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Barcelona vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 85-87
15-20 18-22 24-17 28-28
Position#2
Record25-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game72.6
Barcelona
Spain
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
Position#1
Record27-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game74.8
SpainACBRound 30
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Barcelona v Real Madrid
05 Mar 2027
BAR v MAD
upcoming
27 Dec 2026
BAR v MAD
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
BAR76
MAD95
07 Nov 2025
BAR92
MAD101
06 Apr 2025
BAR89
MAD91
28 Nov 2024
BAR90
MAD97
02 Jun 2024
BAR92
MAD95
07 Apr 2024
BAR85
MAD79
03 Jan 2024
BAR83
MAD78
16 Sep 2023
BAR80
MAD90
18 Jun 2023
BAR86
MAD85
16 Jun 2023
BAR97
MAD88
19 May 2023
BAR66
MAD78
16 Apr 2023
BAR97
MAD82
13 Oct 2022
BAR75
MAD73
15 Jun 2022
BAR71
MAD69
13 Jun 2022
BAR75
MAD88
19 May 2022
BAR83
MAD86
10 Apr 2022
BAR108
MAD97
10 Dec 2021
BAR93
MAD80
12 Sep 2021
BAR83
MAD88
15 Jun 2021
BAR92
MAD73
11 Apr 2021
BAR85
MAD87
23 Oct 2020
BAR79
MAD72
01 Mar 2019
BAR77
MAD70
25 Nov 2018
BAR86
MAD69
11 Mar 2018
BAR94
MAD72
23 Feb 2018
BAR74
MAD101
18 Nov 2016
BAR63
MAD102
06 Nov 2016
BAR85
MAD75
17 Jun 2016
BAR70
MAD90
15 Jun 2016
BAR100
MAD99
24 Apr 2016
BAR86
MAD91
17 Mar 2016
BAR72
MAD65
24 Jun 2015
BAR85
MAD90
02 Apr 2015
BAR85
MAD80
22 Feb 2015
BAR71
MAD77
28 Dec 2014
BAR76
MAD68
26 Jun 2014
BAR83
MAD81
24 Jun 2014
BAR94
MAD79
16 May 2014
BAR62
MAD100
10 May 2014
BAR86
MAD75
16 Jun 2013
BAR73
MAD62
14 Jun 2013
BAR72
MAD84
10 May 2013
BAR67
MAD74
30 Dec 2012
BAR96
MAD89
23 Sep 2012
BAR84
MAD95
16 Jun 2012
BAR73
MAD69
08 Jun 2012
BAR69
MAD75
06 Jun 2012
BAR81
MAD80
03 May 2012
BAR86
MAD83
19 Feb 2012
BAR74
MAD91
30 Sep 2011
BAR74
MAD70
30 Dec 2010
BAR95
MAD75
24 Sep 2010
BAR89
MAD55
10 Apr 2010
BAR78
MAD73
25 Mar 2010
BAR63
MAD70
23 Mar 2010
BAR68
MAD61
21 Feb 2010
BAR80
MAD61
04 Mar 2009
BAR90
MAD79
20 Dec 2008
BAR87
MAD67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#9
W
79-55
79
55
+24
73avg 79
H16/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
72-56
72
56
+16
71avg 79
A19/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
80-64
80
64
+16
83avg 79
A21/03
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
W
98-68
98
68
+30
101avg 79
H23/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#15
W
80-67
80
67
+13
79avg 79
H26/03
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
81-79
81
79
+2
72avg 79
H28/03
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
no box
A30/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
82-73
82
73
+9
78avg 79
A02/04
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
93-77
93
77
+16
101avg 79
A04/04
ACB
Bayern
#5
L
72-82
72
82
-10
60avg 79
H09/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
17-19
20-19
19-4
15-12
23-17
17-15
17-12
17-14
24-15
17-18
22-17
33-15
31-24
13-8
21-21
22-23
23-17
17-18
18-9
20-17
11-18
25-24
25-20
14-19
24-20
21-26
21-15
26-25
21-17
15-16
20-15
13-15
19-17
35-20
26-25
22-29
15-14
18-17
17-22
155.1Avg total
83.1Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)87.272.6159.8+14.589%
Season at home (14)87.871.3159.1+16.593%
Season away (14)86.674.0160.6+12.686%
Last 10 (10)83.172.0155.1+11.180%
Last 5 (5)84.482.0166.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)80.471.4151.8+9.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)85.872.3158.0+13.588%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#5
W
85-74
85
74
+11
86avg 78
A14/03
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
86avg 78
H18/03
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
95-77
95
77
+18
78avg 78
H21/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
87-71
87
71
+16
76avg 78
A23/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
74-71
74
71
+3
66avg 78
A25/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
77-76
77
76
+1
72avg 78
A27/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
83-108
83
108
-25
78avg 78
H30/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#12
W
72-63
72
63
+9
68avg 78
H02/04
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
97-71
97
71
+26
95avg 78
H04/04
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
W
93-67
93
67
+26
92avg 78
A08/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
18-16
21-24
19-14
21-23
20-32
26-19
22-22
18-14
28-24
24-13
25-26
23-16
19-16
16-17
29-22
20-23
12-14
24-14
18-20
17-13
18-19
19-16
23-28
20-20
22-21
22-35
19-32
20-11
16-15
17-12
19-25
18-15
26-15
23-16
30-25
23-11
26-25
18-21
26-10
162.6Avg total
85.2Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)87.074.8161.9+12.296%
Season at home (14)91.179.4170.6+11.793%
Season away (14)82.970.2153.1+12.7100%
Last 10 (10)85.277.4162.6+7.880%
Last 5 (5)84.477.0161.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)77.392.3169.7-15.00%
vs Similar (10)79.176.9156.0+2.260%
vs Weaker (16)83.273.5156.7+9.788%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
BarcelonaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H16/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A19/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A21/03
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
W
64-39
64
39
+25
H23/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#15
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H26/03
