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Baskonia vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 114-75
27-24 30-24 24-16 33-11
Position#8
Record13-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#13
Record13-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game84.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 26
European cup2022
Meetings · Baskonia v Valencia
04 Apr 2027
BAS v VAL
upcoming
29 Dec 2026
BAS v VAL
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
BAS79
VAL108
07 Dec 2025
BAS89
VAL91
01 Dec 2024
BAS91
VAL116
26 Jan 2024
BAS62
VAL77
19 Nov 2023
BAS83
VAL74
03 Mar 2023
BAS114
VAL75
08 Jan 2023
BAS85
VAL79
28 May 2022
BAS82
VAL89
17 Apr 2022
BAS71
VAL78
02 Jun 2021
BAS76
VAL65
29 Dec 2020
BAS71
VAL70
20 Sep 2020
BAS76
VAL73
04 Nov 2018
BAS77
VAL56
07 Jan 2018
BAS78
VAL74
25 Oct 2017
BAS63
VAL80
01 Jun 2017
BAS90
VAL70
30 May 2017
BAS82
VAL83
05 Mar 2017
BAS71
VAL63
07 Feb 2016
BAS79
VAL73
29 Mar 2015
BAS94
VAL88
12 Dec 2014
BAS93
VAL89
08 Dec 2013
BAS78
VAL79
03 Feb 2013
BAS79
VAL75
23 Oct 2011
BAS72
VAL82
09 Mar 2011
BAS72
VAL65
24 Sep 2010
BAS66
VAL67
14 Feb 2010
BAS69
VAL67
16 Apr 2009
BAS90
VAL86
19 Feb 2009
BAS82
VAL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
86-91
86
91
-5
81avg 79
A22/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
114-111 OT
114
111
+3
no box
H27/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
87-80
87
80
+7
78avg 79
A29/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
83-89
83
89
-6
no box
A31/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#15
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
H03/02
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
H05/02
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
75-79
75
79
-4
67avg 79
A10/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
no box
A12/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#3
L
81-94
81
94
-13
no box
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
83-88
83
88
-5
69avg 79
A24/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
14-24
23-26
30-30
29-28
19-23
22-26
28-21
23-19
18-17
22-20
24-24
17-18
17-22
26-22
23-27
21-23
31-15
24-27
19-25
16-23
23-9
30-22
22-25
18-20
24-18
18-23
15-18
15-16
15-23
21-19
27-20
19-14
23-21
15-33
24-26
19-16
22-28
21-24
21-20
176.6Avg total
88.4Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.383.6168.8+1.752%
Season at home (12)93.482.8176.2+10.683%
Season away (13)77.884.2162.0-6.523%
Last 10 (10)88.488.2176.6+0.250%
Last 5 (5)83.884.2168.0-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)85.186.2171.4-1.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)88.079.0167.0+8.971%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
88-76
88
76
+12
80avg 77
H22/01
ACB
Alba Berlin
#17
W
94-88
94
88
+6
no box
A26/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
86-102
86
102
-16
75avg 77
A29/01
ACB
Bayern
#16
W
82-73
82
73
+9
76avg 77
H31/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
93-94
93
94
-1
83avg 77
H02/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
70avg 77
A05/02
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
92-91
92
91
+1
88avg 77
A10/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
82-76
82
76
+6
73avg 77
H12/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#4
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
75avg 77
H24/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
19-17
32-18
14-27
24-25
26-22
17-21
27-20
15-19
18-28
32-24
21-31
16-14
17-18
28-24
21-17
28-24
27-21
23-34
15-15
24-14
19-18
16-25
16-24
21-26
21-23
27-19
23-23
16-22
23-18
17-19
26-17
13-21
21-20
24-22
27-23
25-15
20-20
13-30
27-27
172.1Avg total
86.2Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.084.1167.1-1.252%
Season at home (14)82.581.2163.7+1.350%
Season away (11)83.587.8171.4-4.355%
Last 10 (10)86.285.9172.1+0.350%
Last 5 (5)83.885.2169.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)80.285.5165.6-5.331%
vs Similar (12)85.584.4169.9+1.158%
vs Weaker (4)102.282.0184.2+20.2100%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
BaskoniaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A22/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H27/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A29/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A31/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#15
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H03/02
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H05/02
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A10/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A12/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#3
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A24/02
Euroleague
79.0Avg total
40.2Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.081.9+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.637.482.1+7.271%-
