PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Barcelona vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 97-82
17-24 30-22 31-17 19-19
Position#1
Record21-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#3
Record21-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game76.8
SpainACBRound 27
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Barcelona v Real Madrid
05 Mar 2027
BAR v MAD
upcoming
27 Dec 2026
BAR v MAD
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
BAR76
MAD95
07 Nov 2025
BAR92
MAD101
06 Apr 2025
BAR89
MAD91
28 Nov 2024
BAR90
MAD97
02 Jun 2024
BAR92
MAD95
07 Apr 2024
BAR85
MAD79
03 Jan 2024
BAR83
MAD78
16 Sep 2023
BAR80
MAD90
18 Jun 2023
BAR86
MAD85
16 Jun 2023
BAR97
MAD88
19 May 2023
BAR66
MAD78
16 Apr 2023
BAR97
MAD82
13 Oct 2022
BAR75
MAD73
15 Jun 2022
BAR71
MAD69
13 Jun 2022
BAR75
MAD88
19 May 2022
BAR83
MAD86
10 Apr 2022
BAR108
MAD97
10 Dec 2021
BAR93
MAD80
12 Sep 2021
BAR83
MAD88
15 Jun 2021
BAR92
MAD73
11 Apr 2021
BAR85
MAD87
23 Oct 2020
BAR79
MAD72
01 Mar 2019
BAR77
MAD70
25 Nov 2018
BAR86
MAD69
11 Mar 2018
BAR94
MAD72
23 Feb 2018
BAR74
MAD101
18 Nov 2016
BAR63
MAD102
06 Nov 2016
BAR85
MAD75
17 Jun 2016
BAR70
MAD90
15 Jun 2016
BAR100
MAD99
24 Apr 2016
BAR86
MAD91
17 Mar 2016
BAR72
MAD65
24 Jun 2015
BAR85
MAD90
02 Apr 2015
BAR85
MAD80
22 Feb 2015
BAR71
MAD77
28 Dec 2014
BAR76
MAD68
26 Jun 2014
BAR83
MAD81
24 Jun 2014
BAR94
MAD79
16 May 2014
BAR62
MAD100
10 May 2014
BAR86
MAD75
16 Jun 2013
BAR73
MAD62
14 Jun 2013
BAR72
MAD84
10 May 2013
BAR67
MAD74
30 Dec 2012
BAR96
MAD89
23 Sep 2012
BAR84
MAD95
16 Jun 2012
BAR73
MAD69
08 Jun 2012
BAR69
MAD75
06 Jun 2012
BAR81
MAD80
03 May 2012
BAR86
MAD83
19 Feb 2012
BAR74
MAD91
30 Sep 2011
BAR74
MAD70
30 Dec 2010
BAR95
MAD75
24 Sep 2010
BAR89
MAD55
10 Apr 2010
BAR78
MAD73
25 Mar 2010
BAR63
MAD70
23 Mar 2010
BAR68
MAD61
21 Feb 2010
BAR80
MAD61
04 Mar 2009
BAR90
MAD79
20 Dec 2008
BAR87
MAD67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
85-79
85
79
+6
85avg 77
H17/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
86-81
86
81
+5
77avg 77
A19/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
88-74
88
74
+14
96avg 77
A23/03
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
87-71
87
71
+16
74avg 77
H25/03
ACB
Partizan
#6
W
89-80
89
80
+9
97avg 77
A28/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
72-56
72
56
+16
66avg 77
H30/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
79-76
79
76
+3
75avg 77
A02/04
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
76-84
76
84
-8
71avg 77
A07/04
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
L
80-82
80
82
-2
76avg 77
A09/04
ACB
Valencia
#13
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
H14/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
22-21
17-21
28-22
16-24
19-15
26-18
25-24
22-25
21-11
25-24
20-14
18-13
21-17
28-21
20-20
25-21
19-24
22-13
23-22
19-21
15-14
16-7
22-14
24-21
18-11
15-24
22-20
21-18
15-21
12-19
28-26
22-18
15-13
20-21
23-30
24-21
27-25
21-15
13-10
158.1Avg total
82.7Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.073.6157.6+10.481%
Season at home (12)83.869.4153.2+14.4100%
Season away (14)84.177.2161.4+6.964%
Last 10 (10)82.775.4158.1+7.380%
Last 5 (5)78.473.8152.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.679.2159.8+1.460%
vs Weaker (19)84.973.2158.1+11.784%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
91-87
91
87
+4
83avg 83
H16/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
82avg 83
H19/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
96-79
96
79
+17
92avg 83
A24/03
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
102-78
102
78
+24
101avg 83
A26/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
90-75
90
75
+15
98avg 83
H29/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
90-104
90
104
-14
88avg 83
A31/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
108-75
108
75
+33
102avg 83
H02/04
ACB
Bayern
#16
W
79-67
79
67
+12
76avg 83
H06/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
L
72-96
72
96
-24
67avg 83
A08/04
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
96-100 OT
96
100
-4
no box
A13/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
18-17
25-26
24-21
27-15
18-24
24-31
19-25
26-12
24-21
18-25
28-21
29-13
21-18
32-26
20-21
24-21
25-23
19-14
22-17
23-21
15-28
34-29
18-26
30-15
29-22
22-21
27-17
19-13
21-23
16-8
23-23
12-21
22-18
17-31
21-26
18-16
24-21
20-28
24-21
176.8Avg total
91.2Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)88.576.8165.3+11.681%
Season at home (13)92.276.3168.5+15.985%
Season away (13)84.777.4162.1+7.377%
Last 10 (10)91.285.6176.8+5.660%
Last 5 (5)89.088.4177.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.093.0175.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.987.2173.1-1.333%
vs Weaker (19)88.475.5163.9+12.995%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
BarcelonaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H17/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A19/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A23/03
