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Barcelona vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 72-65
25-4 15-24 12-23 20-14
Position#7
Record11-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#12
Record11-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game82.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 11
European cup2015
Meetings · Barcelona v Real Madrid
05 Mar 2027
BAR v MAD
upcoming
27 Dec 2026
BAR v MAD
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
BAR76
MAD95
07 Nov 2025
BAR92
MAD101
06 Apr 2025
BAR89
MAD91
28 Nov 2024
BAR90
MAD97
02 Jun 2024
BAR92
MAD95
07 Apr 2024
BAR85
MAD79
03 Jan 2024
BAR83
MAD78
16 Sep 2023
BAR80
MAD90
18 Jun 2023
BAR86
MAD85
16 Jun 2023
BAR97
MAD88
19 May 2023
BAR66
MAD78
16 Apr 2023
BAR97
MAD82
13 Oct 2022
BAR75
MAD73
15 Jun 2022
BAR71
MAD69
13 Jun 2022
BAR75
MAD88
19 May 2022
BAR83
MAD86
10 Apr 2022
BAR108
MAD97
10 Dec 2021
BAR93
MAD80
12 Sep 2021
BAR83
MAD88
15 Jun 2021
BAR92
MAD73
11 Apr 2021
BAR85
MAD87
23 Oct 2020
BAR79
MAD72
01 Mar 2019
BAR77
MAD70
25 Nov 2018
BAR86
MAD69
11 Mar 2018
BAR94
MAD72
23 Feb 2018
BAR74
MAD101
18 Nov 2016
BAR63
MAD102
06 Nov 2016
BAR85
MAD75
17 Jun 2016
BAR70
MAD90
15 Jun 2016
BAR100
MAD99
24 Apr 2016
BAR86
MAD91
17 Mar 2016
BAR72
MAD65
24 Jun 2015
BAR85
MAD90
02 Apr 2015
BAR85
MAD80
22 Feb 2015
BAR71
MAD77
28 Dec 2014
BAR76
MAD68
26 Jun 2014
BAR83
MAD81
24 Jun 2014
BAR94
MAD79
16 May 2014
BAR62
MAD100
10 May 2014
BAR86
MAD75
16 Jun 2013
BAR73
MAD62
14 Jun 2013
BAR72
MAD84
10 May 2013
BAR67
MAD74
30 Dec 2012
BAR96
MAD89
23 Sep 2012
BAR84
MAD95
16 Jun 2012
BAR73
MAD69
08 Jun 2012
BAR69
MAD75
06 Jun 2012
BAR81
MAD80
03 May 2012
BAR86
MAD83
19 Feb 2012
BAR74
MAD91
30 Sep 2011
BAR74
MAD70
30 Dec 2010
BAR95
MAD75
24 Sep 2010
BAR89
MAD55
10 Apr 2010
BAR78
MAD73
25 Mar 2010
BAR63
MAD70
23 Mar 2010
BAR68
MAD61
21 Feb 2010
BAR80
MAD61
04 Mar 2009
BAR90
MAD79
20 Dec 2008
BAR87
MAD67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H07/02
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#22
W
92-86
92
86
+6
H12/02
Euroleague
Real Betis
#11
W
108-54
108
54
+54
H14/02
ACB
Bilbao
#4
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Olympiacos
#5
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H26/02
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#12
W
87-76
87
76
+11
A28/02
ACB
Khimki M.
#10
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A03/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H06/03
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
H11/03
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
85-59
85
59
+26
A13/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
14-10
25-23
24-21
16-19
22-12
27-24
27-31
27-12
30-21
34-8
17-13
18-20
19-20
18-15
17-18
19-19
26-12
26-16
11-19
21-13
24-24
27-16
15-23
14-24
15-24
14-13
18-14
21-24
21-25
23-15
18-13
21-24
26-14
13-26
25-21
19-17
16-16
24-15
26-11
159.7Avg total
85.4Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.277.5158.7+3.755%
Season at home (10)86.176.4162.5+9.780%
Season away (10)76.278.6154.8-2.430%
Last 10 (10)85.474.3159.7+11.180%
Last 5 (5)83.277.0160.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)91.095.5186.5-4.550%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.079.5158.5-0.536%
vs Weaker (16)84.170.6154.7+13.494%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#18
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H14/02
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#8
W
101-84
101
84
+17
H19/02
Spanish Cup
Baskonia
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
A20/02
Spanish Cup
Gran Canaria
#2
W
85-81
85
81
+4
A21/02
Spanish Cup
Bamberg
#9
W
90-86
90
86
+4
A25/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
95-94
95
94
+1
A28/02
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
87-96
87
96
-9
H02/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#5
W
103-93
103
93
+10
A06/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#22
W
90-75
90
75
+15
A11/03
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
107-78
107
78
+29
H13/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-23
19-25
32-21
9-19
25-21
29-13
23-25
24-25
25-17
15-27
20-17
26-19
24-18
16-20
22-21
23-22
23-26
23-19
26-20
18-21
24-28
20-26
26-25
25-15
18-18
19-24
25-22
25-32
26-24
29-34
24-10
24-25
13-17
26-24
23-12
28-22
27-25
27-20
29-19
24-14
179.3Avg total
93.8Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.382.2167.5+3.255%
Season at home (11)87.080.9167.9+6.164%
Season away (9)83.383.7167.0-0.344%
Last 10 (10)93.885.5179.3+8.390%
Last 5 (5)96.487.2183.6+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.095.5179.5-11.50%
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.180.1164.2+4.062%
vs Weaker (19)93.180.0173.1+13.189%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
BarcelonaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H07/02
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#22
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H12/02
Euroleague
Real Betis
#11
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H14/02
ACB
Bilbao
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Olympiacos
#5
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H26/02
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A28/02
ACB
Khimki M.
