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Ball State vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 75-93
40-44 35-49
Position#243
Record8-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Toledo 🏆
USA
Position#167
Record9-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game77.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ball State v Toledo
19 Jan 2027
BALL v TOLE
upcoming
18 Jan 2025
BALL75
TOLE93
03 Mar 2023
BALL81
TOLE87
04 Feb 2022
BALL93
TOLE83
06 Feb 2021
BALL81
TOLE67
03 Jan 2020
BALL61
TOLE57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Tech
#417
W
94-57
94
57
+37
H26/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H27/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A08/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A14/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
80-43
80
43
+37
H21/12
NCAA
Anderson (Ind.)
#382
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H08/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H11/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-31
48-26
33-30
27-43
41-39
28-43
47-42
39-40
37-17
43-26
39-43
50-33
36-31
39-36
33-38
39-42
42-26
49-43
35-45
36-41
150.2Avg total
78.7Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.971.8147.7+4.250%
Season at home (9)79.669.1148.7+10.456%
Season away (7)71.375.1146.4-3.943%
Last 10 (10)78.771.5150.2+7.260%
Last 5 (5)79.675.6155.2+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.878.2152.0-4.525%
vs Similar ◀ (11)72.377.5149.7-5.227%
vs Weaker (13)74.766.4141.1+8.362%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#11
L
45-80
45
80
-35
H23/11
NCAA
Oakland
#220
L
52-85
52
85
-33
H01/12
NCAA
Defiance College
#642
W
111-49
111
49
+62
H07/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A14/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
49-78
49
78
-29
A19/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A29/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A04/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H08/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H11/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-34
20-46
23-34
29-51
55-23
56-26
39-44
48-49
22-39
27-39
28-39
36-44
35-33
41-37
46-33
44-54
34-30
35-37
42-30
36-55
149.8Avg total
72.1Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.477.7155.1-0.356%
Season at home (8)79.875.4155.1+4.475%
Season away (8)75.080.0155.0-5.038%
Last 10 (10)72.177.7149.8-5.640%
Last 5 (5)75.478.4153.8-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.283.9158.1-9.730%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.474.3151.8+3.167%
vs Weaker (8)90.171.4161.5+18.888%
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: -6.6-6.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: -6.6-6.6
Ball StateToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Tech
#417
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H26/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A08/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A14/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
37-17
37
17
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Anderson (Ind.)
#382
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A04/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H08/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H11/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A15/01
NCAA
73.1Avg total
38.9Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.632.767.3+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.131.466.6+3.756%-
Last 30 away (14)34.034.168.1-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)38.934.273.1+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.673.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.236.070.2-1.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.735.368.0-2.527%-
vs Weaker (13)35.229.164.3+6.269%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#11
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H23/11
NCAA
Oakland
#220
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H01/12
NCAA
Defiance College
#642
W
55-23
55
23
+32
H07/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A14/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A19/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A29/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A04/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H08/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H11/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A15/01
NCAA
68.8Avg total
34.9Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.534.672.1+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.131.368.3+5.860%-
Last 30 away (15)38.037.975.9+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)34.933.968.8+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.070.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.738.773.4-4.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.232.869.1+3.450%-
vs Weaker (8)43.032.075.0+11.088%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ball State wins
6
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
14/01/24Toledo v Ball State77-72
03/03/23Ball State v Toledo81-87
04/01/23Toledo v Ball State83-90
05/02/22Ball State v Toledo93-83
19/01/22Toledo v Ball State83-70
11/03/21Toledo v Ball State91-89 OT
06/03/21Toledo v Ball State89-70
06/02/21Ball State v Toledo81-67
29/02/20Toledo v Ball State69-63
04/01/20Ball State v Toledo61-57
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25AOhio71-86
11/01/25HBowling Green91-69
08/01/25HMiami (Ohio)72-80
04/01/25AKent State75-67
31/12/24HAnderson (Ind.)89-76
21/12/24HEvansville80-43
14/12/24ABellarmine86-82
08/12/24ASiu Edwardsville69-82
27/11/24HRichmond Spiders60-73
26/11/24HFlorida Tech94-57
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25AAkron78-85
11/01/25HCentral Michigan69-67
08/01/25HEastern Michigan90-87
04/01/25AWestern Michigan76-70
29/12/24APurdue64-83
19/12/24AHouston49-78
14/12/24AYoungstown State87-93
07/12/24HDefiance College111-49
01/12/24HOakland52-85
23/11/24HUC San Diego45-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWLW56%
AwayWLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %50%56%43%
Points / game75.979.671.3
Allowed / game71.869.175.1
Point differential+4.2+10.4-3.9
Avg total147.7148.7146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL56%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%75%38%
Points / game77.479.875.0
Allowed / game77.775.480.0
Point differential-0.3+4.4-5.0
Avg total155.1155.1155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)1612475%83.671.5+12.1
2 Akron1712571%82.873.9+8.9
3 Kent State1611569%70.164.4+5.6
4 Ohio1710759%81.174.9+6.2
5 Toledo169756%77.477.7-0.3
6 Ball State168850%75.971.8+4.2
7 Central Michigan167944%73.470.3+3.1
8 Bowling Green167944%77.575.1+2.4
9 Eastern Michigan167944%72.178.6-6.6
10 UMass1871139%76.177.3-1.3
11 Buffalo1761135%72.681.0-8.4
12 Northern Illinois1641225%70.876.8-5.9
13 Western Michigan1741324%72.676.9-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State403575
Toledo444993
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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