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Aomori vs Fukuoka Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 74-84 (OT)
17-12 19-24 16-16 15-15 7-17
Position#8
Record19-17
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game87.2
Aomori
Japan
vs
Fukuoka 🏆
Japan
Position#4
Record24-12
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game74.9
JapanB2.League· Tsugaru City General Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Aomori v Fukuoka
04 Feb 2024
AOMO74
FUKU84
03 Feb 2024
AOMO80
FUKU88
23 Nov 2014
AOMO59
FUKU77
22 Nov 2014
AOMO83
FUKU78
19 Jan 2014
AOMO84
FUKU80
18 Jan 2014
AOMO75
FUKU67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aomori winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fukuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
L
73-75
73
75
-2
72avg 72
A30/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
85-80
85
80
+5
82avg 72
A31/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
72-100
72
100
-28
50avg 72
H06/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
62-90
62
90
-28
42avg 72
H07/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
85-93
85
93
-8
84avg 72
A20/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
88avg 72
A21/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
82-86
82
86
-4
75avg 72
H27/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
93-81
93
81
+12
87avg 72
H28/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
102-98
102
98
+4
100avg 72
H31/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
80-88
80
88
-8
58avg 72
H03/02
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
16-23
15-10
16-20
19-13
16-20
22-19
28-28
13-29
19-27
19-21
21-23
14-21
20-22
10-27
18-20
24-24
23-19
21-22
17-28
27-26
19-19
23-24
22-12
23-25
19-21
21-24
19-16
21-14
23-18
23-27
26-22
24-25
25-25
26-24
27-24
17-27
23-18
21-19
19-24
169.7Avg total
82.5Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)85.487.2172.6-1.853%
Season at home (19)81.986.1168.1-4.253%
Season away (17)89.288.4177.6+0.853%
Last 10 (10)82.587.2169.7-4.740%
Last 5 (5)89.686.8176.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.690.1168.7-11.643%
vs Similar ◀ (19)87.488.5175.9-1.142%
vs Weaker (4)86.282.5168.8+3.875%
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukuoka
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
68avg 73
H30/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
no box
H31/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
69-68
69
68
+1
62avg 73
H05/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
71-67
71
67
+4
66avg 73
H06/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
55avg 73
A20/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
59-88
59
88
-29
48avg 73
A21/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
69-75
69
75
-6
62avg 73
H26/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
90-64
90
64
+26
92avg 73
H27/01
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
83-74
83
74
+9
82avg 73
A31/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
88-80
88
80
+8
78avg 73
A03/02
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
16-22
14-22
27-11
18-18
28-20
17-17
13-21
15-11
17-26
21-13
16-18
18-21
13-20
22-8
18-18
19-22
16-19
18-21
10-17
15-25
17-19
8-17
19-27
16-14
20-23
17-16
16-22
29-16
12-20
21-13
28-15
18-19
22-19
24-18
19-18
27-17
18-23
19-21
24-19
151.2Avg total
75.0Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)78.474.9153.3+3.567%
Season at home (17)80.977.4158.2+3.565%
Season away (19)76.272.7148.9+3.568%
Last 10 (10)75.076.2151.2-1.250%
Last 5 (5)77.876.2154.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.276.5146.8-6.225%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.578.0157.5+1.569%
vs Weaker (13)78.872.7151.5+6.169%
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
AomoriFukuoka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A30/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A31/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
32-56
32
56
-24
H06/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A20/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A21/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H27/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H28/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H31/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H03/02
B2.League
84.9Avg total
41.1Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.685.7-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.444.585.9-3.141%-
Last 30 away (13)43.042.585.5+0.554%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.884.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.687.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.045.784.7-6.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)42.843.185.8-0.347%-
vs Weaker (4)44.242.887.0+1.575%-
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H30/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H31/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H05/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H06/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A20/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A21/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H26/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H27/01
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A31/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A03/02
B2.League
77.3Avg total
37.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.075.3+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.339.178.3+0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)37.534.972.3+2.660%-
Last 10 (10)37.240.177.3-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.077.8-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.039.575.5-3.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.837.976.8+0.954%-
vs Weaker (13)38.635.273.8+3.469%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.923.9
55.7%
52.4%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.6
33.2%
33.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.811.3
63.5%
71.0%11.3
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fukuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukuoka: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.5
51.0%
52.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.6
33.1%
33.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws14.08.7
62.1%
71.0%8.7
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aomori
LWWLWLLLWL
Fukuoka
WWWLLLWWLL
#8
League position
#4
-5.8
Net rating
-3.4
105.5
Offensive rating
104.4
111.3
Defensive rating
107.8
53.6%
Effective FG%
50.5%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
17.5%
Turnover %
18.1%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.2%
3-point %
33.1%
61.0%
Assist %
72.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 104.4Defence111.3 · 107.8Shooting53.6% · 50.5%3-point %33.2% · 33.1%Ball care17.5% · 18.1%Off. rebounds25.9% · 32.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Aomori   ■ Fukuoka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Aomori wins
3
Fukuoka wins
DateGameScore
03/02/24Aomori v Fukuoka80-88
14/11/23Fukuoka v Aomori71-75
13/11/23Fukuoka v Aomori107-102 OT
23/11/14Aomori v Fukuoka59-77
22/11/14Aomori v Fukuoka83-78
19/01/14Aomori v Fukuoka84-80 OT
18/01/14Aomori v Fukuoka75-67
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HFukuoka80-88
31/01/24HKoshigaya Alphas102-98
28/01/24HShizuoka93-81
27/01/24HShizuoka82-86
21/01/24AYamagata Wyverns91-81
20/01/24AYamagata Wyverns85-93
07/01/24HKoshigaya Alphas62-90
06/01/24HKoshigaya Alphas72-100
31/12/23ANiigata85-80
30/12/23ANiigata73-75
Fukuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24AAomori88-80
31/01/24ANara83-74
27/01/24HKoshigaya Alphas90-64
26/01/24HKoshigaya Alphas69-75
21/01/24AAltiri Chiba59-88
20/01/24AAltiri Chiba63-79
06/01/24HKobe71-67
05/01/24HKobe69-68
31/12/23HYamagata Wyverns83-85 OT
30/12/23HYamagata Wyverns75-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aomori
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL53%
HomeLLWWL53%
AwayLLWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %53%53%53%
Points / game85.481.989.2
Allowed / game87.286.188.4
Point differential-1.8-4.2+0.8
Avg total172.6168.1177.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (16)80% (5)55% (11)
Overtime %8%5%12%
Fukuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeLWWLW65%
AwayLLLWW68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %67%65%68%
Points / game78.480.976.2
Allowed / game74.977.472.7
Point differential+3.5+3.5+3.5
Avg total153.3158.2148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%24%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)71% (7)100% (3)
Overtime %8%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3633392%88.574.4+14.1
2 Shiga36251169%88.181.2+6.8
3 Kumamoto36251169%85.481.6+3.8
4 Fukuoka36241267%78.474.9+3.5
5 Koshigaya Alphas36221461%83.874.7+9.1
6 Aomori36191753%85.487.2-1.8
7 Yamagata Wyverns36191753%82.384.9-2.7
8 Kobe36171947%79.377.8+1.5
9 Shizuoka36162044%79.380.4-1.1
10 Nara36142239%73.278.1-4.9
11 Fukushima37142338%81.084.9-3.9
12 Ehime Orange Vikings37112630%79.586.6-7.1
13 Iwate3692725%69.775.1-5.4
14 Niigata3653114%72.083.5-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Aomori17191615774
Fukuoka122416151784
← all games of the day
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