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H25/03
ACB
Partizan
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A28/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H30/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A02/04
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A07/04
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A09/04
ACB
Valencia
#13
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H14/04
Euroleague
77.0Avg total
40.1Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.135.475.5+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.935.176.9+6.880%-
Last 30 away (15)38.335.774.0+2.760%-
Last 10 (10)40.136.977.0+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.676.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.336.976.2+2.460%-
vs Weaker (19)40.534.675.1+5.874%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H16/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H19/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A24/03
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A26/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H29/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A31/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
59-37
59
37
+22
H02/04
ACB
Bayern
#16
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H06/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A08/04
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A13/04
Euroleague
83.4Avg total
44.9Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.636.480.1+7.280%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.937.182.1+7.887%-
Last 30 away (15)42.335.778.1+6.673%-
Last 10 (10)44.938.583.4+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.682.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.039.078.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.740.280.9+0.456%-
vs Weaker (19)45.434.680.1+10.895%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.3
54.5%
52.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.610.4
42.3%
34.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.113.9
81.3%
73.9%13.9
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.119.2
58.0%
52.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.311.1
40.7%
34.5%33.3
🏀 Free throws24.018.2
75.8%
73.9%18.2
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
WLLWWWWWWW
Real Madrid
LLWWLWWWLW
#1
League position
#3
+10.0
Net rating
+7.9
118.3
Offensive rating
119.9
108.3
Defensive rating
112.0
58.2%
Effective FG%
59.4%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
20.4%
Turnover %
17.3%
37.1%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.40
42.3%
3-point %
40.7%
70.0%
Assist %
67.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.3 · 119.9Defence108.3 · 112.0Shooting58.2% · 59.4%3-point %42.3% · 40.7%Ball care20.4% · 17.3%Off. rebounds37.1% · 28.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Barcelona   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Barcelona wins
6
Real Madrid wins
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/23HValencia85-71
09/04/23ABilbao80-82
07/04/23AOlimpia Milano76-84
02/04/23ATenerife79-76
30/03/23HAlba Berlin72-56
28/03/23APartizan89-80
25/03/23HJoventut Badalona87-71
23/03/23APanathinaikos88-74
19/03/23AUnicaja86-81
17/03/23HCrvena zvezda85-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv96-100 OT
08/04/23ABreogan72-96
06/04/23HBayern79-67
02/04/23HGranada108-75
31/03/23APartizan90-104
29/03/23HFenerbahce90-75
26/03/23AFuenlabrada102-78
24/03/23AVirtus Bologna96-79
19/03/23HBaskonia88-95
16/03/23HOlimpia Milano91-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL81%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %81%100%64%
Points / game84.083.884.1
Allowed / game73.669.477.2
Point differential+10.4+14.4+6.9
Avg total157.6153.2161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)100% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL81%
HomeWWWLW85%
AwayWWWWL77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %81%85%77%
Points / game88.592.284.7
Allowed / game76.876.377.4
Point differential+11.6+15.9+7.3
Avg total165.3168.5162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%85%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baskonia2722581%91.282.2+9.0
2 Real Madrid2621581%88.576.8+11.6
3 Barcelona2621581%84.073.6+10.4
4 Tenerife2719870%82.473.7+8.7
5 Unicaja2718967%87.577.5+10.0
6 Joventut Badalona28181064%82.577.4+5.1
7 Gran Canaria28171161%83.778.3+5.4
8 Valencia26131350%83.583.4+0.1
9 Breogan27131448%78.479.1-0.8
10 Bilbao27121544%76.780.0-3.2
11 Obradoiro CAB27121544%77.981.8-3.9
12 Murcia27111641%79.984.1-4.2
13 Basket Zaragoza27101737%78.180.2-2.1
14 Basquet Girona2791833%76.281.2-5.0
15 Manresa2781930%82.789.9-7.2
16 Granada2781930%77.287.8-10.6
17 Real Betis2662023%76.785.2-8.5
18 Fuenlabrada2742315%76.491.2-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barcelona1730311997
Real Madrid2422171982
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.