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Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 127-112
35-32 30-28 37-25 25-27
Position#1
Record51-13
FormLLWWW
Points / game120.9
Allowed / game109.4
Boston Celtics 🏆
USA
vs
Phoenix Suns
USA
Position#9
Record38-26
FormLWWLW
Points / game117.2
Allowed / game114.4
USANBA· TD Garden (Boston)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Phoenix Suns
29 Jan 2027
BOS v PHX
upcoming
16 Mar 2026
BOS120
PHX112
04 Apr 2025
BOS123
PHX103
14 Mar 2024
BOS127
PHX112
03 Feb 2023
BOS94
PHX106
31 Dec 2021
BOS123
PHX108
22 Apr 2021
BOS99
PHX86
26 Jul 2020
BOS117
PHX103
18 Jan 2020
BOS119
PHX123
19 Dec 2018
BOS103
PHX111
02 Dec 2017
BOS116
PHX111
24 Mar 2017
BOS130
PHX120
15 Jan 2016
BOS117
PHX103
17 Nov 2014
BOS114
PHX118
14 Mar 2014
BOS80
PHX87
09 Jan 2013
BOS87
PHX79
20 Jan 2012
BOS71
PHX79
02 Mar 2011
BOS115
PHX103
06 Nov 2009
BOS103
PHX110
19 Jan 2009
BOS104
PHX87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
129-112
129
112
+17
124avg 113
A23/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
116-102
116
102
+14
113avg 113
A25/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
117-99
117
99
+18
122avg 113
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
138-110
138
110
+28
140avg 113
H02/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
140-88
140
88
+52
143avg 113
H03/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
104-105
104
105
-1
97avg 113
A06/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
109-115
109
115
-6
98avg 113
A08/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
117-107
117
107
+10
110avg 113
A10/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
121-99
121
99
+22
115avg 113
A12/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
123-107
123
107
+16
116avg 113
A13/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
28-39
37-21
33-29
30-26
32-32
35-26
19-18
30-30
23-21
33-24
31-24
38-32
28-27
36-31
36-20
44-22
38-16
33-24
25-26
33-25
22-20
32-26
17-34
28-30
26-32
26-28
29-25
31-26
31-24
25-28
30-29
37-28
29-24
22-23
33-24
44-33
28-24
26-34
25-16
225.8Avg total
121.4Scored
104.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)120.9109.4230.3+11.580%
Season at home (32)123.4108.0231.4+15.491%
Season away (32)118.4110.9229.3+7.669%
Last 10 (10)121.4104.4225.8+17.080%
Last 5 (5)114.8106.6221.4+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)120.7109.1229.7+11.677%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
113-123
113
123
-10
103avg 110
A23/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
110-114
110
114
-4
101avg 110
A24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
123-113
123
113
+10
123avg 110
H25/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
110-105
110
105
+5
97avg 110
H01/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
109-118
109
118
-9
102avg 110
H03/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
110-118
110
118
-8
105avg 110
H04/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
117-107 OT
117
107
+10
113avg 110
A06/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
120-113
120
113
+7
121avg 110
H08/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
107-117
107
117
-10
96avg 110
H10/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
117-111
117
111
+6
111avg 110
A11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-32
30-28
28-36
22-27
28-20
24-37
24-32
34-25
45-28
27-35
23-27
28-23
33-17
31-36
22-22
24-30
19-38
25-16
35-35
30-29
24-28
28-38
33-23
25-29
28-32
37-18
25-31
12-21
39-25
28-28
22-29
31-31
26-31
24-31
28-25
29-30
32-41
31-29
34-21
20-20
227.5Avg total
113.6Scored
113.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)117.2114.4231.6+2.859%
Season at home (35)116.9114.4231.2+2.560%
Season away (29)117.6114.4232.1+3.259%
Last 10 (10)113.6113.9227.5-0.350%
Last 5 (5)114.2113.2227.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)108.5117.5226.0-9.00%
vs Similar (20)117.3114.5231.8+2.865%
vs Weaker (8)125.4115.8241.1+9.675%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
Boston CelticsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A23/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A25/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H02/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
82-38
82
38
+44
H03/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A06/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A08/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A10/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
66-52
66
52
+14
A12/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
72-57
72
57
+15
A13/03
NBA
116.5Avg total
63.1Scored
53.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.856.0118.8+6.877%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.954.7117.6+8.373%-
Last 30 away (15)62.757.3120.0+5.380%-
Last 10 (10)63.153.4116.5+9.780%-
Last 5 (5)61.853.2115.0+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)62.856.0118.8+6.877%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A23/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H25/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H01/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H03/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
52-66
52
66
-14
H04/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
65-50
65
50
+15
