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Akita vs Saga Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#23
Record5-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game90.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
5.9/10
Above normal
Position#25
Record1-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game95.6
JapanB League· CNA Arena Akita
Other2026-27
Meetings · Akita v Saga
07 Mar 2027
AKIT v SAGA
upcoming
06 Mar 2027
AKIT v SAGA
upcoming
03 May 2026
AKIT70
SAGA87
02 May 2026
AKIT72
SAGA85
20 Oct 2024
AKIT74
SAGA72
19 Oct 2024
AKIT61
SAGA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akita win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Saga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
74avg 67
A21/10
B League
Yokohama
#18
W
95-86
95
86
+9
95avg 67
H24/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
71-79
71
79
-8
69avg 67
A26/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 67
H30/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
L
83-102
83
102
-19
68avg 67
H01/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
118-123
118
123
-5
no box
A06/11
B League
Shinshu
#20
L
96-101
96
101
-5
no box
H08/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
83-95
83
95
-12
no box
H11/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
94-110
94
110
-16
no box
H13/11
B League
Osaka
#26
W
82-76
82
76
+6
no box
H15/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
25-33
11-26
23-17
22-23
18-18
25-23
30-22
18-14
17-22
19-23
17-20
18-28
20-16
28-20
19-25
21-34
14-24
28-20
20-24
39-31
28-29
27-30
24-33
21-24
28-32
28-23
19-22
22-22
28-22
10-19
23-32
25-26
23-31
19-27
27-26
12-14
19-25
31-16
20-21
185.0Avg total
89.1Scored
95.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.390.7173.9-7.428%
Season at home (9)89.093.4182.4-4.433%
Season away (9)77.687.9165.4-10.322%
Last 10 (10)89.195.9185.0-6.820%
Last 5 (5)94.6101.0195.6-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)78.189.3167.4-11.220%
vs Similar (4)86.091.0177.0-5.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)82.076.0158.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
L
61-72
61
72
-11
52avg 73
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
90-109
90
109
-19
71avg 73
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
70-115
70
115
-45
58avg 73
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
66-84
66
84
-18
58avg 73
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
88-112
88
112
-24
72avg 73
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
83-100
83
100
-17
72avg 73
A31/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
60avg 73
A01/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
103-111
103
111
-8
no box
H08/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
A13/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
70-107
70
107
-37
no box
A15/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
12-16
17-17
17-23
24-28
21-26
19-23
26-32
18-29
21-33
16-24
15-29
20-24
15-24
17-17
14-19
13-33
17-28
30-21
28-30
16-37
31-21
11-24
25-18
13-21
28-15
16-21
21-27
20-34
21-24
26-25
36-28
26-24
14-26
19-27
13-13
23-21
16-34
22-23
9-29
176.5Avg total
78.1Scored
98.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.395.6172.9-18.36%
Season at home (9)78.496.3174.8-17.90%
Season away (7)75.994.7170.6-18.914%
Last 10 (10)78.198.4176.5-20.30%
Last 5 (5)81.298.4179.6-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)77.793.3171.1-15.610%
vs Similar (3)75.776.3152.0-0.767%
vs Weaker (7)87.776.7164.4+11.086%
This opponent (Akita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -7.9-7.9Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -4.4-4.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -7.9-7.9Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -4.4-4.4
AkitaSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A21/10
B League
Yokohama
#18
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H24/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A26/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H30/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H01/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A06/11
B League
Shinshu
#20
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H08/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H11/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H13/11
B League
Osaka
#26
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H15/11
B League
93.3Avg total
44.3Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.444.283.6-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.946.688.5-4.836%-
Last 30 away (16)37.342.079.3-4.725%-
Last 10 (10)44.349.093.3-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)49.051.2100.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)39.844.184.0-4.332%-
vs Similar (4)39.045.884.8-6.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)31.039.070.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
30-61
30
61
-31
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A31/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A01/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H08/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A15/11
B League
89.8Avg total
38.4Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.985.8-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.247.085.2-8.814%-
Last 30 away (16)43.243.186.3+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)38.451.489.8-13.010%-
Last 5 (5)41.651.493.0-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.047.986.8-8.920%-
vs Similar (3)41.336.377.7+5.067%-
vs Weaker (7)46.140.386.4+5.971%-
This opponent (Akita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.1
51.0%
53.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.1
36.5%
32.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.913.8
73.0%
73.8%13.8
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.9
51.9%
53.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.6
30.9%
32.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws14.911.0
73.8%
73.8%11.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akita
WLLLLLLLWL
Saga
LLLLLLLLLL
#23
League position
#25
-5.5
Net rating
-18.0
95.5
Offensive rating
90.3
101.1
Defensive rating
108.3
52.7%
Effective FG%
49.3%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
12.7%
Turnover %
11.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.5%
3-point %
30.9%
63.4%
Assist %
60.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 90.3Defence101.1 · 108.3Shooting52.7% · 49.3%3-point %36.5% · 30.9%Ball care12.7% · 11.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)20% · 0%
■ Akita   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Akita wins
4
Saga wins
DateGameScore
03/05/26Akita v Saga70-87
02/05/26Akita v Saga72-85
20/10/24Akita v Saga74-72
19/10/24Akita v Saga61-70
05/11/23Saga v Akita70-64
04/11/23Saga v Akita65-66
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HOsaka82-76
13/11/26HDiamond Dolphins94-110
11/11/26HIbaraki Robots83-95
08/11/26HShinshu96-101
06/11/26ALevanga Hokkaido118-123
01/11/26HAltiri Chiba83-102
30/10/26HAltiri Chiba85-89
26/10/26AKyoto71-79
24/10/26HYokohama95-86
21/10/26AHiroshima D.84-98
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ALevanga Hokkaido70-107
13/11/26ABrave Thunders72-90
08/11/26HChiba103-111
01/11/26ASeaHorses Mikawa78-84
31/10/26ASeaHorses Mikawa83-100
26/10/26HAlvark88-112
21/10/26HNagasaki66-84
18/10/26AKyoto70-115
16/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido90-109
12/10/26HGunma61-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akita
B League 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW28%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%33%22%
Points / game83.389.077.6
Allowed / game90.793.487.9
Point differential-7.4-4.4-10.3
Avg total173.9182.4165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %6%0%14%
Points / game77.378.475.9
Allowed / game95.696.394.7
Point differential-18.3-17.9-18.9
Avg total172.9174.8170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1412286%91.278.7+12.5
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1812667%90.879.9+10.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
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