Last 30 away (16)41.440.381.7+1.144%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.879.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.676.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)43.644.888.4-1.125%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)42.737.079.6+5.767%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H22/01
ACB
Alba Berlin
#17
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A26/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A29/01
ACB
Bayern
#16
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H31/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H02/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A05/02
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A10/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H12/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Olympiacos
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H24/02
Euroleague
81.5Avg total
41.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.080.7+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.138.979.9+2.269%-
Last 30 away (14)40.241.381.5-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.981.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.480.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.838.576.2-0.746%-
vs Similar (12)43.441.785.1+1.858%-
vs Weaker (4)43.539.883.2+3.875%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.8
55.0%
53.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.5
32.3%
36.2%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.213.6
79.1%
78.5%13.6
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.018.1
58.4%
53.5%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.211.3
40.1%
36.2%33.9
🏀 Free throws19.915.9
79.9%
78.5%15.9
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LLWLWWLWWL
Valencia
LLWWLLWLWW
#8
League position
#13
-3.0
Net rating
+2.5
113.2
Offensive rating
118.7
116.2
Defensive rating
116.2
52.1%
Effective FG%
59.2%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
58.9%
13.8%
Turnover %
16.7%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.3%
3-point %
40.1%
59.4%
Assist %
62.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 118.7Defence116.2 · 116.2Shooting52.1% · 59.2%3-point %32.3% · 40.1%Ball care13.8% · 16.7%Off. rebounds28.8% · 24.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Baskonia   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Baskonia wins
4
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
08/01/23Baskonia v Valencia85-79
06/10/22Valencia v Baskonia71-81
30/05/22Valencia v Baskonia59-76
28/05/22Baskonia v Valencia82-89
24/05/22Valencia v Baskonia79-80
17/04/22Baskonia v Valencia71-78
18/09/21Valencia v Baskonia67-72
04/06/21Valencia v Baskonia78-73
02/06/21Baskonia v Valencia76-65
31/05/21Valencia v Baskonia87-86
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/23AVirtus Bologna83-88
17/02/23AJoventut Badalona81-94
12/02/23AUnicaja89-81 OT
10/02/23AZalgiris Kaunas75-79
05/02/23HBasket Zaragoza91-79
03/02/23HPanathinaikos95-90
31/01/23AOlimpia Milano83-89
29/01/23AMurcia87-80
27/01/23HAnadolu Efes114-111 OT
22/01/23AObradoiro CAB86-91
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/23HOlympiacos85-92
16/02/23AReal Madrid85-86
12/02/23HGran Canaria82-76
10/02/23APanathinaikos92-91
05/02/23ABarcelona75-81
02/02/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv93-94
31/01/23HBayern82-73
29/01/23AUnicaja86-102
26/01/23AAlba Berlin94-88
22/01/23HBasket Zaragoza88-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL52%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %52%83%23%
Points / game85.393.477.8
Allowed / game83.682.884.2
Point differential+1.7+10.6-6.5
Avg total168.8176.2162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL52%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLLWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %52%50%55%
Points / game83.082.583.5
Allowed / game84.181.287.8
Point differential-1.2+1.3-4.3
Avg total167.1163.7171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)43% (7)71% (7)
Overtime %8%7%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2518772%85.675.8+9.8
2 Real Madrid2518772%84.276.9+7.3
3 Barcelona2618869%81.377.2+4.1
4 Fenerbahce2516964%85.281.0+4.2
5 Monaco26161062%83.382.1+1.2
6 Partizan26141254%84.882.8+2.0
7 Anadolu Efes25131252%82.879.7+3.0
8 Baskonia25131252%85.383.6+1.7
9 Valencia25131252%83.084.1-1.2
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv26131350%82.283.0-0.9
11 Zalgiris Kaunas26131350%75.578.6-3.1
12 Virtus Bologna26121446%78.081.3-3.3
13 Crvena zvezda26111542%75.778.8-3.1
14 Bayern26101638%77.079.2-2.2
15 Olimpia Milano2491538%71.977.2-5.3
16 Panathinaikos2681831%79.583.3-3.8
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2681831%75.180.4-5.3
18 Alba Berlin2671927%80.685.3-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia27302433114
Valencia2424161175
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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