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Panathinaikos vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 78-90
23-24 22-22 10-26 23-18
Position#2
Record6-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#1
Record11-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game75.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 13· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
European cup2023
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Real Madrid
03 Feb 2026
PAO82
MAD81
06 Mar 2025
PAO85
MAD70
07 Dec 2023
PAO78
MAD90
06 Oct 2022
PAO68
MAD71
31 Mar 2022
PAO87
MAD86
15 Dec 2020
PAO93
MAD97
23 Apr 2019
PAO82
MAD89
28 Mar 2019
PAO73
MAD74
19 Apr 2018
PAO82
MAD89
17 Apr 2018
PAO95
MAD67
24 Nov 2017
PAO82
MAD80
16 Mar 2017
PAO88
MAD82
20 Mar 2015
PAO85
MAD69
25 Jan 2013
PAO54
MAD58
15 Nov 2012
PAO79
MAD68
17 Dec 2009
PAO67
MAD76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
99-85
99
85
+14
102avg 74
A10/11
Euroleague
Aris
#8
W
75-65
75
65
+10
71avg 74
A12/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
73-71
73
71
+2
63avg 74
H15/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
90-76
90
76
+14
86avg 74
H17/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#9
W
86-85
86
85
+1
82avg 74
H20/11
Basket League
Valencia
#14
W
90-73
90
73
+17
84avg 74
H23/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
81-78
81
78
+3
80avg 74
A26/11
Basket League
Partizan
#11
L
87-92 OT
87
92
-5
78avg 74
A30/11
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
77-53
77
53
+24
77avg 74
H02/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
68-71
68
71
-3
64avg 74
A05/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
33-21
22-23
17-15
14-15
18-18
23-11
20-21
13-15
23-24
17-13
20-19
21-15
24-27
17-21
28-13
25-18
23-19
15-29
23-19
27-18
22-17
23-18
18-20
27-20
17-8
17-23
20-27
21-20
17-19
18-15
22-24
29-14
18-14
17-13
13-12
15-23
16-14
21-13
16-21
157.5Avg total
82.6Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.779.8161.4+1.950%
Season at home (7)83.678.0161.6+5.671%
Season away (5)79.082.2161.2-3.220%
Last 10 (10)82.674.9157.5+7.780%
Last 5 (5)80.673.4154.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)55.070.2125.2-15.220%
vs Similar ◀ (4)71.276.2147.5-5.025%
vs Weaker (21)84.273.5157.8+10.781%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 75
A12/11
ACB
Valencia
#14
W
76-73
76
73
+3
73avg 75
A14/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
91-73
91
73
+18
102avg 75
H16/11
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
L
93-99
93
99
-6
84avg 75
H19/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
99-75
99
75
+24
109avg 75
H23/11
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
85-76
85
76
+9
80avg 75
H26/11
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
99-70
99
70
+29
99avg 75
A28/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
91avg 75
A30/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
91-58
91
58
+33
97avg 75
H03/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
77-71
77
71
+6
79avg 75
A05/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
16-22
27-23
24-28
24-26
19-23
20-13
13-11
30-20
23-19
27-11
11-23
25-26
29-13
18-27
21-33
27-17
17-16
23-18
32-24
20-16
23-17
26-26
16-17
36-21
16-20
22-15
25-14
29-16
15-21
23-22
20-28
17-19
24-9
27-12
23-18
23-19
14-17
24-21
16-14
167.6Avg total
89.7Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)89.175.6164.7+13.592%
Season at home (6)89.372.7162.0+16.7100%
Season away (6)88.878.5167.3+10.383%
Last 10 (10)89.777.9167.6+11.880%
Last 5 (5)90.275.0165.2+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)85.089.2174.2-4.220%
vs Weaker (24)90.576.3166.8+14.296%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
PanathinaikosReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A10/11
Euroleague
Aris
#8
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H15/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H17/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#9
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H20/11
Basket League
Valencia
#14
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H23/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A26/11
Basket League
Partizan
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A30/11
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H02/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A05/12
Euroleague
79.5Avg total
43.0Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.237.675.8+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.237.680.8+5.669%-
Last 30 away (14)32.637.670.2-5.121%-
Last 10 (10)43.036.579.5+6.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.833.475.2+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)26.239.465.6-13.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)33.038.871.8-5.825%-
vs Weaker (21)42.137.079.0+5.162%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#13
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A12/11
ACB
Valencia
#14
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A14/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H16/11
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H19/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H23/11
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H26/11
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A28/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A30/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H03/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A05/12
Euroleague
81.5Avg total
44.7Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.736.981.6+7.783%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.734.980.6+10.986%-
Last 30 away (16)43.838.882.5+5.081%-
Last 10 (10)44.736.881.5+7.990%-
Last 5 (5)43.435.078.4+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)44.641.085.6+3.680%-
vs Weaker (24)44.836.080.8+8.883%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.520.2
56.9%
53.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.4
36.5%
36.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.316.4
73.5%
77.4%16.4
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.9
57.7%
53.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.7
37.4%
36.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.717.2
87.3%
77.4%17.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LWLWWWWWWW
Real Madrid
WWLWWWLWWW
#2
League position
#1
+11.2
Net rating
+15.8
113.5
Offensive rating
119.4
102.3
Defensive rating
103.6
56.1%
Effective FG%
57.0%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.3%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.5%
3-point %
37.4%
64.3%
Assist %
69.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 119.4Defence102.3 · 103.6Shooting56.1% · 57.0%3-point %36.5% · 37.4%Ball care18.0% · 17.3%Off. rebounds28.3% · 32.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Panathinaikos wins
9
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/23AAnadolu Efes68-71
02/12/23HAS Karditsas77-53
30/11/23APartizan87-92 OT
26/11/23AKolossos Rhodes81-78
23/11/23HValencia90-73
20/11/23HAEK Athens86-85
17/11/23HVirtus Bologna90-76
15/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas73-71
12/11/23AAris75-65
10/11/23AAlba Berlin99-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/23AOlympiacos77-71
03/12/23HBreogan91-58
30/11/23AFenerbahce99-100 OT
28/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-70
26/11/23HMoraBanc Andorra85-76
23/11/23HAlba Berlin99-75
19/11/23HUnicaja93-99
16/11/23HMonaco91-73
14/11/23AValencia76-73
12/11/23ABilbao87-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%71%20%
Points / game81.783.679.0
Allowed / game79.878.082.2
Point differential+1.9+5.6-3.2
Avg total161.4161.6161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %25%29%20%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game89.189.388.8
Allowed / game75.672.778.5
Point differential+13.5+16.7+10.3
Avg total164.7162.0167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%83%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1211192%89.175.6+13.5
2 Barcelona129375%83.477.3+6.1
3 Virtus Bologna128467%82.881.2+1.6
4 Monaco127558%79.478.3+1.1
5 Baskonia127558%82.882.0+0.8
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv127558%85.586.6-1.1
7 Anadolu Efes137654%81.586.4-4.8
8 Panathinaikos126650%81.779.8+1.9
9 Olympiacos126650%78.176.3+1.8
10 Partizan126650%87.686.8+0.8
11 Fenerbahce126650%80.881.2-0.4
12 Bayern126650%80.081.2-1.2
13 Valencia126650%74.877.2-2.4
14 Zalgiris Kaunas125742%78.680.1-1.5
15 Crvena zvezda124833%81.980.5+1.4
16 Olimpia Milano124833%79.878.3+1.4
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1221017%82.289.9-7.7
18 Alba Berlin1321115%76.786.6-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2322102378
Real Madrid2422261890
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