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Valencia vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 82-73
16-14 17-18 28-24 21-17
Position#13
Record11-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#16
Record9-12
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game78.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 22
European cup2022
Meetings · Valencia v Bayern
12 Nov 2026
VAL102
BAY87
25 Nov 2025
VAL90
BAY64
20 Mar 2024
VAL70
BAY68
31 Jan 2023
VAL82
BAY73
25 Mar 2021
VAL83
BAY76
04 Mar 2015
VAL80
BAY58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
92-86
92
86
+6
84avg 77
H03/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
63avg 77
H06/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
79-85
79
85
-6
74avg 77
A08/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
81-71
81
71
+10
75avg 77
H11/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
83-79
83
79
+4
84avg 77
A13/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
W
103-92
103
92
+11
99avg 77
H15/01
ACB
Partizan
#6
W
89-81
89
81
+8
88avg 77
H19/01
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
88-76
88
76
+12
80avg 77
H22/01
ACB
Alba Berlin
#17
W
94-88
94
88
+6
no box
A26/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
86-102
86
102
-16
75avg 77
A29/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
22-23
26-17
26-33
19-24
23-23
16-14
17-16
15-15
23-25
23-18
18-27
16-13
15-17
21-26
29-15
22-16
30-21
10-23
21-19
23-15
19-36
31-23
30-18
27-18
20-19
22-21
20-23
23-14
19-17
32-18
14-27
24-25
26-22
17-21
27-20
15-19
18-28
32-24
21-31
170.7Avg total
87.0Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.083.5165.5-1.552%
Season at home (11)81.479.8161.2+1.555%
Season away (10)82.787.5170.2-4.850%
Last 10 (10)87.083.7170.7+3.370%
Last 5 (5)92.087.8179.8+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.985.4165.4-5.543%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.784.8168.5-1.250%
vs Weaker (4)102.282.0184.2+20.2100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
W
78-65
78
65
+13
74avg 73
A03/01
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
W
84-68
84
68
+16
82avg 73
H05/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
L
79-80
79
80
-1
70avg 73
H08/01
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
92-79
92
79
+13
86avg 73
H10/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
71-79
71
79
-8
65avg 73
A12/01
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
68-96
68
96
-28
54avg 73
A15/01
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
89-81
89
81
+8
88avg 73
A20/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
W
94-87
94
87
+7
84avg 73
A22/01
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
91-84
91
84
+7
78avg 73
H27/01
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
W
105-74
105
74
+31
113avg 73
H29/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-15
22-15
18-15
7-20
21-11
22-17
18-16
23-24
27-23
17-21
17-20
18-16
34-24
18-20
23-16
17-19
18-19
21-27
10-21
22-12
15-30
17-25
23-22
13-19
24-21
12-19
23-24
30-17
30-26
21-17
24-21
19-23
22-18
21-20
23-17
25-29
23-22
28-17
26-19
28-16
164.4Avg total
85.1Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.178.7155.8-1.643%
Season at home (11)81.380.1161.4+1.255%
Season away (10)72.577.1149.6-4.630%
Last 10 (10)85.179.3164.4+5.870%
Last 5 (5)89.484.4173.8+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.679.5156.2-2.936%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.678.4160.0+3.275%
vs Weaker (11)85.775.7161.5+10.091%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
ValenciaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H03/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H06/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A08/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H11/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A13/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H15/01
ACB
Partizan
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H19/01
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H22/01
ACB
Alba Berlin
#17
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A26/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A29/01
ACB
82.0Avg total
41.7Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.381.4-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.381.3+0.867%-
Last 30 away (15)39.142.481.5-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)41.740.382.0+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.685.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.641.477.1-5.829%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.241.885.9+2.467%-
vs Weaker (4)43.539.883.2+3.875%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A03/01
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H05/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H08/01
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H10/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A12/01
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A15/01
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A20/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A22/01
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H27/01
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H29/01
BBL
85.1Avg total
44.4Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.381.6+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.638.282.8+6.469%-
Last 30 away (14)39.740.580.2-0.836%-
Last 10 (10)44.440.785.1+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.085.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.641.479.0-3.718%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.437.079.4+5.475%-
vs Weaker (11)46.938.885.7+8.173%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.718.3
59.6%
53.5%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.2
36.8%
36.2%33.6
🏀 Free throws20.216.4
81.2%
78.5%16.4
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.5
54.8%
53.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.5
36.2%
36.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.017.8
80.9%
78.5%17.8
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWWWWWWLLW
Bayern
WWWWLLWLWW
#13
League position
#16
+5.5
Net rating
+7.7
116.6
Offensive rating
115.3
111.1
Defensive rating
107.6
57.4%
Effective FG%
54.6%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
19.1%
Turnover %
15.9%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.8%
3-point %
36.2%
63.7%
Assist %
53.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 115.3Defence111.1 · 107.6Shooting57.4% · 54.6%3-point %36.8% · 36.2%Ball care19.1% · 15.9%Off. rebounds31.3% · 28.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
2
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
15/12/22Bayern v Valencia97-92
25/03/21Valencia v Bayern83-76
13/11/20Bayern v Valencia90-79
11/03/15Bayern v Valencia60-94
04/03/15Valencia v Bayern80-58
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/23AUnicaja86-102
26/01/23AAlba Berlin94-88
22/01/23HBasket Zaragoza88-76
19/01/23HPartizan89-81
15/01/23HManresa103-92
13/01/23ALyon-Villeurbanne83-79
11/01/23HAnadolu Efes81-71
08/01/23ABaskonia79-85
06/01/23HCrvena zvezda75-77
03/01/23HFuenlabrada92-86
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/23HGottingen105-74
27/01/23HVirtus Bologna91-84
22/01/23ABamberg94-87
20/01/23AAnadolu Efes89-81
15/01/23ALudwigsburg68-96
12/01/23AFenerbahce71-79
10/01/23HBaskonia92-79
08/01/23HAlba Berlin79-80
05/01/23HPanathinaikos84-68
03/01/23ARostock78-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW52%
HomeWWLWW55%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%55%50%
Points / game82.081.482.7
Allowed / game83.579.887.5
Point differential-1.5+1.5-4.8
Avg total165.5161.2170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)50% (6)67% (6)
Overtime %10%9%10%
Bayern
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW43%
HomeLWWWW55%
AwayLLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %43%55%30%
Points / game77.181.372.5
Allowed / game78.780.177.1
Point differential-1.6+1.2-4.6
Avg total155.8161.4149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2215768%85.476.4+9.0
2 Real Madrid2114767%83.677.3+6.3
3 Barcelona2113862%80.678.0+2.6
4 Monaco2113862%82.382.5-0.2
5 Fenerbahce2213959%83.180.5+2.5
6 Zalgiris Kaunas2112957%76.176.8-0.7
7 Baskonia22121055%85.483.3+2.1
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv21111052%82.082.2-0.2
9 Valencia21111052%82.083.5-1.5
10 Anadolu Efes21101148%83.079.8+3.1
11 Partizan21101148%83.884.1-0.3
12 Crvena zvezda21101148%75.577.6-2.1
13 Bayern2191243%77.178.7-1.6
14 Virtus Bologna2191243%77.780.9-3.2
15 Panathinaikos2181338%79.082.4-3.3
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne2181338%75.479.5-4.1
17 Olimpia Milano2271532%71.577.6-6.1
18 Alba Berlin2161529%81.283.9-2.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1617282182
Bayern1418241773
← all games of the day
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