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Varese vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 89-98 (OT)
23-28 18-28 21-20 21-7 6-15
Position#12
Record3-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#13
Record6-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game83.3
ItalyLega ARound 11
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Varese v Basket Napoli
07 Mar 2027
VAR v NAP
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
VAR84
NAP80
28 Dec 2024
VAR89
NAP86
07 Apr 2024
VAR113
NAP79
15 Jan 2023
VAR106
NAP79
12 Dec 2021
VAR89
NAP98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
75-72
75
72
+3
61avg 69
H26/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
56-97
56
97
-41
41avg 69
A03/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
70avg 69
H10/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
78-94
78
94
-16
65avg 69
A17/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
67-106
67
106
-39
45avg 69
H24/10
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
78-96
78
96
-18
66avg 69
A31/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
71-84
71
84
-13
55avg 69
H07/11
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
86-70
86
70
+16
74avg 69
A14/11
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
85-76
85
76
+9
86avg 69
H20/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
75-94
75
94
-19
64avg 69
A05/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-12
11-25
21-21
16-14
17-21
18-23
15-28
6-25
19-21
21-19
24-20
15-22
18-29
15-14
20-29
25-22
19-25
11-24
20-27
17-30
30-24
14-20
15-27
19-25
18-18
19-25
16-19
18-22
22-15
21-21
16-23
27-11
25-20
18-18
23-14
19-24
19-25
18-28
22-23
16-18
162.1Avg total
75.0Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.087.1162.1-12.130%
Season at home (5)75.484.0159.4-8.640%
Season away (5)74.690.2164.8-15.620%
Last 10 (10)75.087.1162.1-12.130%
Last 5 (5)79.084.0163.0-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)77.986.0163.9-8.140%
vs Similar (15)80.786.7167.3-6.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
63-73
63
73
-10
53avg 78
H25/09
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
90-102
90
102
-12
89avg 78
A03/10
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
H10/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
88-98
88
98
-10
82avg 78
A17/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
92-89
92
89
+3
90avg 78
H24/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
75-77
75
77
-2
67avg 78
A30/10
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
82-79
82
79
+3
72avg 78
H07/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
W
100-83
100
83
+17
97avg 78
A13/11
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
75-74
75
74
+1
73avg 78
A21/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
91-88
91
88
+3
81avg 78
H05/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
13-21
13-18
19-13
27-26
25-17
20-35
18-24
14-15
21-12
23-18
24-25
21-26
18-15
20-29
29-28
23-20
25-17
20-21
24-31
22-16
19-17
18-22
16-22
23-12
16-24
21-14
22-29
25-15
28-30
23-15
24-23
20-18
23-19
14-17
18-20
23-21
26-24
18-20
24-23
167.1Avg total
83.8Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.883.3167.1+0.560%
Season at home (5)82.079.8161.8+2.280%
Season away (5)85.686.8172.4-1.240%
Last 10 (10)83.883.3167.1+0.560%
Last 5 (5)84.680.2164.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.583.5163.0-4.050%
vs Similar (12)80.479.5159.9+0.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)75.168.5143.6+6.686%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -2.0-2.0
VareseBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A03/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H10/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A17/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H24/10
Lega A
Treviso
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A31/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H07/11
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A14/11
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H20/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A05/12
Lega A
80.7Avg total
38.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.642.882.4-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.840.380.1-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)39.545.284.7-5.720%-
Last 10 (10)38.042.780.7-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.883.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.043.082.0-4.033%-
vs Similar (15)40.342.582.8-2.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H25/09
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A03/10
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H10/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A17/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H24/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A30/10
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H07/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A13/11
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A21/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H05/12
Lega A
81.6Avg total
43.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.435.874.2+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.933.471.4+4.569%-
Last 30 away (14)39.038.577.5+0.543%-
Last 10 (10)43.038.681.6+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)45.039.284.2+5.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.239.279.5+1.050%-
vs Similar (12)39.839.779.5+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)36.731.568.2+5.264%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.8
49.9%
51.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.2
30.6%
35.4%21.6
🏀 Free throws18.913.0
68.8%
74.7%13.0
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.3
55.0%
51.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.2
37.4%
35.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.414.8
76.3%
74.7%14.8
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWWLLLLLLW
Basket Napoli
WWWWLWLWLL
#12
League position
#13
-16.1
Net rating
+0.9
100.3
Offensive rating
110.0
116.4
Defensive rating
109.1
48.4%
Effective FG%
55.4%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
17.7%
Turnover %
18.0%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.6%
3-point %
37.4%
47.8%
Assist %
52.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 110.0Defence116.4 · 109.1Shooting48.4% · 55.4%3-point %30.6% · 37.4%Ball care17.7% · 18.0%Off. rebounds28.5% · 25.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Varese wins
0
Basket Napoli wins
No previous meetings.
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/21APesaro75-94
20/11/21HTortona85-76
14/11/21ATrieste86-70
07/11/21HBrindisi71-84
31/10/21ATreviso78-96
24/10/21HReggiana67-106
17/10/21ACremona78-94
10/10/21HOlimpia Milano79-82
03/10/21AVirtus Bologna56-97
26/09/21HBrescia75-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/21HCremona91-88
21/11/21ASassari75-74
13/11/21APesaro100-83
07/11/21HTortona82-79
30/10/21ATrieste75-77
24/10/21HVirtus Bologna92-89
17/10/21ABrescia88-98
10/10/21HTreviso82-70
03/10/21AReggiana90-102
25/09/21HOlimpia Milano63-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL30%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game75.075.474.6
Allowed / game87.184.090.2
Point differential-12.1-8.6-15.6
Avg total162.1159.4164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game83.882.085.6
Allowed / game83.379.886.8
Point differential+0.5+2.2-1.2
Avg total167.1161.8172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano10100100%84.767.5+17.2
2 Virtus Bologna108280%92.580.4+12.1
3 Brindisi106460%82.180.8+1.3
4 Basket Napoli106460%83.883.3+0.5
5 Trieste106460%76.976.7+0.2
6 Trento106460%78.778.8-0.1
7 Treviso116555%77.478.1-0.7
8 Venezia105550%79.278.5+0.7
9 Tortona105550%79.882.1-2.3
10 Reggiana104640%81.880.0+1.8
11 Brescia104640%77.979.8-1.9
12 Pesaro114736%77.379.9-2.6
13 Cremona103730%80.583.4-2.9
14 Sassari103730%77.482.9-5.5
15 Varese103730%75.087.1-12.1
16 Fortitudo Bologna102820%79.584.8-5.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Varese23182121689
Basket Napoli28282071598
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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