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Avellino vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 53-60
13-20 13-8 10-17 17-15
Position#10
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Position#42
Record3-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game80.5
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 12
European cup2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H04/12
Lega A
Mega Bemax
#40
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H07/12
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A12/12
Lega A
Strasbourg
#9
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A14/12
Champions League
Cremona
#16
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A18/12
Lega A
Cibona
#37
W
75-57
75
57
+18
H21/12
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
94-65
94
65
+29
H27/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A01/01
Lega A
Oostende
#35
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A04/01
Champions League
Trento
#4
W
79-69 OT
79
69
+10
H08/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
21-13
14-23
29-23
21-15
16-18
22-10
26-18
17-28
20-10
20-9
17-28
12-15
8-21
17-14
20-13
16-21
19-18
26-16
25-18
25-17
16-12
23-21
11-7
30-17
17-15
24-20
23-13
22-23
26-20
18-23
20-16
24-16
16-18
22-16
16-23
13-18
17-14
14-13
21-20
149.0Avg total
79.2Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.670.1146.7+6.573%
Season at home (5)75.868.0143.8+7.860%
Season away (6)77.371.8149.2+5.583%
Last 10 (10)79.269.8149.0+9.470%
Last 5 (5)82.469.2151.6+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.583.0156.5-9.50%
vs Similar (11)76.874.8151.6+2.055%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)81.072.0153.0+9.088%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#5
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A03/12
ABA League
Oostende
#35
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A06/12
Champions League
MZT Skopje
#13
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H10/12
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
72-89
72
89
-17
H14/12
Champions League
Partizan
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A18/12
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#40
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A21/12
Champions League
Cibona
#7
W
92-57
92
57
+35
H27/12
ABA League
Karpos
#11
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A30/12
ABA League
Cibona
#37
L
81-92
81
92
-11
H03/01
Champions League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
93-70
93
70
+23
H08/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
11-19
21-21
20-14
16-19
10-20
19-19
15-22
17-13
20-16
19-16
9-19
20-27
15-19
15-27
22-16
22-18
22-21
21-32
20-19
16-16
10-15
9-16
18-13
24-15
16-14
26-15
26-13
11-24
18-13
16-23
18-15
23-13
21-29
13-24
24-26
22-14
27-18
19-22
25-16
148.4Avg total
73.3Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)70.080.5150.5-10.523%
Season at home (7)76.778.4155.1-1.743%
Season away (6)62.282.8145.0-20.70%
Last 10 (10)73.375.1148.4-1.830%
Last 5 (5)76.470.8147.2+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)68.683.8152.4-15.27%
vs Similar (11)79.673.5153.1+6.245%
vs Weaker (5)80.276.2156.4+4.060%
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
AvellinoMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#1
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H04/12
Lega A
Mega Bemax
#40
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H07/12
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A12/12
Lega A
Strasbourg
#9
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A14/12
Champions League
Cremona
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A18/12
Lega A
Cibona
#37
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H21/12
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H27/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A01/01
Lega A
Oostende
#35
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A04/01
Champions League
Trento
#4
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H08/01
Lega A
72.0Avg total
37.0Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.337.074.3+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.136.374.4+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)36.337.974.1-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)37.035.072.0+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.234.075.2+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.541.074.5-7.50%-
vs Similar (11)33.337.370.5-4.018%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.336.176.4+4.269%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#5
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A03/12
ABA League
Oostende
#35
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A06/12
Champions League
MZT Skopje
#13
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H10/12
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H14/12
Champions League
Partizan
#2
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A18/12
