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Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 122-119
33-28 36-28 32-27 21-36
Position#1
Record54-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game121.1
Allowed / game109.1
vs
Position#8
Record43-23
FormLWLWW
Points / game120.3
Allowed / game117.0
USANBA· TD Garden (Boston)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Milwaukee Bucks
04 Nov 2026
BOS109
MIL102
01 Feb 2026
BOS107
MIL79
06 Dec 2024
BOS111
MIL105
28 Oct 2024
BOS119
MIL108
20 Mar 2024
BOS122
MIL119
22 Nov 2023
BOS119
MIL116
25 Dec 2022
BOS139
MIL118
15 May 2022
BOS109
MIL81
11 May 2022
BOS107
MIL110
03 May 2022
BOS109
MIL86
01 May 2022
BOS89
MIL101
13 Dec 2021
BOS117
MIL103
12 Nov 2021
BOS122
MIL113
23 Dec 2020
BOS122
MIL121
30 Oct 2019
BOS116
MIL105
06 May 2019
BOS101
MIL113
03 May 2019
BOS116
MIL123
21 Dec 2018
BOS107
MIL120
01 Nov 2018
BOS117
MIL113
28 Apr 2018
BOS112
MIL96
24 Apr 2018
BOS92
MIL87
17 Apr 2018
BOS120
MIL106
15 Apr 2018
BOS113
MIL107
04 Dec 2017
BOS111
MIL100
18 Oct 2017
BOS100
MIL108
12 Apr 2017
BOS112
MIL94
29 Mar 2017
BOS100
MIL103
08 Apr 2016
BOS124
MIL109
25 Feb 2016
BOS112
MIL107
03 Apr 2015
BOS101
MIL110
03 Dec 2013
BOS108
MIL100
01 Nov 2013
BOS98
MIL105
21 Dec 2012
BOS94
MIL99
02 Nov 2012
BOS88
MIL99
26 Apr 2012
BOS87
MIL74
29 Feb 2012
BOS102
MIL96
13 Mar 2011
BOS87
MIL56
03 Nov 2010
BOS105
MIL102
14 Apr 2010
BOS95
MIL106
08 Dec 2009
BOS98
MIL89
07 Nov 2008
BOS101
MIL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
138-110
138
110
+28
140avg 113
H02/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
140-88
140
88
+52
143avg 113
H03/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
104-105
104
105
-1
97avg 113
A06/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
109-115
109
115
-6
98avg 113
A08/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
117-107
117
107
+10
110avg 113
A10/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
121-99
121
99
+22
115avg 113
A12/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
123-107
123
107
+16
116avg 113
A13/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
127-112
127
112
+15
120avg 113
H14/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
130-104
130
104
+26
127avg 113
A17/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
119-94
119
94
+25
116avg 113
H18/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-32
28-27
36-31
36-20
44-22
38-16
33-24
25-26
33-25
22-20
32-26
17-34
28-30
26-32
26-28
29-25
31-26
31-24
25-28
30-29
37-28
29-24
22-23
33-24
44-33
28-24
26-34
25-16
35-32
30-28
37-25
25-27
45-27
36-26
27-25
22-26
31-28
28-18
33-20
27-28
226.9Avg total
122.8Scored
104.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)121.1109.1230.3+12.081%
Season at home (34)123.4107.7231.1+15.791%
Season away (33)118.8110.7229.5+8.170%
Last 10 (10)122.8104.1226.9+18.780%
Last 5 (5)124.0103.2227.2+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)121.2106.5227.7+14.783%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
123-85
123
85
+38
124avg 112
H28/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
111-99
111
99
+12
102avg 112
A01/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
113-97
113
97
+16
104avg 112
A02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
113-106
113
106
+7
109avg 112
H05/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
90-125
90
125
-35
71avg 112
A07/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
122-123
122
123
-1
115avg 112
A09/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
124-117
124
117
+7
118avg 112
A10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
94-129
94
129
-35
84avg 112
A13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
114-105
114
105
+9
116avg 112
H15/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
140-129
140
129
+11
137avg 112
H17/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-16
26-10
38-23
27-36
35-25
35-26
22-23
19-25
33-24
25-20
24-28
31-25
25-35
23-20
25-26
40-25
32-40
26-38
23-15
9-32
30-27
33-40
27-29
32-27
29-33
30-29
32-23
33-32
30-38
26-37
22-20
16-34
24-29
29-32
27-22
34-22
39-36
43-24
27-34
31-35
225.9Avg total
114.4Scored
111.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)120.3117.0237.4+3.365%
Season at home (32)122.7115.8238.4+6.981%
Season away (34)118.2118.3236.4-0.150%
Last 10 (10)114.4111.5225.9+2.970%
Last 5 (5)118.8120.6239.4-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (22)115.0116.7231.7-1.659%
vs Weaker (8)118.9108.9227.8+10.062%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.3+8.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.3+8.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
Boston CelticsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H02/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
82-38
82
38
+44
H03/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A06/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A08/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A10/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
66-52
66
52
+14
A12/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
72-57
72
57
+15
A13/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H14/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
81-53
81
53
+28
A17/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H18/03
NBA
118.4Avg total
