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Basket Zaragoza vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 75-85
20-13 19-23 20-22 16-27
Position#12
Record8-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Position#4
Record11-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game78.8
SpainACBRound 19· Pabellon Principe Felipe
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Basket Zaragoza v Valencia
04 Oct 2026
ZAR82
VAL97
26 May 2026
ZAR86
VAL98
01 Mar 2025
ZAR71
VAL115
21 Jan 2024
ZAR75
VAL85
26 Mar 2023
ZAR86
VAL75
02 Oct 2021
ZAR70
VAL76
11 Apr 2021
ZAR76
VAL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Murcia
#6
W
82-76
82
76
+6
75avg 75
H02/12
ACB
Nymburk
#10
W
82-79
82
79
+3
78avg 75
H05/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#3
W
101-99
101
99
+2
95avg 75
H10/12
ACB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
69-70
69
70
-1
61avg 75
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Palencia
#18
W
88-80
88
80
+8
73avg 75
A17/12
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
70-64
70
64
+6
64avg 75
A22/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
72-76
72
76
-4
63avg 75
H28/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
81-74
81
74
+7
76avg 75
H06/01
ACB
Manisa
#13
W
68-65
68
65
+3
64avg 75
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
84-95
84
95
-11
71avg 75
A13/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
15-21
26-13
22-25
25-21
17-20
12-24
28-14
21-18
27-26
33-31
20-24
10-17
17-18
18-10
24-25
20-18
26-22
20-21
22-19
11-23
16-18
19-8
24-15
18-16
7-15
30-22
17-23
23-13
15-16
22-18
21-27
22-21
14-9
17-22
15-13
17-24
21-26
17-17
29-28
157.5Avg total
79.7Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.982.6164.5-0.644%
Season at home (9)88.983.2172.1+5.767%
Season away (9)75.081.9156.9-6.922%
Last 10 (10)79.777.8157.5+1.970%
Last 5 (5)75.074.8149.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)81.986.7168.6-4.856%
vs Similar (15)78.378.5156.8-0.133%
vs Weaker (6)85.577.2162.7+8.383%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Granada
#17
L
75-81
75
81
-6
69avg 72
H23/12
ACB
Bayern
#15
L
84-85
84
85
-1
80avg 72
A28/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-83
74
83
-9
63avg 72
A31/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
93-88
93
88
+5
90avg 72
H03/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
81-82
81
82
-1
79avg 72
H05/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
79-86
79
86
-7
77avg 72
H07/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
79-84
79
84
-5
73avg 72
H09/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
86-96 OT
86
96
-10
77avg 72
A11/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
88-80
88
80
+8
80avg 72
H14/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
79avg 72
H19/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
15-19
14-23
26-21
16-16
23-22
23-22
22-25
15-20
19-21
19-26
21-16
18-18
25-27
28-21
22-22
23-22
24-25
22-19
12-16
24-17
16-20
19-24
20-25
21-27
21-21
22-14
15-22
24-16
16-19
15-23
27-24
24-24
18-23
17-21
29-12
21-19
11-21
29-19
23-13
166.0Avg total
82.3Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.878.8159.7+2.061%
Season at home (10)80.879.8160.6+1.060%
Season away (8)80.977.6158.5+3.262%
Last 10 (10)82.383.7166.0-1.430%
Last 5 (5)83.283.6166.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.379.6153.9-5.314%
vs Similar (16)79.278.6157.8+0.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.077.6159.6+4.457%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.1+2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.1+2.1
Basket ZaragozaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H02/12
ACB
Nymburk
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H05/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H10/12
ACB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Palencia
#18
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A17/12
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A22/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H28/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H06/01
ACB
Manisa
#13
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A13/01
ACB
74.0Avg total
36.1Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.277.5-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.738.378.0+1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)37.040.077.0-3.050%-
Last 10 (10)36.137.974.0-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)32.836.269.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.144.383.4-5.233%-
vs Similar (15)35.736.372.0-0.747%-
vs Weaker (6)43.538.782.2+4.883%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#17
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H23/12
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A28/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A31/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H03/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H05/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H07/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H09/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A11/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H14/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H19/01
Euroleague
80.9Avg total
39.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.479.8+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.441.482.8-0.141%-
Last 30 away (13)39.136.875.8+2.369%-
Last 10 (10)39.441.580.9-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.480.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.039.778.7-0.743%-
vs Similar (16)40.538.278.8+2.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.441.783.1-0.343%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.8
55.2%
53.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.4
31.9%
34.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.215.1
71.2%
75.6%15.1
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.6
52.9%
53.0%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.0
35.9%
34.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.612.8
72.7%
75.6%12.8
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Zaragoza
LWWLWWLWWW
Valencia
WWLLLLWLLL
#12
League position
#4
+2.8
Net rating
-0.4
104.0
Offensive rating
109.4
101.2
Defensive rating
109.8
52.4%
Effective FG%
53.2%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
18.7%
Turnover %
16.8%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.9%
3-point %
35.9%
52.8%
Assist %
59.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 109.4Defence101.2 · 109.8Shooting52.4% · 53.2%3-point %31.9% · 35.9%Ball care18.7% · 16.8%Off. rebounds24.3% · 29.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Basket Zaragoza   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Basket Zaragoza wins
6
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24AJoventut Badalona84-95
10/01/24AManisa68-65
06/01/24HBasquet Girona81-74
28/12/23HMoraBanc Andorra72-76
22/12/23ATenerife70-64
17/12/23APalencia88-80
13/12/23AGravelines-Dunkerque69-70
10/12/23HBarcelona101-99
05/12/23HNymburk82-79
02/12/23HMurcia82-76
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24HOlimpia Milano84-72
14/01/24HBreogan88-80
11/01/24AReal Madrid86-96 OT
09/01/24HZalgiris Kaunas79-84
07/01/24HGran Canaria79-86
05/01/24HPanathinaikos81-82
03/01/24HAnadolu Efes93-88
31/12/23AReal Madrid74-83
28/12/23ABayern84-85
23/12/23HGranada75-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL44%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLLWWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%67%22%
Points / game81.988.975.0
Allowed / game82.683.281.9
Point differential-0.6+5.7-6.9
Avg total164.5172.1156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW61%
HomeLWLLW60%
AwayLLWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %61%60%62%
Points / game80.880.880.9
Allowed / game78.879.877.6
Point differential+2.0+1.0+3.2
Avg total159.7160.6158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1816289%89.977.2+12.7
2 Unicaja1915479%87.377.1+10.3
3 Barcelona1913668%86.179.2+6.9
4 Gran Canaria1912763%83.881.9+1.9
5 Valencia1811761%80.878.8+2.0
6 Murcia1911858%82.580.2+2.3
7 Baskonia1810856%85.185.6-0.6
8 Tenerife1910953%83.281.1+2.1
9 Manresa1910953%84.484.7-0.3
10 Joventut Badalona1910953%81.486.8-5.4
11 Basket Zaragoza1881044%81.982.6-0.6
12 MoraBanc Andorra1871139%82.783.8-1.1
13 Bilbao1871139%77.379.5-2.2
14 Basquet Girona1971237%81.986.8-4.9
15 Obradoiro CAB1961332%81.284.2-3.0
16 Granada1961332%82.086.2-4.2
17 Breogan1961332%75.280.5-5.3
18 Palencia1931616%76.786.8-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Zaragoza2019201675
Valencia1323222785
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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