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Baskonia vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 89-91
17-20 27-19 16-23 29-29
Position#3
Record4-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game90.4
vs
Position#1
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game82.1
SpainACBRound 9· Fernando Buesa Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Baskonia v Valencia
04 Apr 2027
BAS v VAL
upcoming
29 Dec 2026
BAS v VAL
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
BAS79
VAL108
07 Dec 2025
BAS89
VAL91
01 Dec 2024
BAS91
VAL116
26 Jan 2024
BAS62
VAL77
19 Nov 2023
BAS83
VAL74
03 Mar 2023
BAS114
VAL75
08 Jan 2023
BAS85
VAL79
28 May 2022
BAS82
VAL89
17 Apr 2022
BAS71
VAL78
02 Jun 2021
BAS76
VAL65
29 Dec 2020
BAS71
VAL70
20 Sep 2020
BAS76
VAL73
04 Nov 2018
BAS77
VAL56
07 Jan 2018
BAS78
VAL74
25 Oct 2017
BAS63
VAL80
01 Jun 2017
BAS90
VAL70
30 May 2017
BAS82
VAL83
05 Mar 2017
BAS71
VAL63
07 Feb 2016
BAS79
VAL73
29 Mar 2015
BAS94
VAL88
12 Dec 2014
BAS93
VAL89
08 Dec 2013
BAS78
VAL79
03 Feb 2013
BAS79
VAL75
23 Oct 2011
BAS72
VAL82
09 Mar 2011
BAS72
VAL65
24 Sep 2010
BAS66
VAL67
14 Feb 2010
BAS69
VAL67
16 Apr 2009
BAS90
VAL86
19 Feb 2009
BAS82
VAL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
89avg 81
H02/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
87-76
87
76
+11
89avg 81
H06/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 81
A09/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
89-114
89
114
-25
83avg 81
A11/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
83-89
83
89
-6
75avg 81
A13/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
83-91
83
91
-8
58avg 81
A16/11
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
95-73
95
73
+22
98avg 81
H21/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
W
110-91
110
91
+19
107avg 81
H23/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
67-82
67
82
-15
63avg 81
A25/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
88-78
88
78
+10
80avg 81
H05/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
11-23
34-16
26-23
23-14
23-20
19-23
22-19
11-28
17-21
19-17
33-20
24-26
24-32
26-28
15-28
18-25
25-28
25-18
15-18
19-19
24-20
19-31
21-21
14-26
28-15
25-18
28-14
33-23
38-23
14-22
25-23
24-18
18-19
12-17
13-28
23-20
26-22
21-12
18-24
173.0Avg total
87.1Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.290.4180.6-0.150%
Season at home (3)101.390.0191.3+11.3100%
Season away (5)83.690.6174.2-7.020%
Last 10 (10)87.185.9173.0+1.250%
Last 5 (5)88.683.0171.6+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)91.797.6189.3-5.930%
vs Similar (14)88.188.6176.6-0.550%
vs Weaker (6)92.590.7183.2+1.867%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
100-82
100
82
+18
99avg 89
H02/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
77-86
77
86
-9
64avg 89
A07/11
Euroleague
Granada
#18
L
79-85
79
85
-6
60avg 89
A09/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
89-76
89
76
+13
80avg 89
H11/11
Euroleague
Paris
#16
L
86-90
86
90
-4
80avg 89
A13/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
96-79
96
79
+17
95avg 89
H16/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
76-73
76
73
+3
68avg 89
H21/11
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
98-72
98
72
+26
96avg 89
H23/11
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
90-64
90
64
+26
83avg 89
H25/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
89-79
89
79
+10
85avg 89
A05/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-21
23-14
16-22
29-25
17-18
18-20
23-23
19-25
17-28
19-15
17-21
26-21
22-21
23-17
22-22
22-16
14-15
35-22
22-30
15-23
25-28
17-15
24-15
30-21
26-26
23-13
11-21
16-13
26-16
21-15
28-21
23-20
19-21
22-16
27-12
22-15
19-22
19-22
27-17
24-18
166.6Avg total
88.0Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)97.582.1179.6+15.488%
Season at home (5)97.880.8178.6+17.0100%
Season away (3)97.084.3181.3+12.767%
Last 10 (10)88.078.6166.6+9.470%
Last 5 (5)89.873.4163.2+16.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)85.486.8172.2-1.342%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)95.482.5177.9+12.988%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
BaskoniaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H02/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H06/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A09/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A11/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A13/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A16/11
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H21/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
W
71-46
71
46
+25
H23/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A25/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H05/12
Euroleague
88.0Avg total
