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Alba Berlin vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-86
26-16 14-20 17-22 22-28
Position#18
Record5-24
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game85.9
Alba Berlin
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Position#1
Record23-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game80.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30· Uber Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Real Madrid
26 Dec 2024
ABE69
MAD80
19 Mar 2024
ABE79
MAD86
12 Jan 2023
ABE77
MAD84
20 Jan 2022
ABE74
MAD89
29 Jan 2021
ABE63
MAD72
15 Jan 2015
ABE61
MAD79
27 Dec 2012
ABE63
MAD77
05 Feb 2009
ABE84
MAD87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
77-93
77
93
-16
63avg 79
A09/02
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
98-89
98
89
+9
92avg 79
A11/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
108-85
108
85
+23
113avg 79
H13/02
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
79-87
79
87
-8
72avg 79
H17/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
71-106
71
106
-35
59avg 79
H29/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
87avg 79
H03/03
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
71-88
71
88
-17
66avg 79
A08/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
76-75
76
75
+1
63avg 79
A10/03
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
82-90
82
90
-8
79avg 79
H14/03
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
112-69
112
69
+43
112avg 79
H16/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-31
13-20
12-29
26-13
25-21
18-20
23-24
32-24
29-21
26-23
18-23
35-18
18-19
22-23
21-17
18-28
15-27
23-30
18-30
15-19
28-21
17-15
20-12
20-19
10-23
24-19
13-21
24-25
27-19
15-17
10-25
24-14
27-13
12-32
23-24
20-21
21-24
35-10
32-16
24-19
170.8Avg total
85.9Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.985.9161.9-10.017%
Season at home (15)76.185.4161.5-9.327%
Season away (14)75.886.5162.3-10.77%
Last 10 (10)85.984.9170.8+1.050%
Last 5 (5)85.277.8163.0+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.385.4160.7-10.119%
vs Similar (5)92.485.0177.4+7.480%
vs Weaker (9)89.780.2169.9+9.478%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Breogan
#16
W
80-73
80
73
+7
72avg 75
A11/02
ACB
Murcia
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 75
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Valencia
#3
W
95-76
95
76
+19
93avg 75
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#2
W
96-85
96
85
+11
76avg 75
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
86-97
86
97
-11
81avg 75
H29/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
89-70
89
70
+19
94avg 75
A03/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
79-89
79
89
-10
69avg 75
H07/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
80-78
80
78
+2
81avg 75
H10/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
89-74
89
74
+15
89avg 75
A15/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
W
87-81
87
81
+6
77avg 75
A17/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
24-18
15-15
26-16
25-17
19-17
19-22
21-23
23-17
25-22
32-16
15-21
19-19
24-26
23-18
30-22
24-18
12-27
25-22
25-30
26-16
11-25
31-14
21-15
15-20
18-23
25-24
21-22
20-19
18-22
25-18
17-19
23-15
21-16
17-21
28-22
24-19
24-21
16-24
23-17
166.7Avg total
86.5Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)88.680.6169.2+8.079%
Season at home (15)92.583.1175.7+9.487%
Season away (14)84.477.9162.2+6.571%
Last 10 (10)86.580.2166.7+6.380%
Last 5 (5)84.878.4163.2+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)89.887.0176.8+2.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)87.381.3168.6+6.076%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.0+2.0
Alba BerlinReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A09/02
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A11/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H13/02
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H29/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/03
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A08/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A10/03
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H14/03
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H16/03
BBL
85.9Avg total
43.1Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.484.5-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.142.986.1+0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)41.041.882.8-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.885.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.238.681.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.944.683.6-5.725%-
vs Similar (5)46.641.287.8+5.4100%-
vs Weaker (9)45.339.184.4+6.267%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#16
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A11/02
ACB
Murcia
#5
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Valencia
#3
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H29/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A03/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H07/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H10/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A15/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A17/03
ACB
81.1Avg total
41.0Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.182.1+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.339.082.3+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)40.841.181.9-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.181.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.279.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)44.840.084.8+4.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.540.381.8+1.260%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.621.0
55.9%
53.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.8
34.8%
36.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.9
79.0%
77.4%16.9
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.321.1
56.6%
53.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.1
33.6%
36.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.919.2
83.8%
77.4%19.2
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLWLWLLWWL
Real Madrid
WWWLWLWWWW
#18
League position
#1
+2.1
Net rating
+9.0
109.9
Offensive rating
115.0
107.9
Defensive rating
106.0
54.4%
Effective FG%
54.2%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
21.6%
Turnover %
19.0%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.8%
3-point %
33.6%
63.8%
Assist %
60.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 115.0Defence107.9 · 106.0Shooting54.4% · 54.2%3-point %34.8% · 33.6%Ball care21.6% · 19.0%Off. rebounds32.5% · 34.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alba Berlin wins
10
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
23/11/23Real Madrid v Alba Berlin99-75
12/01/23Alba Berlin v Real Madrid77-84
17/11/22Real Madrid v Alba Berlin90-72
20/01/22Alba Berlin v Real Madrid74-89
14/12/21Real Madrid v Alba Berlin87-64
29/01/21Alba Berlin v Real Madrid63-72
22/12/20Real Madrid v Alba Berlin91-62
12/03/15Real Madrid v Alba Berlin93-62
15/01/15Alba Berlin v Real Madrid61-79
22/02/13Real Madrid v Alba Berlin77-72
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HTubingen112-69
14/03/24HMonaco82-90
10/03/24ARostock76-75
08/03/24ABaskonia71-88
03/03/24HOldenburg85-67
29/02/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv71-106
17/02/24HUlm79-87
13/02/24HGottingen108-85
11/02/24AVechta98-89
09/02/24ABarcelona77-93
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24AUnicaja87-81
15/03/24AVirtus Bologna89-74
10/03/24HTenerife80-78
07/03/24HFenerbahce79-89
03/03/24AMoraBanc Andorra89-70
29/02/24HPanathinaikos86-97
18/02/24HBarcelona96-85
17/02/24HValencia95-76
15/02/24HMurcia84-79
11/02/24ABreogan80-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLWLLL27%
AwayLWLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %17%27%7%
Points / game75.976.175.8
Allowed / game85.985.486.5
Point differential-10.0-9.3-10.7
Avg total161.9161.5162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%0%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW79%
HomeWWWLL87%
AwayLWLLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %79%87%71%
Points / game88.692.584.4
Allowed / game80.683.177.9
Point differential+8.0+9.4+6.5
Avg total169.2175.7162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%53%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)100% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %10%13%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2923679%88.680.6+8.0
2 Barcelona2920969%83.078.3+4.7
3 Monaco29191066%82.078.8+3.3
4 Panathinaikos29181162%81.077.1+3.9
5 Fenerbahce29181162%85.081.6+3.4
6 Olympiacos30181260%78.675.0+3.6
7 Virtus Bologna30171357%80.181.5-1.3
8 Baskonia29161355%84.183.6+0.5
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv29161355%86.987.1-0.2
10 Partizan29131645%83.384.2-0.9
11 Valencia29131645%76.578.2-1.7
12 Bayern29131645%79.181.8-2.8
13 Anadolu Efes30131743%85.587.2-1.8
14 Olimpia Milano29121741%77.177.4-0.3
15 Zalgiris Kaunas30121840%79.880.7-1.0
16 Crvena zvezda29101934%81.381.3+0.0
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2972224%78.285.6-7.3
18 Alba Berlin2952417%75.985.9-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2614172279
Real Madrid1620222886
← all games of the day
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