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H28/03
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A30/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A02/04
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A04/04
ACB
Bayern
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H09/04
Euroleague
77.3Avg total
41.3Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.536.680.0+6.980%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.637.479.9+5.271%-
Last 30 away (16)44.235.980.1+8.488%-
Last 10 (10)41.336.077.3+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.275.2-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)41.436.477.8+5.080%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.136.380.4+7.883%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A14/03
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H18/03
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H21/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A23/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A25/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A27/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H30/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#12
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H02/04
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H04/04
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A08/04
Euroleague
77.5Avg total
41.2Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.637.678.2+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.938.880.7+3.259%-
Last 30 away (13)38.836.274.9+2.669%-
Last 10 (10)41.236.377.5+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)41.233.074.2+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.044.781.7-7.733%-
vs Similar (10)39.439.478.8+0.060%-
vs Weaker (16)41.435.476.9+6.069%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.6
53.8%
53.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.2
40.0%
36.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.014.8
82.2%
76.6%14.8
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.7
55.8%
53.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.911.1
39.8%
36.5%33.3
🏀 Free throws16.513.5
81.8%
76.6%13.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
LWWLWWWWWW
Real Madrid
WWWLWWWWLW
#2
League position
#1
+19.2
Net rating
+10.9
115.4
Offensive rating
118.2
96.2
Defensive rating
107.2
56.1%
Effective FG%
57.6%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
21.9%
Turnover %
16.7%
40.7%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
40.0%
3-point %
39.8%
62.4%
Assist %
57.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 118.2Defence96.2 · 107.2Shooting56.1% · 57.6%3-point %40.0% · 39.8%Ball care21.9% · 16.7%Off. rebounds40.7% · 31.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Barcelona   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Barcelona wins
2
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
11/03/21Real Madrid v Barcelona76-81
14/02/21Real Madrid v Barcelona73-88
27/12/20Real Madrid v Barcelona82-87
23/10/20Barcelona v Real Madrid79-72
13/09/20Real Madrid v Barcelona72-67
24/03/19Real Madrid v Barcelona76-82
01/03/19Barcelona v Real Madrid77-70
17/02/19Real Madrid v Barcelona93-94 OT
13/12/18Real Madrid v Barcelona92-65
25/11/18Barcelona v Real Madrid86-69
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/21HBayern72-82
04/04/21ASan Pablo Burgos93-77
02/04/21AFenerbahce82-73
30/03/21AMaccabi Tel Aviv94-99 OT
28/03/21HFuenlabrada81-79
26/03/21HAlba Berlin80-67
23/03/21HEstudiantes98-68
21/03/21AValencia80-64
19/03/21AOlimpia Milano72-56
16/03/21HUnicaja79-55
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/21AFenerbahce93-67
04/04/21HGipuzkoa97-71
02/04/21HOlympiacos72-63
30/03/21HAnadolu Efes83-108
27/03/21AManresa77-76
25/03/21ALyon-Villeurbanne74-71
23/03/21AObradoiro CAB87-71
21/03/21HReal Betis95-77
18/03/21HCSKA Moscow89-96
14/03/21ABaskonia85-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %89%93%86%
Points / game87.287.886.6
Allowed / game72.671.374.0
Point differential+14.5+16.5+12.6
Avg total159.8159.1160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%71%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW96%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %96%93%100%
Points / game87.091.182.9
Allowed / game74.879.470.2
Point differential+12.2+11.7+12.7
Avg total161.9170.6153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%57%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2827196%87.074.8+12.2
2 Barcelona2825389%87.272.6+14.5
3 Tenerife2823582%89.179.9+9.2
4 Baskonia2921872%83.177.6+5.5
5 San Pablo Burgos27171063%86.982.6+4.4
6 Valencia28171161%85.281.3+3.9
7 Joventut Badalona27161159%85.484.0+1.4
8 Unicaja27131448%84.582.8+1.7
9 Manresa29131645%83.986.9-3.0
10 MoraBanc Andorra27121544%78.178.7-0.7
11 Gran Canaria27121544%79.784.1-4.4
12 Murcia28111739%81.284.0-2.8
13 Basket Zaragoza27101737%87.288.9-1.6
14 Obradoiro CAB2891932%79.684.5-4.9
15 Fuenlabrada2992031%80.383.9-3.6
16 Estudiantes2992031%81.287.0-5.8
17 Real Betis2882029%77.983.2-5.4
18 Bilbao2872125%80.087.1-7.1
19 Gipuzkoa2862221%73.286.6-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barcelona1518242885
Real Madrid2022172887
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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