66.2Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)64.355.1119.4+9.280%-
Last 30 at home (16)63.454.6117.9+8.875%-
Last 30 away (14)65.455.6121.0+9.786%-
Last 10 (10)66.252.2118.4+14.090%-
Last 5 (5)68.653.6122.2+15.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)64.355.1119.4+9.280%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
58-26
58
26
+32
H28/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
70-51
70
51
+19
A01/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H05/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A07/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A09/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H15/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H17/03
NBA
118.4Avg total
60.5Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.757.4117.1+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.554.3114.8+6.262%-
Last 30 away (17)59.059.8118.8-0.841%-
Last 10 (10)60.557.9118.4+2.640%-
Last 5 (5)62.665.0127.6-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (22)58.359.5117.8-1.141%-
vs Weaker (8)63.451.9115.2+11.575%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 122.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers57.9 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.626.3
54.1%
54.4%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.519.3
43.4%
36.3%57.9
🏀 Free throws15.312.3
80.4%
78.2%12.3
They take 93.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 114.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.924.9
54.2%
54.4%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.715.3
38.5%
36.3%45.9
🏀 Free throws23.018.7
81.3%
78.2%18.7
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWWWWLLWW
Milwaukee Bucks
WWLWLLWWWW
#1
League position
#8
+19.2
Net rating
+3.0
126.1
Offensive rating
116.9
106.9
Defensive rating
113.9
59.3%
Effective FG%
55.9%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
9.7%
Turnover %
10.2%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
19.1%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.27
43.4%
3-point %
38.5%
64.7%
Assist %
63.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence126.1 · 116.9Defence106.9 · 113.9Shooting59.3% · 55.9%3-point %43.4% · 38.5%Ball care9.7% · 10.2%Off. rebounds26.6% · 19.1%Free throws0.16 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Boston Celtics wins
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/24HDetroit Pistons119-94
17/03/24AWashington Wizards130-104
14/03/24HPhoenix Suns127-112
13/03/24AUtah Jazz123-107
12/03/24APortland Trail Blazers121-99
10/03/24APhoenix Suns117-107
08/03/24ADenver Nuggets109-115
06/03/24ACleveland Cavaliers104-105
03/03/24HGolden State Warriors140-88
02/03/24HDallas Mavericks138-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24HPhoenix Suns140-129
15/03/24HPhiladelphia 76ers114-105
13/03/24ASacramento Kings94-129
10/03/24ALos Angeles Clippers124-117
09/03/24ALos Angeles Lakers122-123
07/03/24AGolden State Warriors90-125
05/03/24HLos Angeles Clippers113-106
02/03/24AChicago Bulls113-97
01/03/24ACharlotte Hornets111-99
28/02/24HCharlotte Hornets123-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673433
Win %81%91%70%
Points / game121.1123.4118.8
Allowed / game109.1107.7110.7
Point differential+12.0+15.7+8.1
Avg total230.3231.1229.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+51%56%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)80% (5)40% (10)
Overtime %7%6%9%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW65%
HomeLWWWW81%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663234
Win %65%81%50%
Points / game120.3122.7118.2
Allowed / game117.0115.8118.3
Point differential+3.3+6.9-0.1
Avg total237.4238.4236.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%38%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (16)100% (7)33% (9)
Overtime %5%6%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics67541381%121.1109.1+12.0
2 Oklahoma City Thunder67472070%120.7113.1+7.6
3 Denver Nuggets69482170%114.7110.2+4.4
4 Minnesota Timberwolves69472268%113.3106.7+6.6
5 Milwaukee Bucks66432365%120.3117.0+3.3
6 Los Angeles Clippers67422563%116.5112.6+3.9
7 Cleveland Cavaliers69432662%113.4109.4+4.0
8 New Orleans Pelicans66412562%116.2110.3+5.9
9 New York Knicks67412661%111.9107.3+4.6
10 Orlando Magic69412859%110.8108.8+2.0
11 Sacramento Kings66392759%118.1116.8+1.2
12 Phoenix Suns67392858%117.1114.7+2.4
13 Dallas Mavericks69402958%118.7117.3+1.4
14 Philadelphia 76ers68383056%114.8112.3+2.5
15 Miami Heat69383155%109.7109.2+0.5
16 Indiana Pacers68373154%122.8120.8+1.9
17 Golden State Warriors67353252%118.3116.8+1.5
18 Los Angeles Lakers67353252%117.4118.2-0.8
19 Chicago Bulls69343549%112.0113.6-1.5
20 Houston Rockets68333549%113.6112.5+1.1
21 Atlanta Hawks68303844%119.0121.1-2.0
22 Utah Jazz68293943%117.2120.6-3.4
23 Brooklyn Nets69264338%111.4113.9-2.5
24 Toronto Raptors68234534%113.7118.0-4.3
25 Memphis Grizzlies69234633%105.9112.4-6.6
26 Portland Trail Blazers68194928%107.7115.8-8.1
27 Charlotte Hornets69175225%106.6116.7-10.1
28 San Antonio Spurs69155422%112.3119.7-7.4
29 Detroit Pistons69125717%111.6120.1-8.5
30 Washington Wizards69115816%113.8124.2-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics33363221122
Milwaukee Bucks28282736119
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