#10
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A03/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#6
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H06/03
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H11/03
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A13/03
ACB
78.5Avg total
41.0Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.136.977.1+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.935.176.1+5.860%-
Last 30 away (15)39.338.778.1+0.660%-
Last 10 (10)41.037.578.5+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.080.6-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.546.092.5+0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.337.674.9-0.445%-
vs Weaker (16)41.535.176.6+6.475%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#18
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H14/02
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#8
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H19/02
Spanish Cup
Baskonia
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A20/02
Spanish Cup
Gran Canaria
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A21/02
Spanish Cup
Bamberg
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A25/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A28/02
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H02/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#5
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A06/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#22
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A11/03
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H13/03
ACB
91.1Avg total
46.2Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.342.387.6+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.340.887.1+5.669%-
Last 30 away (14)44.244.188.3+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)46.244.991.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.848.093.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.046.085.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.642.082.6-1.438%-
vs Weaker (19)47.542.590.0+5.174%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Barcelona wins
6
Real Madrid wins
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/16AJoventut Badalona85-59
11/03/16HCSKA Moscow100-98 OT
06/03/16HUnicaja83-77
03/03/16AKhimki M.61-75
28/02/16ATecnyconta Zaragoza87-76
26/02/16HOlympiacos82-66
18/02/16HBilbao72-73
14/02/16HReal Betis108-54
12/02/16HZalgiris Kaunas92-86
07/02/16HMoraBanc Andorra84-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/16HMoraBanc Andorra107-78
11/03/16AZalgiris Kaunas90-75
06/03/16AGran Canaria103-93
02/03/16HCSKA Moscow87-96
28/02/16AValencia95-94
25/02/16ABamberg90-86
21/02/16AGran Canaria85-81
20/02/16ABaskonia86-80
19/02/16HFuenlabrada101-84
14/02/16HGipuzkoa94-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
Euroleague 2015
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW55%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%80%30%
Points / game81.286.176.2
Allowed / game77.576.478.6
Point differential+3.6+9.7-2.4
Avg total158.7162.5154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2015
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW55%
HomeWLWLL64%
AwayWLWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %55%64%44%
Points / game85.387.083.3
Allowed / game82.280.983.7
Point differential+3.2+6.1-0.3
Avg total167.5167.9167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%27%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2118386%78.571.1+7.4
2 CSKA Moscow2117481%91.880.8+11.0
3 Lokomotiv Kuban2115671%76.269.1+7.0
4 Baskonia2113862%82.475.9+6.6
5 Panathinaikos2113862%75.071.5+3.5
6 Olympiacos2012860%75.572.8+2.6
7 Barcelona2011955%81.277.5+3.6
8 Real Madrid2011955%85.382.2+3.2
9 Crvena zvezda2011955%77.077.6-0.6
10 Khimki M.20101050%82.078.7+3.2
11 Anadolu Efes20101050%82.079.6+2.4
12 Bamberg20101050%76.575.1+1.4
13 Unicaja20101050%73.174.1-1.0
14 Bayern104640%76.378.0-1.7
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv104640%75.079.2-4.2
16 Zalgiris Kaunas2071335%71.579.7-8.2
17 Darussafaka2171433%72.075.7-3.7
18 Olimpia Milano103730%73.779.7-6.0
19 Karsiyaka103730%69.877.2-7.4
20 Cedevita2061430%74.081.5-7.5
21 Strasbourg103730%71.181.4-10.3
22 Limoges103730%69.882.3-12.5
23 Zielona Gora102820%66.474.8-8.4
24 Sassari100100%69.083.9-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barcelona2515122072
Real Madrid424231465
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