)85.680.9166.5+4.871%
Season away (14)82.481.2163.6+1.257%
Last 10 (10)80.482.7163.1-2.350%
Last 5 (5)86.691.2177.8-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)79.289.0168.2-9.825%
vs Similar (13)82.682.5165.1+0.262%
vs Weaker (13)89.276.7165.8+12.5100%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Aris
#5
W
92-81
92
81
+11
99avg 92
H19/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
94-84
94
84
+10
96avg 92
A25/04
Basket League
Monaco
#10
W
91-70
91
70
+21
90avg 92
H28/04
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
94-64
94
64
+30
96avg 92
H30/04
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
105-82
105
82
+23
111avg 92
A05/05
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
117-76
117
76
+41
126avg 92
H13/05
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
97-58
97
58
+39
103avg 92
A16/05
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
79-61
79
61
+18
80avg 92
H22/05
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
92-85
92
85
+7
95avg 92
H24/05
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
94-77
94
77
+17
90avg 92
H28/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
25-17
31-18
21-23
22-21
24-19
22-24
26-20
19-20
26-16
21-15
25-19
28-23
31-8
13-22
22-11
26-17
35-23
21-24
23-18
35-15
35-20
23-20
24-21
28-14
27-13
22-12
20-19
18-12
15-12
23-17
23-20
19-26
27-18
15-21
31-20
26-19
20-19
25-19
23-20
169.3Avg total
95.5Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)97.978.4176.3+19.5100%
Season at home (14)99.181.2180.4+17.9100%
Season away (13)96.575.3171.8+21.2100%
Last 10 (10)95.573.8169.3+21.7100%
Last 5 (5)95.871.4167.2+24.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)92.786.0178.7+6.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)94.979.7174.6+15.289%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +10.0+10.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +4.7+4.7
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +10.0+10.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +4.7+4.7
AEK AthensOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A07/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H15/04
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A19/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H25/04
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A07/05
Champions League
Rytas
#4
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H09/05
Champions League
Aris
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H14/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A17/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H25/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A28/05
Basket League
80.5Avg total
40.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.183.7+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.141.883.9+0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)43.140.483.5+2.857%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.880.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.887.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)41.842.083.8-0.225%-
vs Similar (13)40.241.982.2-1.746%-
vs Weaker (13)45.240.085.2+5.262%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H19/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A25/04
Basket League
Monaco
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H28/04
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
59-31
59
31
+28
H30/04
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
61-40
61
40
+21
A05/05
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
70-35
70
35
+35
H13/05
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
55-27
55
27
+28
A16/05
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H22/05
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H24/05
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H28/05
Basket League
85.6Avg total
50.1Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.539.588.0+9.090%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.638.186.6+10.594%-
Last 30 away (13)48.541.489.8+7.185%-
Last 10 (10)50.135.585.6+14.690%-
Last 5 (5)50.033.683.6+16.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)48.342.791.0+5.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)48.639.187.7+9.489%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.2
54.4%
54.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.4
37.3%
34.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.016.5
71.7%
74.4%16.5
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.2 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers20.915.6
74.6%
54.1%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.612.2
42.7%
34.9%36.6
🏀 Free throws10.38.2
79.6%
74.4%8.2
They take 49.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 58% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWLWLWLWWL
Olympiacos
WWWWWWWWWW
#4
League position
#1
-3.1
Net rating
+17.9
95.5
Offensive rating
74.7
98.6
Defensive rating
56.9
55.0%
Effective FG%
68.5%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
15.9%
Turnover %
18.9%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.21
37.3%
3-point %
42.7%
69.6%
Assist %
81.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 74.7Defence98.6 · 56.9Shooting55.0% · 68.5%3-point %37.3% · 42.7%Ball care15.9% · 18.9%Free throws0.40 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 100%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Athens wins
10
Olympiacos wins
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/26AOlympiacos77-94
25/05/26HAris102-99
17/05/26AAris81-90
14/05/26HAris87-81
09/05/26HRytas86-92 OT
07/05/26AUnicaja78-65
25/04/26HOlympiacos84-94
19/04/26APanionios71-57
15/04/26HJoventut Badalona72-67
07/04/26AJoventut Badalona66-88
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/26HAEK Athens94-77
24/05/26HReal Madrid92-85
22/05/26HFenerbahce79-61
16/05/26AKolossos Rhodes97-58
13/05/26HKolossos Rhodes117-76
05/05/26AMonaco105-82
30/04/26HMonaco94-64
28/04/26HMonaco91-70
25/04/26AAEK Athens94-84
19/04/26HAris92-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL64%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayLLWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %64%71%57%
Points / game84.085.682.4
Allowed / game81.080.981.2
Point differential+3.0+4.8+1.2
Avg total165.1166.5163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olympiacos
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.999.196.5
Allowed / game78.481.275.3
Point differential+19.5+17.9+21.2
Avg total176.3180.4171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+85%86%85%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos27270100%97.978.4+19.5
2 Panathinaikos2823582%92.579.0+13.6
3 PAOK2819968%85.182.4+2.7
4 AEK Athens28181064%84.081.0+3.0
5 Aris27151256%84.682.0+2.6
6 Peristeri26141254%78.779.6-1.0
7 Mykonos2691735%79.787.9-8.2
8 Iraklis2481633%80.084.6-4.6
9 Promitheas2481633%84.090.2-6.2
10 Kolossos Rhodes2681831%81.287.3-6.1
11 AS Karditsas2471729%79.084.8-5.7
12 Maroussi2461825%85.892.1-6.3
13 Panionios2461825%77.585.6-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1020162268
Olympiacos2024222995
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