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Trento vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-90
23-24 19-18 22-22 20-26
Position#14
Record9-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Varese 🏆
Italy
Position#12
Record4-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game88.7
ItalyLega ARound 13
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Trento v Varese
18 Oct 2026
TRE87
VAR85
08 Feb 2026
TRE84
VAR78
13 Oct 2024
TRE106
VAR100
04 Feb 2024
TRE90
VAR84
22 Jan 2023
TRE90
VAR80
28 Jan 2022
TRE84
VAR90
22 Nov 2020
TRE74
VAR77
19 Apr 2020
TRE v VAR
upcoming
02 Feb 2019
TRE74
VAR71
10 Mar 2018
TRE82
VAR74
18 Dec 2016
TRE84
VAR68
15 Nov 2015
TRE89
VAR63
02 Mar 2015
TRE78
VAR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Tortona
#5
W
85-80 OT
85
80
+5
no box
H12/12
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#12
L
70-76
70
76
-6
61avg 65
H14/12
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#13
W
81-72
81
72
+9
67avg 65
A19/12
Lega A
Hamburg
#16
L
90-99
90
99
-9
80avg 65
H22/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#6
L
81-94
81
94
-13
72avg 65
H08/01
Lega A
Partizan
#3
L
65-97
65
97
-32
54avg 65
A12/01
Eurocup
Sassari
#4
L
80-88
80
88
-8
71avg 65
A16/01
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#1
L
65-82
65
82
-17
54avg 65
A18/01
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#13
W
85-72
85
72
+13
79avg 65
H23/01
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
56avg 65
H26/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
23-11
13-23
19-19
15-17
16-19
18-22
21-18
30-20
16-15
13-17
22-20
18-20
22-26
30-20
20-33
21-25
20-19
21-22
19-28
8-27
22-25
23-22
12-23
21-24
17-20
28-22
14-22
11-24
13-19
24-13
17-26
22-20
26-12
18-23
19-17
15-15
16-26
19-24
21-17
161.5Avg total
77.3Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.979.6159.5+0.360%
Season at home (8)82.580.5163.0+2.062%
Season away (7)77.078.6155.6-1.657%
Last 10 (10)77.384.2161.5-6.930%
Last 5 (5)73.284.2157.4-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.886.6160.3-12.86%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.578.1158.6+2.464%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#8
L
67-106
67
106
-39
45avg 71
H24/10
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
78-96
78
96
-18
66avg 71
A31/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
71-84
71
84
-13
55avg 71
H07/11
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
86-70
86
70
+16
74avg 71
A14/11
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
85-76
85
76
+9
86avg 71
H20/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
75-94
75
94
-19
64avg 71
A05/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
L
89-98 OT
89
98
-9
no box
H12/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
99-104
99
104
-5
92avg 71
A19/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
94-101
94
101
-7
95avg 71
A09/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
76-68
76
68
+8
64avg 71
H15/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
11-24
20-27
17-30
30-24
14-20
15-27
19-25
18-18
19-25
16-19
18-22
22-15
21-21
16-23
27-11
25-20
18-18
23-14
19-24
19-25
18-28
22-23
16-18
23-28
18-28
21-20
21-7
27-28
23-20
27-21
22-35
20-25
28-31
25-14
21-31
14-19
14-21
21-17
27-11
171.7Avg total
82.0Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.188.7167.9-9.629%
Season at home (7)77.483.7161.1-6.343%
Season away (7)80.993.7174.6-12.914%
Last 10 (10)82.089.7171.7-7.730%
Last 5 (5)86.693.0179.6-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.986.3164.2-8.431%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.485.4166.8-4.136%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
TrentoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#5
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H12/12
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#12
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H14/12
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A19/12
Lega A
Hamburg
#16
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H22/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H08/01
Lega A
Partizan
#3
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A12/01
Eurocup
Sassari
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A16/01
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#1
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A18/01
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#13
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H23/01
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#9
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H26/01
Eurocup
78.0Avg total
