PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pesaro vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 77-97
25-19 12-28 18-24 22-26
Position#16
Record2-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#7
Record3-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game79.4
ItalyLega ARound 6· Vitrifrigo Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pesaro v Basket Napoli
04 Nov 2023
PES77
NAP97
23 Oct 2022
PES97
NAP99
13 Nov 2021
PES83
NAP100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Tortona
#3
W
82-78
82
78
+4
no box
H07/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
56avg 72
A13/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
57-86
57
86
-29
44avg 72
A15/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 72
H18/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-94
80
94
-14
72avg 72
H20/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
79-81
79
81
-2
78avg 72
A01/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
64-76
64
76
-12
49avg 72
H08/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
81-68
81
68
+13
74avg 72
A14/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
no box
H22/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
90-82
90
82
+8
89avg 72
A29/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
30-21
13-24
19-19
16-26
17-28
23-24
12-16
15-27
11-17
18-30
13-12
22-24
14-18
25-24
27-17
17-34
23-21
14-16
26-23
20-26
21-21
22-15
16-19
19-23
9-18
17-19
19-16
24-15
18-15
18-18
21-20
14-34
16-13
31-20
25-19
27-17
15-28
23-19
25-18
164.1Avg total
79.2Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.482.8166.2+0.640%
Season at home (2)83.591.5175.0-8.00%
Season away (3)83.377.0160.3+6.367%
Last 10 (10)79.284.9164.1-5.740%
Last 5 (5)83.482.8166.2+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.589.2165.8-12.724%
vs Similar (12)84.683.8168.3+0.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
L
91-93
91
93
-2
82avg 71
H16/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
76-88
76
88
-12
64avg 71
A19/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
82-69
82
69
+13
70avg 71
H23/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
98-87
98
87
+11
95avg 71
H29/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
88-82
88
82
+6
74avg 71
A07/05
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
111-90
111
90
+21
110avg 71
A01/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
77-68
77
68
+9
74avg 71
H08/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
60avg 71
A15/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
90-71
90
71
+19
86avg 71
H22/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
68avg 71
H30/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
21-32
14-14
29-23
17-24
18-20
14-25
27-19
16-24
19-9
27-20
20-16
30-27
22-23
21-23
25-14
25-16
22-31
13-16
28-19
27-19
28-21
31-22
25-28
23-13
12-22
23-12
19-21
22-23
16-18
19-18
14-21
21-14
26-15
25-16
18-26
22-23
6-23
20-21
27-21
167.5Avg total
85.9Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.879.4164.2+5.460%
Season at home (3)80.775.7156.3+5.067%
Season away (2)91.085.0176.0+6.050%
Last 10 (10)85.981.6167.5+4.360%
Last 5 (5)84.879.4164.2+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)79.284.9164.1-5.629%
vs Similar (12)79.681.1160.7-1.558%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)90.071.0161.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.4+2.4
PesaroBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#3
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H07/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A13/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A15/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H18/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H20/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A01/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H08/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A14/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H22/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A29/10
Lega A
80.8Avg total
36.8Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.443.181.4-4.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.740.177.8-2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.146.085.1-6.920%-
Last 10 (10)36.844.080.8-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)36.642.078.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.646.082.6-9.412%-
vs Similar (12)40.339.679.9+0.867%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H16/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A19/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H23/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H29/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A07/05
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A01/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H08/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A15/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H30/10
Lega A
84.1Avg total
42.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.779.4-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.740.481.1+0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)36.740.977.7-4.227%-
Last 10 (10)42.042.184.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.278.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)39.541.881.4-2.341%-
vs Similar (12)36.840.076.8-3.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)47.029.076.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.1
51.6%
53.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.7
36.7%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.112.6
73.7%
76.3%12.6
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.9
53.4%
53.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.510.0
39.2%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.117.3
78.3%
76.3%17.3
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WLWLLLWLLW
Basket Napoli
LWLWWWWWLL
#16
League position
#7
-9.2
Net rating
+5.2
107.4
Offensive rating
113.8
116.6
Defensive rating
108.6
53.0%
Effective FG%
55.7%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.3%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.7%
3-point %
39.2%
55.8%
Assist %
53.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 113.8Defence116.6 · 108.6Shooting53.0% · 55.7%3-point %36.7% · 39.2%Ball care16.0% · 15.3%Off. rebounds22.5% · 22.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Pesaro   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
3
Basket Napoli wins
DateGameScore
29/04/23Basket Napoli v Pesaro98-87
23/10/22Pesaro v Basket Napoli97-99 OT
08/05/22Basket Napoli v Pesaro84-85 OT
13/11/21Pesaro v Basket Napoli83-100
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23AOlimpia Milano90-82
22/10/23HScafati103-107 OT
14/10/23ABrindisi81-68
08/10/23HVenezia64-76
01/10/23ABrescia79-81
20/05/23HOlimpia Milano80-94
18/05/23HOlimpia Milano88-83
15/05/23AOlimpia Milano57-86
13/05/23AOlimpia Milano68-94
07/05/23HTortona82-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/23HVirtus Bologna75-88
22/10/23HBrindisi90-71
15/10/23ABrescia71-80
08/10/23HOlimpia Milano77-68
01/10/23ASassari111-90
07/05/23AVerona88-82
29/04/23HPesaro98-87
23/04/23HTortona82-69
19/04/23AOlimpia Milano76-88
16/04/23HVenezia91-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%0%67%
Points / game83.483.583.3
Allowed / game82.891.577.0
Point differential+0.6-8.0+6.3
Avg total166.2175.0160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%50%0%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game84.880.791.0
Allowed / game79.475.785.0
Point differential+5.4+5.0+6.0
Avg total164.2156.3176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%90.875.0+15.8
2 Venezia550100%83.073.0+10.0
3 Brescia54180%85.276.6+8.6
4 Reggiana54180%85.078.6+6.4
5 Trento54180%83.882.6+1.2
6 Basket Napoli53260%84.879.4+5.4
7 Olimpia Milano53260%78.878.0+0.8
8 Tortona53260%75.675.0+0.6
9 Cremona52340%91.890.2+1.6
10 Pesaro52340%83.482.8+0.6
11 Scafati52340%91.293.6-2.4
12 Pistoia51420%76.480.4-4.0
13 Varese51420%83.492.8-9.4
14 Sassari51420%76.889.4-12.6
15 Treviso5050%77.487.4-10.0
16 Brindisi5050%68.481.0-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2512182277
Basket Napoli1928242697
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.