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Anadolu Efes vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 85-84
23-23 30-17 12-27 20-17
Position#10
Record13-17
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game87.2
Anadolu Efes 🏆
vs
Alba Berlin
Position#18
Record5-25
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game85.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 31· Sinan Erdem Dome
European cup2023
Meetings · Anadolu Efes v Alba Berlin
28 Feb 2025
EFS98
ABE73
21 Mar 2024
EFS85
ABE84
21 Oct 2022
EFS78
ABE74
01 Apr 2022
EFS87
ABE77
12 Jan 2021
EFS84
ABE76
11 Jan 2013
EFS71
ABE62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Anadolu Efes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Anadolu EfesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEfes
Date
Competition
Manisa
#5
W
94-85
94
85
+9
89avg 80
H13/02
Turkish Cup
Karsiyaka
#3
W
81-77
81
77
+4
77avg 80
H16/02
Turkish Cup
Fenerbahce
#1
L
67-80
67
80
-13
59avg 80
H18/02
Turkish Cup
Partizan
#11
L
90-100
90
100
-10
83avg 80
A29/02
Euroleague
Samsunspor
#16
W
91-86
91
86
+5
79avg 80
H03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#15
W
109-86
109
86
+23
105avg 80
H07/03
Euroleague
Tofas
#11
W
95-93
95
93
+2
93avg 80
A10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
80-84
80
84
-4
68avg 80
A15/03
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#14
W
83-77
83
77
+6
77avg 80
H17/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
W
85-72
85
72
+13
82avg 80
H19/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
33-20
21-21
22-17
23-16
13-14
21-26
24-21
20-26
15-16
14-21
18-17
20-17
20-26
19-21
31-36
21-19
22-26
17-25
31-16
26-28
27-21
35-16
21-21
23-17
28-23
16-31
28-22
16-19
23-27
13-19
28-19
20-17
23-22
20-24
20-14
26-21
22-16
18-24
19-11
171.5Avg total
87.5Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)85.587.2172.7-1.843%
Season at home (15)88.082.1170.1+5.973%
Season away (15)82.992.4175.3-9.513%
Last 10 (10)87.584.0171.5+3.570%
Last 5 (5)90.482.4172.8+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.592.5180.0-5.025%
vs Similar (14)86.985.8172.7+1.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.580.3165.7+5.291%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
W
98-89
98
89
+9
92avg 79
A11/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
108-85
108
85
+23
113avg 79
H13/02
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
79-87
79
87
-8
72avg 79
H17/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
71-106
71
106
-35
59avg 79
H29/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
87avg 79
H03/03
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
71-88
71
88
-17
66avg 79
A08/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
76-75
76
75
+1
63avg 79
A10/03
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
82-90
82
90
-8
79avg 79
H14/03
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
112-69
112
69
+43
112avg 79
H16/03
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
67avg 79
H19/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
18-20
23-24
32-24
29-21
26-23
18-23
35-18
18-19
22-23
21-17
18-28
15-27
23-30
18-30
15-19
28-21
17-15
20-12
20-19
10-23
24-19
13-21
24-25
27-19
15-17
10-25
24-14
27-13
12-32
23-24
20-21
21-24
35-10
32-16
24-19
26-16
14-20
17-22
22-28
170.3Avg total
86.1Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.085.9162.0-9.917%
Season at home (16)76.285.4161.7-9.225%
Season away (14)75.886.5162.3-10.77%
Last 10 (10)86.184.2170.3+1.950%
Last 5 (5)84.081.6165.6+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.585.4160.9-9.918%
vs Similar (5)92.485.0177.4+7.480%
vs Weaker (8)90.281.5171.8+8.875%
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
Anadolu EfesAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Anadolu EfesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manisa
#5
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H13/02
Turkish Cup
Karsiyaka
#3
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H16/02
Turkish Cup
Fenerbahce
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H18/02
Turkish Cup
Partizan
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A29/02
Euroleague
Samsunspor
#16
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#15
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H07/03
Euroleague
Tofas
#11
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A15/03
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H17/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H19/03
Euroleague
85.7Avg total
43.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.884.8-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.141.584.6+1.659%-
Last 30 away (13)40.644.585.1-3.838%-
Last 10 (10)43.941.885.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.842.289.0+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.540.275.8-4.825%-
