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Brescia vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 73-87
22-20 17-24 22-29 12-14
Position#3
Record17-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#2
Record16-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game76.8
ItalyLega ARound 24· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Brescia v Virtus Bologna
09 Feb 2026
BRE79
VIR87
17 Jun 2025
BRE74
VIR96
01 Dec 2024
BRE98
VIR97
25 Mar 2024
BRE73
VIR87
18 Dec 2022
BRE77
VIR89
14 Nov 2021
BRE74
VIR103
04 Oct 2020
BRE80
VIR81
26 Oct 2019
BRE80
VIR82
24 Apr 2019
BRE77
VIR75
18 Mar 2018
BRE66
VIR70
16 Feb 2018
BRE97
VIR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
L
79-88
79
88
-9
72avg 77
A07/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
88-67
88
67
+21
87avg 77
H14/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
93-69
93
69
+24
95avg 77
A20/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
109-90
109
90
+19
107avg 77
H28/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
104-83
104
83
+21
104avg 77
A03/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
86-63
86
63
+23
87avg 77
H11/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
65avg 77
H15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#16
L
83-93
83
93
-10
78avg 77
A03/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
89-78
89
78
+11
80avg 77
H10/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
101-106 OT
101
106
-5
no box
A17/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
19-22
23-26
16-21
18-23
18-17
33-9
19-18
25-17
27-15
25-15
16-22
27-13
29-32
18-26
35-19
30-12
24-16
17-25
33-30
29-10
24-17
14-9
19-27
11-19
19-15
16-27
28-19
21-29
24-25
23-25
15-14
22-22
25-26
19-18
23-12
20-26
28-27
28-19
13-17
172.3Avg total
90.6Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)88.777.5166.2+11.274%
Season at home (11)90.674.1164.7+16.591%
Season away (12)86.980.7167.6+6.258%
Last 10 (10)90.681.7172.3+8.960%
Last 5 (5)86.684.0170.6+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)55.890.8146.6-35.00%
vs Similar ◀ (2)74.076.0150.0-2.050%
vs Weaker (21)90.177.7167.8+12.476%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Scafati
#14
W
94-67
94
67
+27
96avg 80
H11/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#3
L
72-81
72
81
-9
62avg 80
H15/02
Italian Cup
Valencia
#14
W
87-74
87
74
+13
83avg 80
H29/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
88-93
88
93
-5
87avg 80
A03/03
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
69-74
69
74
-5
59avg 80
A07/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
84-75
84
75
+9
81avg 80
H10/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 80
H15/03
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
L
86-87 OT
86
87
-1
no box
A17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
81-96
81
96
-15
75avg 80
A19/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
79-94
79
94
-15
66avg 80
A22/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
18-20
19-11
26-15
20-15
17-19
17-19
18-28
18-20
26-12
21-25
22-17
25-27
15-17
22-21
26-28
22-21
24-16
5-20
18-17
24-19
23-18
17-17
20-21
15-23
16-21
21-17
22-28
19-18
17-15
17-17
19-22
22-22
27-21
14-25
18-28
23-21
19-27
23-26
14-20
164.4Avg total
81.4Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)88.376.8165.1+11.570%
Season at home (11)92.975.5168.5+17.491%
Season away (12)84.177.9162.0+6.250%
Last 10 (10)81.483.0164.4-1.630%
Last 5 (5)80.888.2169.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.380.5150.8-10.217%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.883.4163.2-3.555%
vs Weaker (12)88.375.2163.6+13.167%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -2.1-2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -2.1-2.1
BresciaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A07/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H14/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A20/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H28/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
54-28
54
28
+26
A03/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H11/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#16
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A03/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H10/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A17/03
Lega A
86.3Avg total
46.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.581.8+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.036.282.2+9.869%-
Last 30 away (17)39.542.181.5-2.641%-
Last 10 (10)46.140.286.3+5.940%-
Last 5 (5)44.643.287.8+1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)27.847.875.6-20.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)38.540.579.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker (21)46.638.384.9+8.267%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H11/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H15/02
Italian Cup
Valencia
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H29/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A03/03
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H10/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H15/03
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A19/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A22/03
Euroleague
81.4Avg total
42.1Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.080.3+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.338.478.7+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)42.239.481.6+2.856%-
Last 10 (10)42.139.381.4+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.082.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.743.278.8-7.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.739.880.5+0.955%-
vs Weaker (12)45.036.581.5+8.575%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.6
55.5%
53.1%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.8
35.2%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.113.4
74.0%
76.3%13.4
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.5
52.9%
53.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.6
34.2%
35.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.014.2
78.9%
76.3%14.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LWLLWWWWWL
Virtus Bologna
LLLLWLLWLW
#3
League position
#2
+14.7
Net rating
-1.7
113.1
Offensive rating
111.4
98.4
Defensive rating
113.0
54.5%
Effective FG%
52.1%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.3%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.2%
3-point %
34.2%
54.9%
Assist %
69.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 111.4Defence98.4 · 113.0Shooting54.5% · 52.1%3-point %35.2% · 34.2%Ball care15.5% · 15.3%Off. rebounds28.6% · 28.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Brescia   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brescia wins
8
Virtus Bologna wins
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24ASassari101-106 OT
10/03/24HScafati89-78
03/03/24APesaro83-93
15/02/24HBasket Napoli74-80
11/02/24HReggiana86-63
03/02/24ABasket Napoli104-83
28/01/24HPistoia109-90
20/01/24ATrento93-69
14/01/24HTreviso88-67
07/01/24ABrindisi79-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24ACrvena zvezda79-94
19/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas81-96
17/03/24APesaro86-87 OT
15/03/24HReal Madrid74-89
10/03/24HOlimpia Milano84-75
07/03/24AOlympiacos69-74
03/03/24ASassari88-93
29/02/24HValencia87-74
15/02/24HReggiana72-81
11/02/24HScafati94-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL74%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%91%58%
Points / game88.790.686.9
Allowed / game77.574.180.7
Point differential+11.2+16.5+6.2
Avg total166.2164.7167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%55%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL70%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %70%91%50%
Points / game88.392.984.1
Allowed / game76.875.577.9
Point differential+11.5+17.4+6.2
Avg total165.1168.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%82%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %9%9%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2317674%88.777.5+11.2
2 Virtus Bologna2316770%88.376.8+11.5
3 Olimpia Milano2416867%79.373.6+5.7
4 Venezia2416867%82.376.9+5.4
5 Reggiana24141058%81.580.5+0.9
6 Tortona24121250%80.579.2+1.4
7 Basket Napoli24121250%85.985.0+0.8
8 Trento24121250%83.483.3+0.0
9 Pistoia24121250%78.982.4-3.5
10 Scafati24111346%83.186.8-3.8
11 Sassari24111346%77.882.5-4.7
12 Cremona24101442%80.679.4+1.2
13 Treviso2491538%79.783.8-4.2
14 Varese2491538%84.290.0-5.8
15 Brindisi2471729%74.681.9-7.3
16 Pesaro2471729%79.087.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2217221273
Virtus Bologna2024291487
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