A06/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H08/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H10/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A11/03
NBA
118.0Avg total
59.2Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.259.1121.2+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.659.1118.6+0.550%-
Last 30 away (16)64.459.1123.5+5.462%-
Last 10 (10)59.258.8118.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)59.460.2119.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)51.064.0115.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (20)60.559.0119.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (8)69.058.0127.0+11.088%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 121.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.828.8
57.8%
54.4%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.016.5
41.2%
36.3%49.5
🏀 Free throws17.514.3
81.7%
78.2%14.3
They take 89.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 113.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.528.7
52.7%
54.4%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.412.6
36.6%
36.3%37.8
🏀 Free throws23.918.4
77.0%
78.2%18.4
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWLLWWWWW
Phoenix Suns
WLWWLLWWLL
#1
League position
#9
+17.6
Net rating
-0.3
125.7
Offensive rating
111.8
108.1
Defensive rating
112.1
59.6%
Effective FG%
53.5%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
10.2%
Turnover %
14.1%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.27
41.2%
3-point %
36.6%
61.6%
Assist %
60.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence125.7 · 111.8Defence108.1 · 112.1Shooting59.6% · 53.5%3-point %41.2% · 36.6%Ball care10.2% · 14.1%Off. rebounds26.5% · 27.6%Free throws0.19 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Boston Celtics wins
4
Phoenix Suns wins
DateGameScore
10/03/24Phoenix Suns v Boston Celtics107-117
04/02/23Boston Celtics v Phoenix Suns94-106
08/12/22Phoenix Suns v Boston Celtics98-125
31/12/21Boston Celtics v Phoenix Suns123-108
11/12/21Phoenix Suns v Boston Celtics111-90
22/04/21Boston Celtics v Phoenix Suns99-86
07/02/21Phoenix Suns v Boston Celtics100-91
26/07/20Boston Celtics v Phoenix Suns117-103
19/01/20Boston Celtics v Phoenix Suns119-123
19/11/19Phoenix Suns v Boston Celtics85-99
Boston Celticslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24AUtah Jazz123-107
12/03/24APortland Trail Blazers121-99
10/03/24APhoenix Suns117-107
08/03/24ADenver Nuggets109-115
06/03/24ACleveland Cavaliers104-105
03/03/24HGolden State Warriors140-88
02/03/24HDallas Mavericks138-110
28/02/24HPhiladelphia 76ers117-99
25/02/24ANew York Knicks116-102
23/02/24AChicago Bulls129-112
Phoenix Sunslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/24ACleveland Cavaliers117-111
10/03/24HBoston Celtics107-117
08/03/24HToronto Raptors120-113
06/03/24ADenver Nuggets117-107 OT
04/03/24HOklahoma City Thunder110-118
03/03/24HHouston Rockets109-118
01/03/24HHouston Rockets110-105
25/02/24HLos Angeles Lakers123-113
24/02/24AHouston Rockets110-114
23/02/24ADallas Mavericks113-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW80%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLLWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643232
Win %80%91%69%
Points / game120.9123.4118.4
Allowed / game109.4108.0110.9
Point differential+11.5+15.4+7.6
Avg total230.3231.4229.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%53%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)80% (5)40% (10)
Overtime %8%6%9%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW59%
HomeWLLWL60%
AwayLLLWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643529
Win %59%60%59%
Points / game117.2116.9117.6
Allowed / game114.4114.4114.4
Point differential+2.8+2.5+3.2
Avg total231.6231.2232.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%26%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (20)70% (10)50% (10)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics64511380%120.9109.4+11.5
2 Denver Nuggets66462070%114.8110.3+4.5
3 Oklahoma City Thunder65452069%120.7113.0+7.7
4 Minnesota Timberwolves66452168%113.2106.7+6.5
5 Los Angeles Clippers64412364%116.9112.7+4.2
6 Milwaukee Bucks64412364%120.1117.0+3.1
7 Cleveland Cavaliers66422464%113.8109.4+4.3
8 New Orleans Pelicans63382560%116.3110.7+5.6
9 New York Knicks64382659%112.1107.7+4.4
10 Phoenix Suns64382659%117.2114.4+2.8
11 Sacramento Kings64382659%118.4117.2+1.2
12 Dallas Mavericks66382858%119.0117.5+1.4
13 Orlando Magic66382858%110.7109.3+1.4
14 Philadelphia 76ers65362955%115.3112.8+2.5
15 Indiana Pacers65353054%123.1121.6+1.5
16 Miami Heat65353054%110.2109.8+0.4
17 Golden State Warriors65343152%118.2116.7+1.6
18 Los Angeles Lakers65343152%117.1118.3-1.2
19 Chicago Bulls66323448%111.8113.7-1.8
20 Houston Rockets65303546%112.8112.5+0.3
21 Atlanta Hawks65293645%119.4121.2-1.9
22 Utah Jazz65283743%117.6120.7-3.2
23 Brooklyn Nets66264039%111.8113.9-2.0
24 Toronto Raptors66234335%114.1118.2-4.1
25 Memphis Grizzlies67234434%105.7112.2-6.5
26 Portland Trail Blazers65194629%107.9115.9-7.9
27 Charlotte Hornets66174926%107.1117.0-9.9
28 San Antonio Spurs66145221%112.3119.9-7.6
29 Detroit Pistons65125318%112.4120.5-8.1
30 Washington Wizards65115417%114.2123.7-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics35303725127
Phoenix Suns32282527112
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