37.3Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.340.576.8-4.327%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.740.276.9-3.619%-
Last 30 away (14)35.840.976.6-5.136%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.778.0-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.242.476.6-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)34.243.177.3-8.912%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.637.676.2+1.143%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#8
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H24/10
Lega A
Treviso
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A31/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H07/11
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A14/11
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H20/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A05/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H12/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A19/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A09/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H15/01
Lega A
86.4Avg total
40.1Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.543.082.4-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.940.679.5-1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)40.145.385.4-5.327%-
Last 10 (10)40.146.386.4-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)40.850.691.4-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.843.682.4-4.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.242.382.5-2.136%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.721.5
47.0%
51.1%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.7
33.8%
35.4%20.1
🏀 Free throws18.114.4
79.6%
74.7%14.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.4
51.3%
51.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.3
33.9%
35.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.814.2
71.7%
74.7%14.2
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
LWLLLLLWLW
Varese
WLLLLWWLLL
#14
League position
#12
-9.9
Net rating
-11.5
103.6
Offensive rating
106.8
113.5
Defensive rating
118.3
48.2%
Effective FG%
51.1%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
16.0%
Turnover %
16.0%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.8%
3-point %
33.9%
50.4%
Assist %
49.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 106.8Defence113.5 · 118.3Shooting48.2% · 51.1%3-point %33.8% · 33.9%Ball care16.0% · 16.0%Off. rebounds30.1% · 28.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Trento   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Trento wins
6
Varese wins
DateGameScore
28/03/21Varese v Trento88-70
22/11/20Trento v Varese74-77
29/12/19Varese v Trento81-86
02/02/19Trento v Varese74-71
21/10/18Varese v Trento93-85
10/03/18Trento v Varese82-74
04/11/17Varese v Trento93-66
15/04/17Varese v Trento83-80
18/12/16Trento v Varese84-68
06/03/16Varese v Trento96-82
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/22HMoraBanc Andorra71-82
23/01/22HBasket Napoli85-72
18/01/22AJoventut Badalona65-82
16/01/22ASassari80-88
12/01/22APartizan65-97
08/01/22HVenezia81-94
22/12/21HHamburg90-99
19/12/21ABasket Napoli81-72
14/12/21HTurk Telekom70-76
12/12/21HTortona85-80 OT
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/22HVenezia76-68
09/01/22AFortitudo Bologna94-101
19/12/21ASassari99-104
12/12/21HBasket Napoli89-98 OT
05/12/21APesaro75-94
20/11/21HTortona85-76
14/11/21ATrieste86-70
07/11/21HBrindisi71-84
31/10/21ATreviso78-96
24/10/21HReggiana67-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%62%57%
Points / game79.982.577.0
Allowed / game79.680.578.6
Point differential+0.3+2.0-1.6
Avg total159.5163.0155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Varese
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLLWLW43%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game79.177.480.9
Allowed / game88.783.793.7
Point differential-9.6-6.3-12.9
Avg total167.9161.1174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1513287%83.170.1+13.0
2 Virtus Bologna1613381%90.279.6+10.6
3 Trento159660%79.979.6+0.3
4 Trieste159660%76.877.9-1.1
5 Brescia169756%82.277.9+4.3
6 Tortona169756%80.880.8+0.0
7 Brindisi168850%81.182.0-0.9
8 Reggiana157847%80.879.1+1.7
9 Venezia167944%78.178.4-0.3
10 Basket Napoli167944%82.284.1-1.8
11 Sassari167944%81.984.2-2.3
12 Treviso146843%77.281.1-3.9
13 Pesaro1661038%78.282.6-4.4
14 Fortitudo Bologna1651131%81.884.9-3.1
15 Cremona1651131%80.984.1-3.2
16 Varese1441029%79.188.7-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento2319222084
Varese2418222690
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