Barcelona vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	81.3	76.3	157.6	+5.0	70%
Season at home (19)	80.2	73.4	153.6	+6.7	79%
Season away (18)	82.5	79.4	161.9	+3.1	61%
Last 10 (10)	88.2	73.4	161.6	+14.8	100%
Last 5 (5)	89.6	73.6	163.2	+16.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	83.1	78.9	162.0	+4.2	75%
vs Weaker (21)	85.3	72.4	157.7	+12.9	86%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMadrid

Date

Competition

Joventut Badalona

86-76

+10

78avg 72

A23/04

ACB

Partizan

87-89

-2

77avg 72

H25/04

Euroleague

Partizan

80-95

-15

74avg 72

H27/04

Euroleague

Basket Zaragoza

#13

93-86

80avg 72

H30/04

ACB

Partizan

82-80

80avg 72

A02/05

Euroleague

Partizan

85-78

84avg 72

A04/05

Euroleague

Unicaja

102-90

102

+12

93avg 72

H07/05

ACB

Partizan

98-94

93avg 72

H10/05

Euroleague

Valencia

79-68

+11

78avg 72

A12/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

95-67

+28

99avg 72

A14/05

ACB

30-18

15-20

26-19

15-19

22-22

22-26

20-15

23-26

21-31

16-20

25-24

18-20

18-13

17-27

31-26

27-20

19-32

26-16

21-15

16-17

27-15

18-27

16-13

24-23

24-24

25-22

30-28

23-16

22-23

17-32

30-21

29-18

20-15

19-20

21-18

19-15

23-21

31-22

17-16

24-8

171.0Avg total

88.7Scored

82.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (39)	85.7	80.4	166.1	+5.3	67%
Season at home (20)	89.7	81.7	171.4	+8.0	70%
Season away (19)	81.5	79.1	160.6	+2.4	63%
Last 10 (10)	88.7	82.3	171.0	+6.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	91.8	79.4	171.2	+12.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	82.0	93.0	175.0	-11.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	88.5	90.2	178.6	-1.7	38%
vs Weaker (16)	89.1	76.4	165.6	+12.7	94%

This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BarcelonaReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	17.6	38.6	+3.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	17.1	38.6	+4.4	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	15.7	36.4	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	15.6	36.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	22.5	19.8	42.2	+2.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.4	16.7	37.1	+3.8	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	18.2	40.5	+4.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.8	17.4	40.1	+5.4	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	21.4	44.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.6	42.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.8	20.9	43.8	+1.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.9	16.1	38.1	+5.8	81%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	17.5	37.4	+2.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	17.6	40.8	+5.6	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.2	17.4	33.6	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	18.2	40.4	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.6	37.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.4	17.0	37.3	+3.4	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.7	43.6	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	21.8	44.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	23.2	43.8	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	24.6	46.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.3	24.3	44.6	-4.0	31%	-
vs Weaker (16)	23.2	19.6	42.9	+3.6	75%	-

BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Madrid

47-46

H16/04

ACB

Granada

#16

32-23

A19/04

ACB

Gran Canaria

49-34

+15

H22/04

ACB

Zalgiris Kaunas

48-31

+17

H26/04

Euroleague

Zalgiris Kaunas

45-44

H28/04

Euroleague

Real Betis

#17

47-28

+19

A30/04

ACB

Zalgiris Kaunas

29-26

A03/05

Euroleague

Fuenlabrada

#18

52-30

+22

H07/05

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#11

35-32

H12/05

ACB

Baskonia

45-45

A14/05

ACB

76.8Avg total

42.9Scored

33.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	35.1	76.0	+5.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.8	35.6	79.3	+8.2	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.7	34.5	72.2	+3.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	33.9	76.8	+9.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	32.2	73.8	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	41.2	39.0	80.2	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (21)	40.8	33.6	74.4	+7.2	81%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Joventut Badalona

