PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 115-109
30-28 32-26 28-26 25-29
Position#3
Record42-20
FormWWWWL
Points / game114.4
Allowed / game110.4
Denver Nuggets 🏆
USA
vs
Boston Celtics
USA
Position#1
Record48-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game121.2
Allowed / game109.6
USANBA· Ball Arena (Denver)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics
18 Nov 2026
DEN v BOS
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
DEN103
BOS84
07 Jan 2025
DEN106
BOS118
07 Mar 2024
DEN115
BOS109
01 Jan 2023
DEN123
BOS111
20 Mar 2022
DEN104
BOS124
11 Apr 2021
DEN87
BOS105
22 Nov 2019
DEN96
BOS92
05 Nov 2018
DEN115
BOS107
29 Jan 2018
DEN110
BOS111
10 Mar 2017
DEN119
BOS99
21 Feb 2016
DEN101
BOS121
23 Jan 2015
DEN99
BOS100
07 Jan 2014
DEN129
BOS98
19 Feb 2013
DEN97
BOS90
17 Mar 2012
DEN98
BOS91
24 Feb 2011
DEN89
BOS75
21 Feb 2010
DEN114
BOS105
23 Feb 2009
DEN76
BOS114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
106-135
106
135
-29
96avg 109
A10/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
95-112
95
112
-17
82avg 109
A13/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
98-102
98
102
-4
90avg 109
H15/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
130-110
130
110
+20
139avg 109
H23/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
127-112
127
112
+15
133avg 109
A24/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
119-103
119
103
+16
116avg 109
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
117-96
117
96
+21
121avg 109
H29/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
103-97
103
97
+6
94avg 109
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
124-114
124
114
+10
128avg 109
A03/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
107-117 OT
107
117
-10
98avg 109
H06/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-32
22-35
29-39
20-29
23-28
21-32
19-31
32-21
27-16
26-25
21-30
24-31
38-25
34-24
29-34
29-27
25-20
38-28
32-29
32-35
30-36
31-25
30-26
28-16
28-35
37-20
35-17
17-24
36-20
20-31
27-19
20-27
27-33
31-33
31-23
35-25
32-28
18-37
31-25
21-12
222.4Avg total
112.6Scored
109.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)114.4110.4224.8+4.068%
Season at home (30)118.1108.9227.0+9.280%
Season away (32)111.0111.8222.7-0.856%
Last 10 (10)112.6109.8222.4+2.860%
Last 5 (5)114.0105.4219.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)102.0100.0202.0+2.0100%
vs Similar (18)109.6112.6222.2-2.950%
vs Weaker (11)121.4108.5229.8+12.991%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
W
133-129
133
129
+4
129avg 113
H10/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
110-106
110
106
+4
108avg 113
A11/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
118-110
118
110
+8
116avg 113
A14/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
136-86
136
86
+50
140avg 113
H15/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
129-112
129
112
+17
124avg 113
A23/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
116-102
116
102
+14
113avg 113
A25/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
117-99
117
99
+18
122avg 113
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
138-110
138
110
+28
140avg 113
H02/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
140-88
140
88
+52
143avg 113
H03/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
104-105
104
105
-1
97avg 113
A06/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-35
33-36
36-16
33-42
26-22
33-28
27-29
24-27
36-30
36-27
26-25
20-28
30-15
38-17
33-23
35-31
31-23
28-39
37-21
33-29
30-26
32-32
35-26
19-18
30-30
23-21
33-24
31-24
38-32
28-27
36-31
36-20
44-22
38-16
33-24
25-26
33-25
22-20
32-26
17-34
228.8Avg total
124.1Scored
104.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)121.2109.6230.7+11.680%
Season at home (32)123.4108.0231.4+15.491%
Season away (28)118.6111.4230.0+7.168%
Last 10 (10)124.1104.7228.8+19.490%
Last 5 (5)123.0100.8223.8+22.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)123.0127.0250.0-4.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)121.7108.4230.0+13.379%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +6.9+6.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +8.3+8.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +6.9+6.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +8.3+8.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
Denver NuggetsBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A10/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A13/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H15/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
72-49
72
49
+23
H23/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
63-48
63
48
+15
A24/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H29/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A03/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
50-65
50
65
-15
H06/03
NBA
114.2Avg total
57.9Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.757.1115.8+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.754.2113.9+5.569%-
Last 30 away (14)57.660.5118.1-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)57.956.3114.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)58.059.6117.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)55.061.0116.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (18)57.858.1115.9-0.350%-
vs Weaker (11)60.555.2115.6+5.364%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H10/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A11/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
72-57
72
