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Bayern vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 91-84
22-18 21-20 23-17 25-29
Position#16
Record8-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game78.4
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#14
Record9-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game80.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 21
European cup2022
Meetings · Bayern v Virtus Bologna
08 Oct 2026
BAY87
VIR94
30 Oct 2025
BAY86
VIR70
17 Jan 2025
BAY72
VIR82
30 Nov 2023
BAY90
VIR76
27 Jan 2023
BAY91
VIR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
73avg 72
A27/12
BBL
Partizan
#6
L
77-83
77
83
-6
71avg 72
A29/12
Euroleague
Rostock
#8
W
78-65
78
65
+13
74avg 72
A03/01
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
W
84-68
84
68
+16
82avg 72
H05/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
L
79-80
79
80
-1
70avg 72
H08/01
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
92-79
92
79
+13
86avg 72
H10/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
71-79
71
79
-8
65avg 72
A12/01
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
68-96
68
96
-28
54avg 72
A15/01
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
89-81
89
81
+8
88avg 72
A20/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
W
94-87
94
87
+7
84avg 72
A22/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
27-26
17-18
20-14
14-19
15-22
20-18
28-24
31-15
22-15
18-15
7-20
21-11
22-17
18-16
23-24
27-23
17-21
17-20
18-16
34-24
18-20
23-16
17-19
18-19
21-27
10-21
22-12
15-30
17-25
23-22
13-19
24-21
12-19
23-24
30-17
30-26
21-17
24-21
19-23
162.0Avg total
81.9Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.478.4154.8-2.040%
Season at home (10)80.379.7160.0+0.650%
Season away (10)72.577.1149.6-4.630%
Last 10 (10)81.980.1162.0+1.860%
Last 5 (5)82.884.4167.2-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.679.5156.2-2.936%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.277.6156.9+1.662%
vs Weaker (11)83.376.4159.6+6.982%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
no box
A26/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
W
92-88
92
88
+4
92avg 78
H30/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-96
74
96
-22
65avg 78
H02/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
W
83-75
83
75
+8
85avg 78
A05/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
A07/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
77-87
77
87
-10
75avg 78
H10/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
83-85
83
85
-2
84avg 78
H12/01
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
W
79-78
79
78
+1
82avg 78
H15/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#15
W
74-64
74
64
+10
79avg 78
H19/01
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
L
77-78
77
78
-1
no box
A22/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
14-22
20-19
14-14
23-25
23-21
19-22
27-20
15-19
17-21
18-25
24-31
26-15
16-24
18-18
23-18
22-29
11-19
26-20
22-21
13-24
23-16
24-20
17-27
22-22
16-20
15-21
30-22
26-20
16-14
10-24
27-20
18-11
25-19
12-21
19-13
23-15
15-19
29-13
10-31
162.9Avg total
80.7Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.380.4157.8-3.145%
Season at home (11)79.077.0156.0+2.055%
Season away (9)75.384.6159.9-9.233%
Last 10 (10)80.782.2162.9-1.550%
Last 5 (5)78.078.4156.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.787.7167.4-8.040%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.476.6155.0+1.850%
vs Weaker (12)84.877.1161.8+7.775%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
BayernVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#10
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A27/12
BBL
Partizan
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A29/12
Euroleague
Rostock
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A03/01
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H05/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H08/01
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H10/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A12/01
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A15/01
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A20/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A22/01
BBL
85.1Avg total
42.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.281.1+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.238.182.4+6.164%-
Last 30 away (16)39.840.279.9-0.438%-
Last 10 (10)42.942.285.1+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.045.687.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.641.479.0-3.718%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.437.880.1+4.662%-
vs Weaker (11)45.638.283.8+7.573%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A26/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H30/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H02/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A05/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#3
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A07/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H10/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H12/01
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H15/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#15
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H19/01
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A22/01
Lega A
78.2Avg total
38.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.379.4+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.737.177.7+3.653%-
Last 30 away (15)39.541.681.1-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.378.2-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.075.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.445.283.6-6.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.434.174.5+6.275%-
vs Weaker (12)41.337.979.2+3.458%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.1
50.0%
53.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.3
34.9%
36.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.317.6
82.6%
78.5%17.6
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.819.1
58.2%
53.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.4
38.7%
36.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.512.7
77.0%
78.5%12.7
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWLLWLWWLW
Virtus Bologna
LWWLLLWLWW
#16
League position
#14
+1.1
Net rating
-4.1
111.9
Offensive rating
112.6
110.8
Defensive rating
116.7
50.9%
Effective FG%
58.1%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
14.9%
Turnover %
19.6%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.9%
3-point %
38.7%
54.7%
Assist %
67.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 112.6Defence110.8 · 116.7Shooting50.9% · 58.1%3-point %34.9% · 38.7%Ball care14.9% · 19.6%Off. rebounds30.2% · 26.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Bayern   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bayern wins
1
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
13/10/22Virtus Bologna v Bayern66-63
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/23ABamberg94-87
20/01/23AAnadolu Efes89-81
15/01/23ALudwigsburg68-96
12/01/23AFenerbahce71-79
10/01/23HBaskonia92-79
08/01/23HAlba Berlin79-80
05/01/23HPanathinaikos84-68
03/01/23ARostock78-65
29/12/22APartizan77-83
27/12/22AHeidelberg87-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/23ABrindisi77-78
19/01/23HPanathinaikos74-64
15/01/23HVenezia79-78
12/01/23HOlympiacos83-85
10/01/23HZalgiris Kaunas77-87
07/01/23ATortona81-89
05/01/23ABarcelona83-75
02/01/23HOlimpia Milano74-96
30/12/22HFenerbahce92-88
26/12/22APesaro87-82 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW40%
HomeWLWWW50%
AwayLLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%50%30%
Points / game76.480.372.5
Allowed / game78.479.777.1
Point differential-2.0+0.6-4.6
Avg total154.8160.0149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW45%
HomeWWLLW55%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %45%55%33%
Points / game77.379.075.3
Allowed / game80.477.084.6
Point differential-3.0+2.0-9.2
Avg total157.8156.0159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2114767%85.076.6+8.5
2 Real Madrid2114767%83.677.3+6.3
3 Fenerbahce2113862%83.680.0+3.6
4 Barcelona2113862%80.678.0+2.6
5 Monaco2113862%82.382.5-0.2
6 Baskonia2112957%85.583.0+2.5
7 Zalgiris Kaunas2112957%76.176.8-0.7
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv21111052%82.082.2-0.2
9 Valencia21111052%82.083.5-1.5
10 Anadolu Efes21101148%83.079.8+3.1
11 Partizan21101148%83.884.1-0.3
12 Crvena zvezda21101148%75.577.6-2.1
13 Virtus Bologna2091145%77.380.4-3.0
14 Bayern2081240%76.478.4-2.0
15 Panathinaikos2181338%79.082.4-3.3
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne2181338%75.479.5-4.1
17 Alba Berlin2161529%81.283.9-2.7
18 Olimpia Milano2161529%70.777.4-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2221232591
Virtus Bologna1820172984
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