45-38

A23/04

ACB

Partizan

44-48

-4

H25/04

Euroleague

Partizan

37-51

-14

H27/04

Euroleague

Basket Zaragoza

#13

35-40

-5

H30/04

ACB

Partizan

45-48

-3

A02/05

Euroleague

Partizan

45-42

A04/05

Euroleague

Unicaja

49-46

H07/05

ACB

Partizan

39-55

-16

H10/05

Euroleague

Valencia

39-35

A12/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

54-43

+11

A14/05

ACB

87.8Avg total

43.2Scored

44.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	40.0	84.1	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.1	40.8	84.9	+3.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.1	39.0	83.1	+5.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	44.6	87.8	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	44.2	89.4	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	39.0	39.0	78.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	43.2	45.2	88.4	-2.1	46%	-
vs Weaker (16)	45.2	35.8	80.9	+9.4	88%	-

This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	18.7	40.8	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	17.4	39.9	+5.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	20.1	41.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	19.6	43.9	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	18.8	45.8	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (21)	22.9	18.6	41.4	+4.3	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	22.3	45.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.9	20.9	44.8	+3.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	23.9	45.2	-2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	19.5	43.2	+4.2	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	27.0	47.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	23.0	23.5	46.5	-0.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.6	21.0	43.6	+1.6	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.5	41.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	18.9	39.8	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	22.3	44.1	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.6	43.6	-1.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (21)	21.6	20.2	41.8	+1.4	52%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.2	41.7	+1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	21.2	43.6	+1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	16.0	39.8	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	27.0	50.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.5	20.3	41.8	+1.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.4	19.7	41.1	+1.7	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	39.2	82.6	+4.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.3	36.3	79.6	+7.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.6	42.4	86.1	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	39.5	84.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	41.4	89.4	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	41.9	39.9	81.8	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (21)	44.5	38.8	83.2	+5.7	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	42.5	86.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.2	42.1	88.3	+4.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.8	43.0	84.8	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.5	37.7	83.2	+7.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	35.2	81.8	+11.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	43.0	54.0	97.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	44.5	43.8	88.4	+0.7	54%	-
vs Weaker (16)	43.9	40.7	84.6	+3.2	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 87.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.8	19.6	58.0%	53.5%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	11.0	39.3%	36.2%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	18.3	15.2	83.1%	78.5%	15.2

They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.4	20.7	56.9%	53.5%	41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	9.8	38.0%	36.2%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	21.0	16.9	80.5%	78.5%	16.9

They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.9	20.4	48.7%	53.5%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	17.5	5.9	33.7%	36.2%	17.7
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.9	76.0%	78.5%	13.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	17.8	49.2%	53.5%	35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	9.8	37.1%	36.2%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	20.4	16.3	79.9%	78.5%	16.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.0	18.7	54.9%	53.5%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	10.5	40.4%	36.2%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	18.2	14.6	80.2%	78.5%	14.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.8	20.9	58.3%	53.5%	41.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	9.8	39.0%	36.2%	29.3
🏀 Free throws	21.6	16.8	77.9%	78.5%	16.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	19.4	48.3%	53.5%	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.5	6.8	35.1%	36.2%	20.5
🏀 Free throws	17.7	13.8	78.0%	78.5%	13.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	19.4	49.7%	53.5%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	9.4	35.7%	36.2%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	17.6	13.8	78.4%	78.5%	13.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Barcelona

WWWWWWWWWW

Real Madrid

WWWWWWWLLW

League position

+21.2

Net rating

+8.7

123.4

Offensive rating

119.2

102.2

Defensive rating

110.5

58.4%

Effective FG%

56.9%

49.2%

Opp. effective FG%

51.9%

17.0%

Turnover %

14.8%

34.2%

Off. rebound %

26.8%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.34

39.3%

3-point %

38.0%

64.7%

Assist %

56.4%

100%

Form (last 10/10)

