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Olimpia Milano vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 68-76
24-22 17-19 15-18 12-17
Position#12
Record6-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#2
Record8-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game81.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16· Unipol Forum
European cup2023
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos
05 Feb 2027
MIL v PAO
upcoming
11 Dec 2025
MIL96
PAO89
30 Jan 2025
MIL87
PAO75
22 Dec 2023
MIL68
PAO76
23 Feb 2023
MIL78
PAO76
14 Dec 2021
MIL75
PAO54
03 Dec 2020
MIL77
PAO80
22 Mar 2019
MIL83
PAO95
05 Apr 2018
MIL95
PAO96
21 Dec 2016
MIL72
PAO86
11 Dec 2014
MIL66
PAO64
27 Feb 2014
MIL77
PAO75
19 Jan 2012
MIL57
PAO78
18 Nov 2010
MIL71
PAO81
22 Oct 2009
MIL67
PAO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
93-71
93
71
+22
88avg 78
A24/11
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
L
81-86
81
86
-5
79avg 78
H26/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
70-83
70
83
-13
61avg 78
H30/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
83-89
83
89
-6
72avg 78
A03/12
Lega A
Bayern
#15
L
84-91 OT
84
91
-7
68avg 78
A05/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
L
69-82
69
82
-13
63avg 78
A07/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
82-80
82
80
+2
78avg 78
H10/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
81avg 78
A15/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 78
A17/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
84-61
84
61
+23
85avg 78
H20/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
18-20
25-17
30-15
28-19
25-20
10-29
18-18
19-18
12-23
21-18
18-24
14-20
16-21
28-24
25-24
25-22
14-22
13-11
24-21
25-20
19-19
18-22
7-21
21-23
27-21
19-21
15-15
29-19
22-21
17-19
22-27
17-18
22-21
17-18
18-13
22-21
24-15
21-12
17-13
160.9Avg total
81.0Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.077.9157.9+2.140%
Season at home (7)78.670.7149.3+7.957%
Season away (8)81.284.2165.5-3.025%
Last 10 (10)81.079.9160.9+1.150%
Last 5 (5)79.875.8155.6+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)71.088.0159.0-17.00%
vs Similar (16)79.676.7156.2+2.950%
vs Weaker (12)79.476.2155.7+3.250%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#9
W
86-85
86
85
+1
82avg 75
H20/11
Basket League
Valencia
#14
W
90-73
90
73
+17
84avg 75
H23/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
81-78
81
78
+3
80avg 75
A26/11
Basket League
Partizan
#11
L
87-92 OT
87
92
-5
78avg 75
A30/11
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
77-53
77
53
+24
77avg 75
H02/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
68-71
68
71
-3
64avg 75
A05/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
78-90
78
90
-12
62avg 75
H07/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#10
W
97-85
97
85
+12
101avg 75
H10/12
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 75
A14/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
91-90
91
90
+1
79avg 75
A20/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
23-19
15-29
23-19
27-18
22-17
23-18
18-20
27-20
17-8
17-23
20-27
21-20
17-19
18-15
22-24
29-14
18-14
17-13
13-12
15-23
16-14
21-13
16-21
23-24
22-22
10-26
23-18
17-22
28-23
29-17
23-23
24-21
21-15
19-24
25-21
22-19
17-28
17-20
35-23
164.2Avg total
84.4Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.581.2163.7+1.353%
Season at home (8)82.979.5162.4+3.462%
Season away (7)82.183.1165.3-1.043%
Last 10 (10)84.479.8164.2+4.670%
Last 5 (5)84.683.4168.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)51.269.5120.8-18.225%
vs Similar (6)75.780.8156.5-5.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)85.774.3160.1+11.485%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
Olimpia MilanoPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/11
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H26/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H30/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A03/12
Lega A
Bayern
#15
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A05/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A07/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H10/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A15/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A17/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H20/12
Euroleague
82.1Avg total
41.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.137.877.8+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.136.577.5+4.673%-
Last 30 away (15)39.139.178.1+0.033%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.282.1+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.685.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)42.042.084.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (16)41.138.980.1+2.256%-
vs Weaker (12)39.236.275.3+3.058%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#9
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H20/11
Basket League
Valencia
#14
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H23/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A26/11
Basket League
Partizan
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A30/11
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H02/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A05/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H07/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H10/12
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A14/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A20/12
Euroleague
80.9Avg total
43.1Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.037.776.7+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.237.880.9+5.462%-
Last 30 away (14)34.237.771.9-3.529%-
Last 10 (10)43.137.880.9+5.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.283.2-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.539.063.5-14.50%-
vs Similar (6)36.041.377.3-5.317%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.836.479.2+6.465%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.1
54.2%
53.4%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.7
38.9%
36.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws15.211.7
77.0%
77.4%11.7
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.9
56.8%
53.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.8
36.8%
36.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.115.2
72.0%
77.4%15.2
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWWWLLLLLW
Panathinaikos
WWWLLWLWWW
#12
League position
#2
+1.3
Net rating
+5.7
113.0
Offensive rating
114.0
111.8
Defensive rating
108.2
56.1%
Effective FG%
56.2%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.35
38.9%
3-point %
36.8%
54.9%
Assist %
62.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 114.0Defence111.8 · 108.2Shooting56.1% · 56.2%3-point %38.9% · 36.8%Ball care15.8% · 16.5%Off. rebounds24.7% · 27.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Olimpia Milano wins
6
Panathinaikos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23HLyon-Villeurbanne84-61
17/12/23AVarese74-70
15/12/23ABarcelona90-86
10/12/23HVirtus Bologna82-80
07/12/23APartizan69-82
05/12/23ABayern84-91 OT
03/12/23ASassari83-89
30/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas70-83
26/11/23HPistoia81-86
24/11/23ACrvena zvezda93-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23AMonaco91-90
14/12/23ALyon-Villeurbanne89-81
10/12/23HPAOK97-85
07/12/23HReal Madrid78-90
05/12/23AAnadolu Efes68-71
02/12/23HAS Karditsas77-53
30/11/23APartizan87-92 OT
26/11/23AKolossos Rhodes81-78
23/11/23HValencia90-73
20/11/23HAEK Athens86-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayLWLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%57%25%
Points / game80.078.681.2
Allowed / game77.970.784.2
Point differential+2.1+7.9-3.0
Avg total157.9149.3165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%57%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %13%0%25%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW53%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%62%43%
Points / game82.582.982.1
Allowed / game81.279.583.1
Point differential+1.3+3.4-1.0
Avg total163.7162.4165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %20%25%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1615194%88.174.4+13.7
2 Barcelona1611569%83.278.3+4.9
3 Virtus Bologna1611569%82.880.7+2.1
4 Partizan169756%85.884.6+1.2
5 Monaco169756%80.779.8+0.9
6 Fenerbahce169756%81.781.1+0.6
7 Valencia169756%74.173.8+0.2
8 Baskonia169756%83.183.1+0.0
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv169756%87.087.8-0.8
10 Panathinaikos158753%82.581.2+1.3
11 Olympiacos168850%76.474.4+2.0
12 Bayern167944%79.281.3-2.1
13 Anadolu Efes167944%81.186.9-5.9
14 Olimpia Milano156940%80.077.9+2.1
15 Crvena zvezda1661038%81.880.5+1.3
16 Zalgiris Kaunas1651131%79.181.4-2.3
17 Alba Berlin1631319%76.585.8-9.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne1621412%78.688.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2417151268
Panathinaikos2219181776
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