44.1Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.345.189.4-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.744.390.9+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)41.946.087.9-4.147%-
Last 10 (10)44.143.988.0+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)49.441.090.4+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)46.044.790.7+1.360%-
vs Similar (14)43.545.488.9-1.950%-
vs Weaker (6)43.245.388.5-2.250%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H02/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/11
Euroleague
Granada
#18
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A09/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/11
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A13/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H16/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H21/11
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H23/11
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H25/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A05/12
Euroleague
82.2Avg total
43.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.741.285.9+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.438.885.2+7.673%-
Last 30 away (15)43.043.686.6-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)43.738.582.2+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.438.882.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)42.242.684.8-0.442%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.640.186.6+6.571%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.9
58.7%
50.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.8
34.9%
42.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.315.1
78.2%
74.7%15.1
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.7
53.3%
50.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.112.1
36.6%
42.2%36.3
🏀 Free throws20.613.7
66.5%
74.7%13.7
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WLWWLLLLWW
Valencia
WWWWWLWLLW
#3
League position
#1
+1.1
Net rating
+12.8
114.2
Offensive rating
112.3
113.2
Defensive rating
99.4
55.9%
Effective FG%
54.0%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.3%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.9%
3-point %
36.6%
66.8%
Assist %
64.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 112.3Defence113.2 · 99.4Shooting55.9% · 54.0%3-point %34.9% · 36.6%Ball care17.7% · 17.3%Off. rebounds30.4% · 32.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Baskonia   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Baskonia wins
3
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
27/04/25Valencia v Baskonia125-128 OT
01/12/24Baskonia v Valencia91-116
07/04/24Valencia v Baskonia111-101
26/01/24Baskonia v Valencia62-77
01/12/23Valencia v Baskonia84-98
19/11/23Baskonia v Valencia83-74
02/04/23Valencia v Baskonia81-85
03/03/23Baskonia v Valencia114-75
08/01/23Baskonia v Valencia85-79
06/10/22Valencia v Baskonia71-81
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/25HOlimpia Milano88-78
25/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas67-82
23/11/25HBilbao110-91
21/11/25HBayern95-73
16/11/25ABarcelona83-91
13/11/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv83-89
11/11/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv89-114
09/11/25AForca Lleida80-86
06/11/25HVirtus Bologna87-76
02/11/25HTenerife89-79
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/25APanathinaikos89-79
25/11/25HBayern90-64
23/11/25HBasquet Girona98-72
21/11/25HCrvena zvezda76-73
16/11/25HTenerife96-79
13/11/25AParis86-90
11/11/25HReal Madrid89-76
09/11/25AGranada79-85
07/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas77-86
02/11/25HSan Pablo Burgos100-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%100%20%
Points / game90.2101.383.6
Allowed / game90.490.090.6
Point differential-0.1+11.3-7.0
Avg total180.6191.3174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game97.597.897.0
Allowed / game82.180.884.3
Point differential+15.4+17.0+12.7
Avg total179.6178.6181.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid98189%88.681.0+7.6
2 Valencia87188%97.582.1+15.4
3 Murcia97278%91.379.2+12.1
4 Joventut Badalona97278%86.979.2+7.7
5 Tenerife96367%89.382.8+6.6
6 Unicaja96367%85.881.8+4.0
7 Barcelona95456%85.782.0+3.7
8 Baskonia84450%90.290.4-0.1
9 Bilbao94544%81.884.6-2.8
10 Breogan94544%87.690.4-2.9
11 Basquet Girona94544%85.890.3-4.6
12 Forca Lleida94544%83.888.9-5.1
13 Gran Canaria93633%79.681.8-2.2
14 Basket Zaragoza93633%87.189.8-2.7
15 Manresa93633%81.786.8-5.1
16 MoraBanc Andorra93633%81.992.4-10.6
17 Granada91811%81.290.1-8.9
18 San Pablo Burgos91811%86.997.2-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia1727162989
Valencia2019232991
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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