57
+15
A14/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
68-32
68
32
+36
H15/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A23/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A25/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H02/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
82-38
82
38
+44
H03/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A06/03
NBA
116.3Avg total
64.0Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.855.3118.1+7.580%-
Last 30 at home (16)63.453.8117.2+9.775%-
Last 30 away (14)62.157.1119.2+5.186%-
Last 10 (10)64.052.3116.3+11.780%-
Last 5 (5)63.650.2113.8+13.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)61.058.0119.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)62.955.2118.1+7.779%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.032.1
56.3%
54.4%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.711.4
34.9%
36.3%34.2
🏀 Free throws18.314.2
77.6%
78.2%14.2
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 124.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.929.0
60.5%
54.4%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.916.8
43.2%
36.3%50.4
🏀 Free throws18.615.7
84.4%
78.2%15.7
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWWWWWLLL
Boston Celtics
LWWWWWWWWW
#3
League position
#1
+2.8
Net rating
+19.9
111.4
Offensive rating
127.3
108.6
Defensive rating
107.4
54.8%
Effective FG%
62.4%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
13.6%
Turnover %
10.9%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.9%
3-point %
43.2%
69.2%
Assist %
61.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 127.3Defence108.6 · 107.4Shooting54.8% · 62.4%3-point %34.9% · 43.2%Ball care13.6% · 10.9%Off. rebounds24.0% · 22.7%Free throws0.20 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Boston Celtics wins
DateGameScore
20/01/24Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets100-102
02/01/23Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics123-111
12/11/22Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets131-112
21/03/22Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics104-124
12/02/22Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets108-102
11/04/21Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics87-105
17/02/21Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets112-99
07/12/19Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets108-95
23/11/19Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics96-92
18/03/19Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets105-114
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24HPhoenix Suns107-117 OT
03/03/24ALos Angeles Lakers124-114
01/03/24HMiami Heat103-97
29/02/24HSacramento Kings117-96
26/02/24AGolden State Warriors119-103
24/02/24APortland Trail Blazers127-112
23/02/24HWashington Wizards130-110
15/02/24HSacramento Kings98-102
13/02/24AMilwaukee Bucks95-112
10/02/24ASacramento Kings106-135
Boston Celticslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24ACleveland Cavaliers104-105
03/03/24HGolden State Warriors140-88
02/03/24HDallas Mavericks138-110
28/02/24HPhiladelphia 76ers117-99
25/02/24ANew York Knicks116-102
23/02/24AChicago Bulls129-112
15/02/24HBrooklyn Nets136-86
14/02/24ABrooklyn Nets118-110
11/02/24AMiami Heat110-106
10/02/24HWashington Wizards133-129

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL68%
HomeLWWWL80%
AwayLLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623032
Win %68%80%56%
Points / game114.4118.1111.0
Allowed / game110.4108.9111.8
Point differential+4.0+9.2-0.8
Avg total224.8227.0222.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)40% (5)55% (11)
Overtime %2%3%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWWL68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games603228
Win %80%91%68%
Points / game121.2123.4118.6
Allowed / game109.6108.0111.4
Point differential+11.6+15.4+7.1
Avg total230.7231.4230.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%53%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)80% (5)40% (10)
Overtime %8%6%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics60481280%121.2109.6+11.6
2 Minnesota Timberwolves63441970%113.3106.5+6.8
3 Oklahoma City Thunder62431969%121.0113.4+7.6
4 Denver Nuggets62422068%114.4110.4+4.0
5 Los Angeles Clippers61402166%117.2112.6+4.7
6 Milwaukee Bucks61402166%120.5116.8+3.7
7 Cleveland Cavaliers62402265%114.0109.5+4.5
8 New Orleans Pelicans60362460%116.9111.0+5.9
9 Phoenix Suns62372560%117.4114.4+3.0
10 New York Knicks61362559%113.1109.2+3.9
11 Orlando Magic63372659%111.4109.5+1.9
12 Sacramento Kings60352558%118.3117.7+0.6
13 Philadelphia 76ers62352756%116.8113.8+3.1
14 Miami Heat62352756%110.7110.0+0.7
15 Dallas Mavericks63352856%118.7118.1+0.5
16 Golden State Warriors61332854%118.7116.8+1.9
17 Indiana Pacers62332953%123.2122.0+1.2
18 Los Angeles Lakers62323052%117.1118.3-1.3
19 Chicago Bulls62303248%111.8113.1-1.3
20 Atlanta Hawks62283445%120.2122.0-1.8
21 Utah Jazz63283544%117.7120.4-2.7
22 Houston Rockets62273544%112.9112.9-0.1
23 Brooklyn Nets63253840%112.0114.1-2.1
24 Toronto Raptors63234037%114.1118.0-3.9
25 Memphis Grizzlies63224135%106.2112.5-6.3
26 Portland Trail Blazers61174428%107.8115.9-8.0
27 Charlotte Hornets62154724%107.3117.7-10.4
28 San Antonio Spurs62134921%112.2120.2-8.0
29 Detroit Pistons62105216%112.2120.8-8.6
30 Washington Wizards6295315%114.5124.6-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets30322825115
Boston Celtics28262629109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.