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Baskonia vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 85-79
15-15 25-23 18-23 27-18
Position#2
Record11-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Position#8
Record7-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game84.4
SpainACBRound 15
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Baskonia v Valencia
04 Apr 2027
BAS v VAL
upcoming
29 Dec 2026
BAS v VAL
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
BAS79
VAL108
07 Dec 2025
BAS89
VAL91
01 Dec 2024
BAS91
VAL116
26 Jan 2024
BAS62
VAL77
19 Nov 2023
BAS83
VAL74
03 Mar 2023
BAS114
VAL75
08 Jan 2023
BAS85
VAL79
28 May 2022
BAS82
VAL89
17 Apr 2022
BAS71
VAL78
02 Jun 2021
BAS76
VAL65
29 Dec 2020
BAS71
VAL70
20 Sep 2020
BAS76
VAL73
04 Nov 2018
BAS77
VAL56
07 Jan 2018
BAS78
VAL74
25 Oct 2017
BAS63
VAL80
01 Jun 2017
BAS90
VAL70
30 May 2017
BAS82
VAL83
05 Mar 2017
BAS71
VAL63
07 Feb 2016
BAS79
VAL73
29 Mar 2015
BAS94
VAL88
12 Dec 2014
BAS93
VAL89
08 Dec 2013
BAS78
VAL79
03 Feb 2013
BAS79
VAL75
23 Oct 2011
BAS72
VAL82
09 Mar 2011
BAS72
VAL65
24 Sep 2010
BAS66
VAL67
14 Feb 2010
BAS69
VAL67
16 Apr 2009
BAS90
VAL86
19 Feb 2009
BAS82
VAL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Bayern
#16
W
78-53
78
53
+25
72avg 79
H09/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
96-68
96
68
+28
99avg 79
A11/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
83-78
83
78
+5
78avg 79
A14/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
75avg 79
A16/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
102-88
102
88
+14
96avg 79
H18/12
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
90-79
90
79
+11
94avg 79
H22/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
83avg 79
A27/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
92-86
92
86
+6
84avg 79
H29/12
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
95-84
95
84
+11
90avg 79
A03/01
ACB
Alba Berlin
#17
L
84-85
84
85
-1
73avg 79
A05/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-10
27-20
11-12
23-11
20-9
33-15
25-22
18-22
21-23
15-23
28-12
19-20
21-13
31-20
15-23
9-14
24-25
11-27
39-12
28-24
17-14
28-17
18-20
27-28
25-13
16-19
23-30
22-15
24-28
35-15
14-26
19-17
25-20
16-18
30-20
24-26
20-27
28-27
19-23
17-8
165.0Avg total
88.2Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)91.882.3174.1+9.579%
Season at home (7)96.684.0180.6+12.686%
Season away (7)87.080.6167.6+6.471%
Last 10 (10)88.276.8165.0+11.490%
Last 5 (5)89.482.2171.6+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.097.0189.0-5.00%
vs Similar (11)87.483.9171.3+3.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.378.6166.9+9.778%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
68-84
68
84
-16
68avg 77
A08/12
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
104-69
104
69
+35
110avg 77
H11/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
no box
H13/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
L
92-97
92
97
-5
89avg 77
A15/12
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
110-81
110
81
+29
113avg 77
A18/12
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
84-83
84
83
+1
76avg 77
H23/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
89-95
89
95
-6
87avg 77
A27/12
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
79-90
79
90
-11
71avg 77
A29/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
92-86
92
86
+6
84avg 77
H03/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
63avg 77
H06/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-15
17-20
20-18
21-31
22-14
23-22
34-9
25-24
20-26
24-15
26-22
14-21
26-23
13-20
26-26
27-28
27-18
20-18
33-17
30-28
20-20
21-18
21-21
22-24
25-22
26-24
18-25
20-24
22-29
21-21
17-21
19-19
18-13
22-23
26-17
26-33
19-24
23-23
16-14
17-16
174.0Avg total
88.7Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.484.4169.8+1.150%
Season at home (6)86.383.7170.0+2.750%
Season away (8)84.884.9169.6-0.150%
Last 10 (10)88.785.3174.0+3.450%
Last 5 (5)83.886.2170.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.885.2164.0-6.538%
vs Similar (14)82.785.2167.9-2.536%
vs Weaker (3)102.078.7180.7+23.3100%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
BaskoniaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#16
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H09/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
53-24
53
24
+29
A11/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A14/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A16/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H18/12
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H22/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A27/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H29/12
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A03/01
ACB
Alba Berlin
#17
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A05/01
Euroleague
83.7Avg total
