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Akita vs Saga Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#21
Record4-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Position#25
Record1-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game94.4
JapanB League· CNA Arena Akita
Other2026-27
Meetings · Akita v Saga
07 Mar 2027
AKIT v SAGA
upcoming
06 Mar 2027
AKIT v SAGA
upcoming
03 May 2026
AKIT70
SAGA87
02 May 2026
AKIT72
SAGA85
20 Oct 2024
AKIT74
SAGA72
19 Oct 2024
AKIT61
SAGA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akita win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Saga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
63-90
63
90
-27
A03/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A04/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#19
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H08/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#13
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A11/10
B League
Shinshu
#22
W
102-95
102
95
+7
H17/10
B League
Alvark
#5
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A19/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A21/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
95-86
95
86
+9
H24/10
B League
Kyoto
#7
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A26/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H30/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
9-10
22-33
16-22
19-22
18-13
22-19
17-32
16-26
27-14
22-27
16-20
21-18
18-16
17-15
26-22
27-23
23-22
27-28
25-22
20-23
14-21
25-24
15-22
25-22
25-33
11-26
23-17
22-23
18-18
25-23
30-22
18-14
17-22
19-23
17-20
18-28
20-16
28-20
19-25
168.4Avg total
81.3Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.685.4164.0-6.833%
Season at home (4)90.889.2180.0+1.550%
Season away (8)72.583.5156.0-11.025%
Last 10 (10)81.387.1168.4-5.830%
Last 5 (5)81.888.4170.2-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)72.885.2158.0-12.319%
vs Similar (4)90.889.2180.0+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
61-89
61
89
-28
H27/09
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
61-97
61
97
-36
H03/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
89-93
89
93
-4
H04/10
B League
Alvark
#5
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A08/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A10/10
B League
Gunma
#9
L
61-72
61
72
-11
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#10
L
90-109
90
109
-19
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#7
L
70-115
70
115
-45
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
66-84
66
84
-18
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#5
L
88-112
88
112
-24
H26/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
12-19
20-20
7-27
22-27
14-23
15-29
10-18
19-26
20-25
31-20
19-22
15-29
19-15
22-22
18-24
27-20
17-12
15-26
25-19
15-16
12-16
17-17
17-23
24-28
21-26
19-23
26-32
18-29
21-33
16-24
15-29
20-24
15-24
17-17
14-19
13-33
17-28
30-21
28-30
168.2Avg total
74.4Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.594.4169.9-18.89%
Season at home (8)75.494.5169.9-19.10%
Season away (3)76.094.0170.0-18.033%
Last 10 (10)74.493.8168.2-19.410%
Last 5 (5)75.098.4173.4-23.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.591.7168.2-15.113%
vs Similar (6)81.882.7164.5-0.850%
vs Weaker (9)87.178.4165.6+8.778%
This opponent (Akita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -6.4-6.4
AkitaSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A03/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A04/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#19
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H08/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#13
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A11/10
B League
Shinshu
#22
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H17/10
B League
Alvark
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A19/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A21/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H24/10
B League
Kyoto
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A26/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H30/10
B League
80.0Avg total
39.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.642.179.7-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (11)41.543.084.5-1.545%-
Last 30 away (19)35.341.676.9-6.321%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.980.0-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.083.4-4.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)36.842.178.8-5.327%-
vs Similar (4)42.842.585.2+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H27/09
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H04/10
B League
Alvark
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A08/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A10/10
B League
Gunma
#9
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#10
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#7
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#5
L
30-61
30
61
-31
H26/10
B League
83.9Avg total
36.3Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.843.285.0-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.945.285.1-5.225%-
Last 30 away (14)43.940.984.9+3.071%-
Last 10 (10)36.347.683.9-11.310%-
Last 5 (5)35.251.486.6-16.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.146.784.7-8.620%-
vs Similar (6)45.339.785.0+5.783%-
vs Weaker (9)45.739.885.4+5.967%-
This opponent (Akita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.3
52.4%
53.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.5
36.3%
32.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.313.2
72.1%
73.7%13.2
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.4
50.7%
53.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.28.5
27.2%
32.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.611.7
75.0%
73.7%11.7
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akita
LLWLLWWLLL
Saga
LLLLLWLLLL
#21
League position
#25
-6.7
Net rating
-22.6
93.7
Offensive rating
84.7
100.4
Defensive rating
107.3
53.4%
Effective FG%
46.1%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
14.4%
Turnover %
12.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.3%
3-point %
27.2%
64.2%
Assist %
58.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 84.7Defence100.4 · 107.3Shooting53.4% · 46.1%3-point %36.3% · 27.2%Ball care14.4% · 12.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Akita   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Akita wins
4
Saga wins
DateGameScore
03/05/26Akita v Saga70-87
02/05/26Akita v Saga72-85
20/10/24Akita v Saga74-72
19/10/24Akita v Saga61-70
05/11/23Saga v Akita70-64
04/11/23Saga v Akita65-66
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HAltiri Chiba85-89
26/10/26AKyoto71-79
24/10/26HYokohama95-86
21/10/26AHiroshima D.84-98
19/10/26AAlvark74-90
17/10/26HShinshu102-95
11/10/26AUtsunomiya Brex82-71
08/10/26HBrave Thunders81-87
04/10/26ATokyo Sunrockers76-86
03/10/26ATokyo Sunrockers63-90
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/26HAlvark88-112
21/10/26HNagasaki66-84
18/10/26AKyoto70-115
16/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido90-109
12/10/26HGunma61-72
10/10/26AKobe84-77
08/10/26AAlvark74-90
04/10/26HNeoPhoenix89-93
03/10/26HNeoPhoenix61-97
27/09/26HHiroshima D.61-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akita
B League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game78.690.872.5
Allowed / game85.489.283.5
Point differential-6.8+1.5-11.0
Avg total164.0180.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %9%0%33%
Points / game75.575.476.0
Allowed / game94.494.594.0
Point differential-18.8-19.1-18.0
Avg total169.9169.9170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins990100%93.174.7+18.4
2 Hiroshima D.1110191%92.479.5+12.9
3 NeoPhoenix76186%87.179.1+8.0
4 SeaHorses Mikawa86275%90.177.6+12.5
5 Alvark129375%94.183.5+10.6
6 Sendai129375%86.680.1+6.5
7 Kyoto118373%86.477.7+8.6
8 Tokyo Sunrockers128467%91.079.2+11.8
9 Gunma117464%78.975.2+3.7
10 Levanga Hokkaido106460%97.893.9+3.9
11 Ryukyu116555%84.981.2+3.7
12 Toyama116555%82.385.7-3.5
13 Utsunomiya Brex115645%81.482.0-0.6
14 Shiga115645%87.589.5-2.1
15 Ibaraki Robots125742%81.879.2+2.7
16 Nagasaki125742%75.880.2-4.4
17 Yokohama125742%79.686.1-6.5
18 Shimane104640%81.382.4-1.1
19 Brave Thunders114736%81.885.6-3.8
20 Chiba114736%91.598.0-6.5
21 Akita124833%78.685.4-6.8
22 Shinshu134931%84.587.5-3.1
23 Altiri Chiba134931%78.486.5-8.1
24 Kobe112918%78.686.5-7.8
25 Saga111109%75.594.4-18.8
26 Osaka111109%69.388.8-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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