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Varese vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-89
28-18 10-23 29-24 23-24
Position#12
Record5-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game88.4
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#14
Record9-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game80.2
ItalyLega ARound 18
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Varese v Trento
21 Mar 2027
VAR v TRE
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
VAR74
TRE85
09 Feb 2025
VAR79
TRE92
22 Oct 2023
VAR84
TRE85
16 Oct 2022
VAR91
TRE94
30 Jan 2022
VAR90
TRE89
28 Mar 2021
VAR88
TRE70
29 Dec 2019
VAR81
TRE86
21 Oct 2018
VAR93
TRE85
04 Nov 2017
VAR93
TRE66
15 Apr 2017
VAR83
TRE80
06 Mar 2016
VAR96
TRE82
09 Nov 2014
VAR70
TRE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
L
78-96
78
96
-18
66avg 71
A31/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
71-84
71
84
-13
55avg 71
H07/11
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
86-70
86
70
+16
74avg 71
A14/11
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
85-76
85
76
+9
86avg 71
H20/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
75-94
75
94
-19
64avg 71
A05/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
L
89-98 OT
89
98
-9
no box
H12/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
99-104
99
104
-5
92avg 71
A19/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
94-101
94
101
-7
95avg 71
A09/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
76-68
76
68
+8
64avg 71
H15/01
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
90-84
90
84
+6
76avg 71
A28/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
14-20
15-27
19-25
18-18
19-25
16-19
18-22
22-15
21-21
16-23
27-11
25-20
18-18
23-14
19-24
19-25
18-28
22-23
16-18
23-28
18-28
21-20
21-7
27-28
23-20
27-21
22-35
20-25
28-31
25-14
21-31
14-19
14-21
21-17
27-11
24-23
18-19
22-22
26-20
171.8Avg total
84.3Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.988.4168.3-8.533%
Season at home (7)77.483.7161.1-6.343%
Season away (8)82.092.5174.5-10.525%
Last 10 (10)84.387.5171.8-3.240%
Last 5 (5)89.691.0180.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.986.3164.2-8.431%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.984.4166.3-2.643%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#12
L
70-76
70
76
-6
61avg 65
H14/12
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#13
W
81-72
81
72
+9
67avg 65
A19/12
Lega A
Hamburg
#16
L
90-99
90
99
-9
80avg 65
H22/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#6
L
81-94
81
94
-13
72avg 65
H08/01
Lega A
Partizan
#3
L
65-97
65
97
-32
54avg 65
A12/01
Eurocup
Sassari
#4
L
80-88
80
88
-8
71avg 65
A16/01
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#1
L
65-82
65
82
-17
54avg 65
A18/01
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#13
W
85-72
85
72
+13
79avg 65
H23/01
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
56avg 65
H26/01
Eurocup
Varese
#12
L
84-90
84
90
-6
77avg 65
H28/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
16-19
18-22
21-18
30-20
16-15
13-17
22-20
18-20
22-26
30-20
20-33
21-25
20-19
21-22
19-28
8-27
22-25
23-22
12-23
21-24
17-20
28-22
14-22
11-24
13-19
24-13
17-26
22-20
26-12
18-23
19-17
15-15
16-26
19-24
21-17
23-24
19-18
22-22
20-26
162.4Avg total
77.2Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.280.2160.4-0.156%
Season at home (9)82.781.6164.2+1.156%
Season away (7)77.078.6155.6-1.657%
Last 10 (10)77.285.2162.4-8.020%
Last 5 (5)77.082.8159.8-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.886.6160.3-12.86%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.677.8158.4+2.864%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -4.5-4.5
VareseTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A31/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H07/11
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A14/11
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H20/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A05/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H12/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A19/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A09/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H15/01
Lega A
Trento
#14
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A28/01
Lega A
86.9Avg total
41.3Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.882.4-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.940.679.5-1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)40.544.985.4-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)41.345.686.9-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)41.848.490.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.843.682.4-4.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.641.982.5-1.236%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#12
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H14/12
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A19/12
Lega A
Hamburg
#16
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H22/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H08/01
Lega A
Partizan
#3
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A12/01
Eurocup
Sassari
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A16/01
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#1
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A18/01
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#13
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H23/01
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#9
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H26/01
Eurocup
Varese
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H28/01
Lega A
78.6Avg total
37.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.340.376.6-4.027%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.839.876.6-3.019%-
Last 30 away (14)35.840.976.6-5.136%-
Last 10 (10)37.141.578.6-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.477.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)34.243.177.3-8.912%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.837.175.9+1.743%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.1
50.0%
51.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.8
34.5%
35.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.214.5
71.8%
74.7%14.5
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.821.2
47.3%
51.1%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.96.5
32.7%
35.4%19.5
🏀 Free throws19.014.5
76.3%
74.7%14.5
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWLLLLWWLL
Trento
LLWLLLLLWL
#12
League position
#14
-8.6
Net rating
-10.3
108.6
Offensive rating
103.5
117.2
Defensive rating
113.8
50.7%
Effective FG%
47.8%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.5%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.5%
3-point %
32.7%
50.9%
Assist %
50.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 103.5Defence117.2 · 113.8Shooting50.7% · 47.8%3-point %34.5% · 32.7%Ball care14.8% · 15.5%Off. rebounds29.4% · 30.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Varese   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Varese wins
4
Trento wins
DateGameScore
28/01/22Trento v Varese84-90
28/03/21Varese v Trento88-70
22/11/20Trento v Varese74-77
29/12/19Varese v Trento81-86
02/02/19Trento v Varese74-71
21/10/18Varese v Trento93-85
10/03/18Trento v Varese82-74
04/11/17Varese v Trento93-66
15/04/17Varese v Trento83-80
18/12/16Trento v Varese84-68
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/22ATrento90-84
15/01/22HVenezia76-68
09/01/22AFortitudo Bologna94-101
19/12/21ASassari99-104
12/12/21HBasket Napoli89-98 OT
05/12/21APesaro75-94
20/11/21HTortona85-76
14/11/21ATrieste86-70
07/11/21HBrindisi71-84
31/10/21ATreviso78-96
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/22HVarese84-90
26/01/22HMoraBanc Andorra71-82
23/01/22HBasket Napoli85-72
18/01/22AJoventut Badalona65-82
16/01/22ASassari80-88
12/01/22APartizan65-97
08/01/22HVenezia81-94
22/12/21HHamburg90-99
19/12/21ABasket Napoli81-72
14/12/21HTurk Telekom70-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeLLWLW43%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%43%25%
Points / game79.977.482.0
Allowed / game88.483.792.5
Point differential-8.5-6.3-10.5
Avg total168.3161.1174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Trento
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL56%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %56%56%57%
Points / game80.282.777.0
Allowed / game80.281.678.6
Point differential-0.1+1.1-1.6
Avg total160.4164.2155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1614288%82.669.8+12.8
2 Virtus Bologna1714382%89.679.1+10.5
3 Trieste159660%76.877.9-1.1
4 Brescia169756%82.277.9+4.3
5 Trento169756%80.280.2-0.1
6 Tortona179853%81.581.8-0.3
7 Reggiana168850%81.980.0+1.9
8 Brindisi168850%81.182.0-0.9
9 Venezia167944%78.178.4-0.3
10 Basket Napoli167944%82.284.1-1.8
11 Sassari167944%81.984.2-2.3
12 Treviso146843%77.281.1-3.9
13 Pesaro1661038%78.282.6-4.4
14 Varese1551033%79.988.4-8.5
15 Cremona1751229%80.383.8-3.5
16 Fortitudo Bologna1751229%80.884.3-3.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2810292390
Trento1823242489
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