45.4Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.239.384.5+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.537.582.9+8.073%-
Last 30 away (15)44.941.186.0+3.960%-
Last 10 (10)45.438.383.7+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.839.686.4+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.042.089.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (11)47.242.389.5+4.955%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.937.381.2+6.672%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A08/12
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H11/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H13/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A15/12
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A18/12
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H23/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A27/12
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A29/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H03/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H06/01
Euroleague
82.7Avg total
41.9Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.980.8-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.940.981.7+0.060%-
Last 30 away (15)38.941.079.9-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.882.7+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.486.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.241.878.1-5.623%-
vs Similar (14)42.441.183.6+1.364%-
vs Weaker (3)44.036.080.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.5
55.0%
52.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.611.4
41.3%
34.5%34.2
🏀 Free throws16.612.0
72.3%
73.9%12.0
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.617.4
55.1%
52.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.911.2
37.5%
34.5%33.6
🏀 Free throws20.016.3
81.5%
73.9%16.3
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LWWWWWWWWW
Valencia
LWLLWWLWWL
#2
League position
#8
+15.3
Net rating
+1.9
119.3
Offensive rating
114.4
103.9
Defensive rating
112.5
57.9%
Effective FG%
55.6%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.6%
Turnover %
18.5%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
41.3%
3-point %
37.5%
64.9%
Assist %
66.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.3 · 114.4Defence103.9 · 112.5Shooting57.9% · 55.6%3-point %41.3% · 37.5%Ball care14.6% · 18.5%Off. rebounds28.5% · 29.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Baskonia   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Baskonia wins
5
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
06/10/22Valencia v Baskonia71-81
30/05/22Valencia v Baskonia59-76
28/05/22Baskonia v Valencia82-89
24/05/22Valencia v Baskonia79-80
17/04/22Baskonia v Valencia71-78
18/09/21Valencia v Baskonia67-72
04/06/21Valencia v Baskonia78-73
02/06/21Baskonia v Valencia76-65
31/05/21Valencia v Baskonia87-86
08/04/21Valencia v Baskonia86-81
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/23AAlba Berlin84-85
03/01/23AGranada95-84
29/12/22HReal Madrid92-86
27/12/22ABreogan86-77
22/12/22HVirtus Bologna90-79
18/12/22HFuenlabrada102-88
16/12/22AFenerbahce76-70
14/12/22AAnadolu Efes83-78
11/12/22AGran Canaria96-68
09/12/22HBayern78-53
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/23HCrvena zvezda75-77
03/01/23HFuenlabrada92-86
29/12/22AOlimpia Milano79-90
27/12/22AGran Canaria89-95
23/12/22HBarcelona84-83
18/12/22AGranada110-81
15/12/22ABayern92-97
13/12/22HPanathinaikos94-91 OT
11/12/22HBasquet Girona104-69
08/12/22AMaccabi Tel Aviv68-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%86%71%
Points / game91.896.687.0
Allowed / game82.384.080.6
Point differential+9.5+12.6+6.4
Avg total174.1180.6167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%57%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %7%14%0%
Valencia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game85.486.384.8
Allowed / game84.483.784.9
Point differential+1.1+2.7-0.1
Avg total169.8170.0169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %14%17%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1512380%87.876.7+11.1
2 Barcelona1512380%83.773.0+10.7
3 Baskonia1411379%91.882.3+9.5
4 Unicaja1410471%85.274.2+11.0
5 Tenerife1410471%81.171.2+9.9
6 Joventut Badalona1510567%83.478.9+4.5
7 Gran Canaria158753%81.580.7+0.9
8 Breogan158753%76.976.7+0.2
9 Valencia147750%85.484.4+1.1
10 Bilbao147750%78.578.9-0.4
11 Murcia147750%79.882.3-2.5
12 Obradoiro CAB157847%80.183.1-3.1
13 Basquet Girona1551033%74.480.4-6.0
14 Granada1551033%78.788.2-9.5
15 Basket Zaragoza1541127%76.180.3-4.2
16 Manresa1531220%81.991.8-9.9
17 Real Betis1531220%75.986.1-10.2
18 Fuenlabrada1531220%79.390.4-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia1525182785
Valencia1523231879
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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