vs Similar (14)43.344.487.6-1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.041.383.3+0.755%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A11/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H13/02
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H29/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/03
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A08/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A10/03
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H14/03
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H16/03
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H19/03
Euroleague
84.5Avg total
43.2Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.484.4-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.942.585.5+0.453%-
Last 30 away (13)40.742.282.9-1.546%-
Last 10 (10)43.241.384.5+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.238.680.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.044.183.1-5.129%-
vs Similar (5)46.641.287.8+5.4100%-
vs Weaker (8)45.439.584.9+5.962%-
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Anadolu Efestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Anadolu Efes: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.221.0
56.5%
53.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.4
38.1%
36.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.013.7
80.6%
77.4%13.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.7
56.2%
53.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.3
35.6%
36.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.616.4
79.6%
77.4%16.4
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Anadolu Efes
WWLWWWLLWW
Alba Berlin
LWLWLWLLWW
#10
League position
#18
+5.8
Net rating
+3.8
122.5
Offensive rating
111.6
116.7
Defensive rating
107.8
56.7%
Effective FG%
55.1%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
14.1%
Turnover %
20.6%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.1%
3-point %
35.6%
57.0%
Assist %
65.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence122.5 · 111.6Defence116.7 · 107.8Shooting56.7% · 55.1%3-point %38.1% · 35.6%Ball care14.1% · 20.6%Off. rebounds32.6% · 31.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Anadolu Efes   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Anadolu Efes wins
1
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
07/12/23Alba Berlin v Anadolu Efes89-97
23/03/23Alba Berlin v Anadolu Efes95-93
21/10/22Anadolu Efes v Alba Berlin78-74
01/04/22Anadolu Efes v Alba Berlin87-77
11/11/21Alba Berlin v Anadolu Efes63-90
12/01/21Anadolu Efes v Alba Berlin84-76
13/10/20Alba Berlin v Anadolu Efes72-93
06/03/13Alba Berlin v Anadolu Efes86-91
11/01/13Anadolu Efes v Alba Berlin71-62
Anadolu Efeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/24HOlympiacos85-72
17/03/24HMerkezefendi83-77
15/03/24ALyon-Villeurbanne80-84
10/03/24ATofas95-93
07/03/24HBayern109-86
03/03/24HSamsunspor91-86
29/02/24APartizan90-100
18/02/24HFenerbahce67-80
16/02/24HKarsiyaka81-77
13/02/24HManisa94-85
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/24HReal Madrid79-86
16/03/24HTubingen112-69
14/03/24HMonaco82-90
10/03/24ARostock76-75
08/03/24ABaskonia71-88
03/03/24HOldenburg85-67
29/02/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv71-106
17/02/24HUlm79-87
13/02/24HGottingen108-85
11/02/24AVechta98-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Anadolu Efes
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW43%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayLLLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %43%73%13%
Points / game85.588.082.9
Allowed / game87.282.192.4
Point differential-1.8+5.9-9.5
Avg total172.7170.1175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLWLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %17%25%7%
Points / game76.076.275.8
Allowed / game85.985.486.5
Point differential-9.9-9.2-10.7
Avg total162.0161.7162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%0%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3024680%88.580.5+8.0
2 Barcelona30201067%82.778.6+4.0
3 Panathinaikos30191163%81.377.1+4.2
4 Fenerbahce30191163%85.181.3+3.8
5 Monaco30191163%82.079.4+2.6
6 Olympiacos30181260%78.675.0+3.6
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv30171357%87.387.2+0.1
8 Virtus Bologna30171357%80.181.5-1.3
9 Baskonia30161453%84.183.7+0.3
10 Partizan30141647%83.584.2-0.7
11 Valencia30141647%76.377.9-1.6
12 Olimpia Milano30131743%77.877.5+0.3
13 Anadolu Efes30131743%85.587.2-1.8
14 Bayern30131743%78.781.4-2.7
15 Zalgiris Kaunas30121840%79.880.7-1.0
16 Crvena zvezda30102033%81.281.6-0.4
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne3072323%78.686.0-7.4
18 Alba Berlin3052517%76.085.9-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Anadolu Efes2330122085
Alba Berlin2317271784
← all games of the day
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