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Anadolu Efes vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 64-67
23-21 13-14 14-13 14-19
Position#10
Record17-17
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Position#8
Record17-17
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game82.5
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Semi-finals· Sinan Erdem Dome
European cup2023
Meetings · Anadolu Efes v Virtus Bologna
13 Nov 2026
EFS v VIR
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
EFS91
VIR60
07 Mar 2025
EFS89
VIR68
16 Apr 2024
EFS64
VIR67
12 Jan 2024
EFS99
VIR75
30 Mar 2023
EFS86
VIR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Anadolu Efes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Anadolu EfesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEfes
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#14
W
83-77
83
77
+6
77avg 81
H17/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
W
85-72
85
72
+13
82avg 81
H19/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
85-84
85
84
+1
78avg 81
H21/03
Euroleague
Manisa
#6
W
81-76
81
76
+5
84avg 81
A24/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#9
W
97-76
97
76
+21
91avg 81
A28/03
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#7
W
98-73
98
73
+25
104avg 81
H02/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#7
W
82-80
82
80
+2
76avg 81
A05/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
W
90-80
90
80
+10
86avg 81
A08/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
100-55
100
55
+45
96avg 81
H11/04
Euroleague
Besiktas
#3
W
90-75
90
75
+15
87avg 81
H14/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
23-22
20-24
20-14
26-21
22-16
18-24
19-11
23-23
30-17
12-27
20-17
19-22
24-22
18-18
20-14
32-22
17-23
28-8
20-23
35-17
22-14
18-23
23-19
16-13
16-23
19-16
31-28
22-19
20-21
20-23
28-17
15-11
30-20
31-13
24-11
32-25
19-15
17-18
22-17
163.9Avg total
89.1Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)86.185.6171.8+0.550%
Season at home (17)88.580.6169.1+7.976%
Season away (17)83.790.7174.4-7.024%
Last 10 (10)89.174.8163.9+14.3100%
Last 5 (5)92.072.6164.6+19.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.580.0158.5-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)90.280.9171.1+9.471%
vs Weaker (11)87.781.5169.2+6.391%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#16
L
86-87 OT
86
87
-1
no box
A17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
81-96
81
96
-15
75avg 81
A19/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
79-94
79
94
-15
66avg 81
A22/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
87-73
87
73
+14
84avg 81
A25/03
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
79avg 81
H29/03
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
L
93-100
93
100
-7
86avg 81
H01/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
75-90
75
90
-15
67avg 81
A05/04
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
89-70
89
70
+19
90avg 81
A07/04
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
L
91-95
91
95
-4
88avg 81
H12/04
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
W
93-85
93
85
+8
92avg 81
H14/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
17-15
17-17
19-22
22-22
27-21
14-25
18-28
23-21
19-27
23-26
14-20
20-22
24-17
29-22
14-12
16-28
23-23
20-14
20-16
26-14
29-27
28-27
10-32
18-22
16-24
19-27
22-17
24-20
30-11
20-16
15-23
22-21
31-23
21-31
17-20
20-23
29-30
24-16
20-16
172.4Avg total
85.3Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)80.282.5162.7-2.250%
Season at home (17)83.679.9163.5+3.771%
Season away (17)76.985.1161.9-8.229%
Last 10 (10)85.387.1172.4-1.830%
Last 5 (5)88.288.0176.2+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.082.8154.8-10.80%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.685.3166.9-3.645%
vs Weaker (12)89.878.1167.8+11.767%
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: -3.7-3.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: -3.7-3.7
Anadolu EfesVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Anadolu EfesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H17/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H19/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H21/03
Euroleague
Manisa
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A24/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A28/03
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#7
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H02/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A05/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A08/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H11/04
Euroleague
Besiktas
#3
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H14/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.6Avg total
46.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.342.185.4+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.940.385.2+4.667%-
Last 30 away (12)40.844.885.7-4.042%-
Last 10 (10)46.338.384.6+8.080%-
Last 5 (5)45.435.681.0+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.040.877.8-3.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.542.686.1+0.957%-
vs Weaker (11)44.541.586.0+3.155%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#16
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A19/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A22/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A25/03
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H29/03
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H01/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A05/04
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A07/04
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H12/04
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H14/04
Lega A
88.4Avg total
45.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.583.2+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.940.684.5+3.264%-
Last 30 away (16)41.840.482.1+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)45.542.988.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)49.043.092.0+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.545.082.5-7.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.840.781.5+0.155%-
vs Weaker (12)47.638.686.2+9.075%-
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Anadolu Efestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Anadolu Efes: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.023.1
59.2%
53.4%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.8
39.4%
36.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.212.7
78.4%
77.4%12.7
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.3
55.8%
53.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.9
34.7%
36.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.413.0
79.3%
77.4%13.0
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Anadolu Efes
WWWWWWWWWW
Virtus Bologna
WLWLLLWLLL
#10
League position
#8
+21.0
Net rating
-4.2
125.9
Offensive rating
116.8
105.0
Defensive rating
121.0
59.2%
Effective FG%
54.2%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
14.0%
Turnover %
15.0%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.4%
3-point %
34.7%
62.3%
Assist %
65.6%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence125.9 · 116.8Defence105.0 · 121.0Shooting59.2% · 54.2%3-point %39.4% · 34.7%Ball care14.0% · 15.0%Off. rebounds33.3% · 33.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)100% · 30%
■ Anadolu Efes   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Anadolu Efes wins
1
Virtus Bologna wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HBesiktas90-75
11/04/24HCrvena zvezda100-55
08/04/24AFenerbahce90-80
05/04/24AFenerbahce82-80
02/04/24HPetkim Spor98-73
28/03/24ABaskonia97-76
24/03/24AManisa81-76
21/03/24HAlba Berlin85-84
19/03/24HOlympiacos85-72
17/03/24HMerkezefendi83-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HCremona93-85
12/04/24HBaskonia91-95
07/04/24AVenezia89-70
05/04/24AOlimpia Milano75-90
01/04/24HPistoia93-100
29/03/24HPanathinaikos79-81
25/03/24ABrescia87-73
22/03/24ACrvena zvezda79-94
19/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas81-96
17/03/24APesaro86-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Anadolu Efes
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW50%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayLLLWW24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %50%76%24%
Points / game86.188.583.7
Allowed / game85.680.690.7
Point differential+0.5+7.9-7.0
Avg total171.8169.1174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%35%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)71% (7)25% (4)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeLWLLL71%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game80.283.676.9
Allowed / game82.579.985.1
Point differential-2.2+3.7-8.2
Avg total162.7163.5161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%29%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (8)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3427779%88.280.7+7.5
2 Panathinaikos34231168%81.677.1+4.5
3 Monaco34231168%81.979.1+2.8
4 Olympiacos34221265%79.075.0+3.9
5 Barcelona34221265%82.779.2+3.5
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv35211460%88.586.7+1.8
7 Fenerbahce34201459%85.180.9+4.2
8 Baskonia35181751%84.385.7-1.4
9 Anadolu Efes34171750%86.185.6+0.5
10 Virtus Bologna34171750%80.282.5-2.2
11 Partizan34161847%83.083.4-0.4
12 Olimpia Milano34151944%78.278.1+0.1
13 Zalgiris Kaunas34142041%79.579.5-0.1
14 Valencia34142041%75.979.1-3.1
15 Bayern34132138%78.682.1-3.4
16 Crvena zvezda34112332%81.382.8-1.5
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne3492526%78.684.9-6.3
18 Alba Berlin3452915%76.286.6-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Anadolu Efes2313141464
Virtus Bologna2114131967
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