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Virtus Bologna vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 79-81
16-28 23-23 20-14 20-16
Position#8
Record17-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game81.9
Virtus Bologna
vs
Panathinaikos 🏆
Position#2
Record20-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game77.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 32· Segafredo Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Panathinaikos
17 Nov 2026
VIR v PAO
upcoming
24 Oct 2025
VIR92
PAO75
15 Nov 2024
VIR77
PAO82
29 Mar 2024
VIR79
PAO81
19 Jan 2023
VIR74
PAO64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#3
L
72-81
72
81
-9
62avg 81
H15/02
Italian Cup
Valencia
#14
W
87-74
87
74
+13
83avg 81
H29/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
88-93
88
93
-5
87avg 81
A03/03
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
69-74
69
74
-5
59avg 81
A07/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
84-75
84
75
+9
81avg 81
H10/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 81
H15/03
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
L
86-87 OT
86
87
-1
no box
A17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
81-96
81
96
-15
75avg 81
A19/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
79-94
79
94
-15
66avg 81
A22/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
87-73
87
73
+14
84avg 81
A25/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
17-19
17-19
18-28
18-20
26-12
21-25
22-17
25-27
15-17
22-21
26-28
22-21
24-16
5-20
18-17
24-19
23-18
17-17
20-21
15-23
16-21
21-17
22-28
19-18
17-15
17-17
19-22
22-22
27-21
14-25
18-28
23-21
19-27
23-26
14-20
20-22
24-17
29-22
14-12
164.3Avg total
80.7Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.181.9162.0-1.855%
Season at home (15)83.478.8162.2+4.680%
Season away (16)77.084.8161.8-7.831%
Last 10 (10)80.783.6164.3-2.930%
Last 5 (5)81.487.8169.2-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)70.380.5150.8-10.217%
vs Similar (12)80.482.5162.9-2.158%
vs Weaker (11)88.774.4163.1+14.473%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
58-69
58
69
-11
54avg 77
H18/02
Greek Cup
Real Madrid
#1
W
97-86
97
86
+11
93avg 77
A29/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
96-73
96
73
+23
98avg 77
H03/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
85-67
85
67
+18
65avg 77
H08/03
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
87-64
87
64
+23
83avg 77
A10/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#4
L
65-71
65
71
-6
59avg 77
A14/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#10
W
89-73
89
73
+16
92avg 77
A17/03
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
89-76
89
76
+13
88avg 77
A20/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
87avg 77
H22/03
Euroleague
Promitheas
#7
W
93-62
93
62
+31
no box
H25/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
13-16
14-17
19-22
18-24
27-12
22-25
30-25
26-26
25-16
28-16
17-15
20-17
18-19
21-14
26-17
22-22
20-10
23-16
22-16
17-7
16-26
9-15
23-23
24-22
22-20
18-16
25-15
29-20
22-21
19-15
19-20
20-23
14-23
26-15
29-20
19-15
30-12
26-19
18-16
157.0Avg total
84.8Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.577.2158.7+4.365%
Season at home (16)82.974.0156.9+8.981%
Season away (15)80.080.6160.6-0.647%
Last 10 (10)84.872.2157.0+12.680%
Last 5 (5)85.072.6157.6+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.069.0127.0-11.00%
vs Similar (6)83.074.0157.0+9.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)83.271.0154.1+12.282%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +3.9+3.9
Virtus BolognaPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H15/02
Italian Cup
Valencia
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H29/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A03/03
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H10/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H15/03
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A19/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A22/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A25/03
Lega A
80.7Avg total
41.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.980.5+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.738.379.0+2.462%-
Last 30 away (17)42.339.481.7+2.959%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.180.7+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.481.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.743.278.8-7.517%-
vs Similar (12)41.039.880.8+1.258%-
vs Weaker (11)45.936.282.1+9.782%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H18/02
Greek Cup
Real Madrid
#1
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A29/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H03/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/03
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A10/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#4
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A14/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#10
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A17/03
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A20/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H22/03
Euroleague
Promitheas
#7
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H25/03
Basket League
77.9Avg total
41.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.935.777.6+6.373%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.935.276.1+5.875%-
Last 30 away (14)43.136.279.3+6.971%-
Last 10 (10)41.436.577.9+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.880.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.030.055.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (6)39.536.275.7+3.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.536.079.5+7.577%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.8
51.9%
53.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.4
35.9%
36.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.413.9
79.9%
77.4%13.9
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.6
55.7%
53.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.0
39.1%
36.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.914.3
75.7%
77.4%14.3
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WLLLLWLLWL
Panathinaikos
WWWWLWWWWL
#8
League position
#2
+0.1
Net rating
+15.1
113.3
Offensive rating
115.0
113.2
Defensive rating
100.0
52.8%
Effective FG%
56.8%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
18.2%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.9%
3-point %
39.1%
68.1%
Assist %
65.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 115.0Defence113.2 · 100.0Shooting52.8% · 56.8%3-point %35.9% · 39.1%Ball care15.8% · 18.2%Off. rebounds31.2% · 30.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Virtus Bologna wins
2
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
17/11/23Panathinaikos v Virtus Bologna90-76
19/01/23Virtus Bologna v Panathinaikos74-64
23/11/22Panathinaikos v Virtus Bologna88-85 OT
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/24ABrescia87-73
22/03/24ACrvena zvezda79-94
19/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas81-96
17/03/24APesaro86-87 OT
15/03/24HReal Madrid74-89
10/03/24HOlimpia Milano84-75
07/03/24AOlympiacos69-74
03/03/24ASassari88-93
29/02/24HValencia87-74
15/02/24HReggiana72-81
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/24HPromitheas93-62
22/03/24HBarcelona89-81
20/03/24ACrvena zvezda89-76
17/03/24APAOK89-73
14/03/24AOlympiacos65-71
10/03/24AAS Karditsas87-64
08/03/24HLyon-Villeurbanne85-67
03/03/24HKolossos Rhodes96-73
29/02/24AReal Madrid97-86
18/02/24HOlympiacos58-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL55%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %55%80%31%
Points / game80.183.477.0
Allowed / game81.978.884.8
Point differential-1.8+4.6-7.8
Avg total162.0162.2161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)67% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW65%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayLLWLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %65%81%47%
Points / game81.582.980.0
Allowed / game77.274.080.6
Point differential+4.3+8.9-0.6
Avg total158.7156.9160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%56%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %10%12%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3125681%88.580.4+8.1
2 Barcelona32211166%82.879.0+3.8
3 Monaco32211166%82.079.3+2.8
4 Panathinaikos31201165%81.577.2+4.3
5 Fenerbahce32201262%85.480.8+4.6
6 Olympiacos32201262%78.574.5+4.0
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv32191359%87.686.6+1.0
8 Virtus Bologna31171455%80.181.9-1.8
9 Baskonia32161650%83.684.5-0.9
10 Anadolu Efes32151747%85.886.8-1.0
11 Zalgiris Kaunas32141844%80.480.3+0.1
12 Olimpia Milano32141844%77.677.8-0.2
13 Partizan32141844%82.884.0-1.2
14 Valencia32141844%76.578.5-2.0
15 Bayern32131941%78.681.8-3.3
16 Crvena zvezda31112035%81.681.5+0.1
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne3272522%78.185.8-7.7
18 Alba Berlin3252716%76.086.4-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna1623202079
Panathinaikos2823141681
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