80%

Profile

■ Barcelona ■ Real Madrid

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Barcelona wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
16/04/23	Barcelona v Real Madrid	97-82
26/01/23	Real Madrid v Barcelona	91-86 OT
02/01/23	Real Madrid v Barcelona	78-87
13/10/22	Barcelona v Real Madrid	75-73
25/09/22	Real Madrid v Barcelona	89-83 OT
19/06/22	Real Madrid v Barcelona	81-74
17/06/22	Real Madrid v Barcelona	81-66
15/06/22	Barcelona v Real Madrid	71-69
13/06/22	Barcelona v Real Madrid	75-88
19/05/22	Barcelona v Real Madrid	83-86

Barcelonalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/05/23	A	Baskonia	91-84
12/05/23	H	Obradoiro CAB	94-77
07/05/23	H	Fuenlabrada	101-64
03/05/23	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	77-66
30/04/23	A	Real Betis	85-77
28/04/23	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	89-81
26/04/23	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	91-69
22/04/23	H	Gran Canaria	87-79
19/04/23	A	Granada	70-55
16/04/23	H	Real Madrid	97-82

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/05/23	A	Gran Canaria	95-67
12/05/23	A	Valencia	79-68
10/05/23	H	Partizan	98-94
07/05/23	H	Unicaja	102-90
04/05/23	A	Partizan	85-78
02/05/23	A	Partizan	82-80
30/04/23	H	Basket Zaragoza	93-86
27/04/23	H	Partizan	80-95
25/04/23	H	Partizan	87-89
23/04/23	A	Joventut Badalona	86-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona

Euroleague 2022

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	70%
Home	WWWWW	79%
Away	LWWLW	61%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	19	18
Win %	70%	79%	61%
Points / game	81.3	80.2	82.5
Allowed / game	76.3	73.4	79.4
Point differential	+5.0	+6.7	+3.1
Avg total	157.6	153.6	161.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	42%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (11)	67% (6)	40% (5)
Overtime %	5%	0%	11%

Real Madrid

Euroleague 2022

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	67%
Home	WWLLW	70%
Away	WLLWW	63%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	39	20	19
Win %	67%	70%	63%
Points / game	85.7	89.7	81.5
Allowed / game	80.4	81.7	79.1
Point differential	+5.3	+8.1	+2.4
Avg total	166.1	171.3	160.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	40%	16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	53% (17)	44% (9)	62% (8)
Overtime %	8%	10%	5%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Barcelona	37	26	11	70%	81.3	76.3	+5.0
2	Olympiacos	40	28	12	70%	82.9	75.2	+7.7
3	Real Madrid	39	26	13	67%	85.7	80.4	+5.3
4	Monaco	40	24	16	60%	82.4	81.9	+0.5
5	Maccabi Tel Aviv	39	22	17	56%	83.6	80.9	+2.7
6	Partizan	39	22	17	56%	85.4	83.2	+2.3
7	Fenerbahce	39	21	18	54%	82.8	81.0	+1.8
8	Baskonia	34	18	16	53%	86.7	84.0	+2.7
9	Zalgiris Kaunas	37	19	18	51%	75.9	77.9	-2.1
10	Anadolu Efes	34	17	17	50%	83.0	81.3	+1.7
11	Crvena zvezda	34	17	17	50%	77.2	77.9	-0.6
12	Olimpia Milano	34	15	19	44%	74.8	77.6	-2.8
13	Valencia	34	15	19	44%	81.8	85.6	-3.8
14	Virtus Bologna	34	14	20	41%	78.0	82.7	-4.7
15	Panathinaikos	34	11	23	32%	79.3	82.7	-3.4
16	Bayern	34	11	23	32%	76.6	80.6	-3.9
17	Alba Berlin	34	11	23	32%	80.1	84.4	-4.3
18	Lyon-Villeurbanne	34	8	26	24%	74.3	82.0	-7.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Barcelona	18	24	13	11	66
Real Madrid	18	18	22	20	78

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Barcelona vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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