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#40
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A21/12
Champions League
Cibona
#7
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H27/12
ABA League
Karpos
#11
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A30/12
ABA League
Cibona
#37
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H03/01
Champions League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H08/01
ABA League
72.1Avg total
35.8Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.340.177.4-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.137.176.2+2.062%-
Last 30 away (14)35.343.578.8-8.27%-
Last 10 (10)35.836.372.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.634.271.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.842.678.4-6.929%-
vs Similar (11)38.137.275.3+0.936%-
vs Weaker (5)40.039.479.4+0.660%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.0
53.1%
52.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.1
38.5%
34.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.513.5
69.2%
73.8%13.5
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.221.5
49.8%
52.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.97.7
36.8%
34.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.614.6
70.9%
73.8%14.6
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
WWWWWWLLWL
Mornar Bar
WLLWLLLWLL
#10
League position
#42
+9.8
Net rating
+1.0
111.2
Offensive rating
103.4
101.4
Defensive rating
102.3
55.2%
Effective FG%
51.6%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
18.3%
Turnover %
16.7%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.5%
3-point %
36.8%
58.7%
Assist %
55.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 103.4Defence101.4 · 102.3Shooting55.2% · 51.6%3-point %38.5% · 36.8%Ball care18.3% · 16.7%Off. rebounds31.5% · 26.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Avellino   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Avellino wins
0
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
15/11/16Mornar Bar v Avellino67-76
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/17HTrento79-69 OT
04/01/17AOostende78-73
01/01/17ACaserta86-82
27/12/16HCapo d'Orlando94-65
21/12/16HCibona75-57
18/12/16ACremona86-73
14/12/16AStrasbourg57-63
12/12/16ACantu74-75
07/12/16HMega Bemax85-61
04/12/16HVenezia78-80
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/17HPetrol Olimpija93-70
03/01/17HCibona81-92
30/12/16AKarpos63-75
27/12/16HCibona92-57
21/12/16AMega Bemax53-60
18/12/16APartizan85-90
14/12/16HTenerife72-89
10/12/16HMZT Skopje65-64
06/12/16AOostende60-80
03/12/16AIgokea69-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Champions League 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%60%83%
Points / game76.675.877.3
Allowed / game70.168.071.8
Point differential+6.5+7.8+5.5
Avg total146.7143.8149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mornar Bar
Champions League 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeWLLLL43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %23%43%0%
Points / game70.076.762.2
Allowed / game80.578.482.8
Point differential-10.5-1.7-20.7
Avg total150.5155.1145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco1211192%74.064.8+9.2
2 Besiktas1210283%82.872.8+10.0
3 Tenerife119282%82.567.3+15.2
4 Banvit129375%80.373.8+6.5
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne129375%76.570.0+6.5
6 Le Mans118373%74.465.4+9.0
7 Avellino118373%76.670.1+6.5
8 Aris128467%79.570.7+8.8
9 Nymburk128467%81.873.5+8.2
10 Ludwigsburg128467%82.574.3+8.2
11 Neptunas128467%74.768.8+5.9
12 Oldenburg128467%75.870.9+4.9
13 Venezia128467%73.170.8+2.2
14 Partizan128467%74.073.2+0.8
15 Juventus149564%77.177.7-0.6
16 Karsiyaka117464%75.068.6+6.4
17 AEK Athens127558%80.671.9+8.7
18 Strasbourg127558%76.270.9+5.3
19 Ventspils127558%78.274.1+4.2
20 Cluj Napoca42250%75.271.0+4.2
21 Minsk42250%69.865.8+4.0
22 PAOK126650%72.371.2+1.2
23 Kataja147750%77.476.5+0.9
24 Benfica21150%72.072.5-0.5
25 CSM Oradea168850%66.670.7-4.1
26 Academic21150%66.571.0-4.5
27 Igokea21150%65.576.0-10.5
28 Sodertalje21150%62.078.0-16.0
29 Usak Sportif146843%77.678.9-1.3
30 Ironi Nahariya146843%70.673.2-2.6
31 Saratov125742%83.683.2+0.3
32 Maccabi Rishon125742%71.572.6-1.1
33 Sassari125742%76.879.0-2.2
34 Frankfurt125742%69.471.8-2.3
35 Cibona125742%79.683.9-4.3
36 Oostende114736%70.871.1-0.3
37 Zielona Gora124833%72.877.2-4.5
38 Mega Bemax124833%72.477.7-5.2
39 Spirou Charleroi124833%71.878.6-6.8
40 Varese1441029%70.679.4-8.9
41 Tartu Ulikool41325%69.572.8-3.2
42 Khimik123925%66.673.2-6.7
43 HydroTruck Radom123925%68.977.8-8.9
44 Mornar Bar1331023%70.080.5-10.5
45 Bakken Bears1431121%70.886.2-15.4
46 Helios Domzale1221017%60.167.2-7.1
47 Szolnoki Olaj1221017%70.284.4-14.2
48 Donar Groningen2020%66.570.5-4.0
49 BC Prievidza2020%65.572.0-6.5
50 FC Porto2020%70.080.0-10.0
51 Rilski Sportist2020%61.073.0-12.0
52 AEK Larnaca2020%53.072.5-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino1313101753
Mornar Bar208171560
← all games of the day
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