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Virtus Bologna vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 01 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 93-100
26-14 29-27 28-27 10-32
Position#2
Record17-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game76.6
vs
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
Position#10
Record12-12
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game82.4
ItalyLega ARound 25· Segafredo Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Pistoia
06 Oct 2024
VIR84
PIS68
01 Apr 2024
VIR93
PIS100
18 Jan 2020
VIR90
PIS60
07 Apr 2019
VIR67
PIS78
02 Jan 2018
VIR75
PIS67
20 Dec 2015
VIR76
PIS72
01 Mar 2015
VIR90
PIS67
04 May 2014
VIR70
PIS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Valencia
#14
W
87-74
87
74
+13
83avg 81
H29/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
88-93
88
93
-5
87avg 81
A03/03
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
69-74
69
74
-5
59avg 81
A07/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
84-75
84
75
+9
81avg 81
H10/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 81
H15/03
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
L
86-87 OT
86
87
-1
no box
A17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
81-96
81
96
-15
75avg 81
A19/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
79-94
79
94
-15
66avg 81
A22/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
87-73
87
73
+14
84avg 81
A25/03
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
79avg 81
H29/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
26-12
21-25
22-17
25-27
15-17
22-21
26-28
22-21
24-16
5-20
18-17
24-19
23-18
17-17
20-21
15-23
16-21
21-17
22-28
19-18
17-15
17-17
19-22
22-22
27-21
14-25
18-28
23-21
19-27
23-26
14-20
20-22
24-17
29-22
14-12
16-28
23-23
20-14
20-16
165.0Avg total
81.4Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)88.276.6164.9+11.671%
Season at home (11)92.975.5168.5+17.491%
Season away (13)84.377.5161.8+6.854%
Last 10 (10)81.483.6165.0-2.230%
Last 5 (5)82.486.2168.6-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.082.8154.8-10.80%
vs Similar (12)80.482.5162.9-2.158%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.774.4163.1+14.473%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
L
69-107
69
107
-38
57avg 67
A14/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 67
H20/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
90-109
90
109
-19
78avg 67
A28/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-78
72
78
-6
62avg 67
H04/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
69-96
69
96
-27
56avg 67
A11/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
71-86
71
86
-15
4avg 67
A14/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#9
W
84-71
84
71
+13
75avg 67
H03/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
74-67
74
67
+7
70avg 67
A10/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
no box
A16/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
83-84
83
84
-1
71avg 67
H23/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-32
16-30
14-27
27-18
10-21
21-22
20-11
27-17
13-27
32-29
26-18
19-35
24-21
9-20
23-16
16-21
12-27
10-24
21-27
26-18
16-19
18-17
16-25
21-25
23-17
22-13
12-24
27-17
18-17
21-11
17-19
18-20
21-18
17-23
21-20
20-18
19-24
19-19
22-15
23-26
164.7Avg total
78.5Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.982.4161.3-3.550%
Season at home (12)75.275.6150.8-0.350%
Season away (12)82.689.2171.8-6.750%
Last 10 (10)78.586.2164.7-7.740%
Last 5 (5)81.480.2161.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.782.8161.5-4.155%
vs Similar (18)76.677.6154.2-0.956%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
Virtus BolognaPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H29/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A03/03
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H10/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H15/03
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A19/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A22/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A25/03
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H29/03
Euroleague
82.6Avg total
41.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.381.3+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.539.280.7+2.462%-
Last 30 away (17)42.339.481.7+2.959%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.882.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.884.8-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.545.082.5-7.517%-
vs Similar (12)41.039.880.8+1.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.936.282.1+9.782%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
L
28-62
28
62
-34
A14/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H20/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A28/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H04/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
22-51
22
51
-29
A11/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A14/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#9
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H03/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A10/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A16/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H23/03
Lega A
78.4Avg total
35.3Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.641.278.8-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.437.974.3-1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)38.744.182.8-5.438%-
Last 10 (10)35.343.178.4-7.820%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.674.4+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.642.279.8-4.545%-
vs Similar (18)37.840.878.7-3.039%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.517.4
51.9%
53.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.7
36.8%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws15.612.3
78.8%
76.3%12.3
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.115.5
46.8%
53.1%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.7
38.4%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws14.29.5
66.9%
76.3%9.5
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LWLLLLWLLW
Pistoia
LWWWLLLLWL
#2
League position
#10
-4.0
Net rating
-12.4
112.5
Offensive rating
101.2
116.5
Defensive rating
113.6
53.4%
Effective FG%
51.7%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
16.8%
Turnover %
17.0%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.8%
3-point %
38.4%
66.5%
Assist %
55.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 101.2Defence116.5 · 113.6Shooting53.4% · 51.7%3-point %36.8% · 38.4%Ball care16.8% · 17.0%Off. rebounds31.3% · 22.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Virtus Bologna wins
2
Pistoia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/24HPanathinaikos79-81
25/03/24ABrescia87-73
22/03/24ACrvena zvezda79-94
19/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas81-96
17/03/24APesaro86-87 OT
15/03/24HReal Madrid74-89
10/03/24HOlimpia Milano84-75
07/03/24AOlympiacos69-74
03/03/24ASassari88-93
29/02/24HValencia87-74
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HTreviso83-84
16/03/24ABasket Napoli95-93 OT
10/03/24ACremona74-67
03/03/24HTortona84-71
14/02/24AVenezia71-86
11/02/24AVenezia69-96
04/02/24HOlimpia Milano72-78
28/01/24ABrescia90-109
20/01/24HScafati78-71
14/01/24ASassari69-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW71%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %71%91%54%
Points / game88.292.984.3
Allowed / game76.675.577.5
Point differential+11.6+17.4+6.8
Avg total164.9168.5161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%82%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %8%9%8%
Pistoia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.975.282.6
Allowed / game82.475.689.2
Point differential-3.5-0.3-6.7
Avg total161.3150.8171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)50% (6)80% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2518772%88.378.5+9.8
2 Virtus Bologna2417771%88.276.6+11.6
3 Olimpia Milano2517868%79.073.4+5.6
4 Venezia2517868%82.977.4+5.4
5 Reggiana25141156%80.980.2+0.7
6 Tortona25131252%80.879.0+1.8
7 Trento25131252%83.483.2+0.2
8 Pistoia24121250%78.982.4-3.5
9 Basket Napoli25121348%86.085.5+0.5
10 Sassari25121348%77.782.0-4.3
11 Scafati25111444%82.986.7-3.8
12 Cremona25101540%80.479.7+0.8
13 Treviso25101540%80.284.0-3.8
14 Varese2591636%84.590.2-5.7
15 Brindisi2571828%74.481.7-7.2
16 Pesaro2571828%79.487.3-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2629281093
Pistoia14272732100
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