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Bayern vs Monaco Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 91-82
24-23 24-16 20-24 23-19
Position#14
Record11-15
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game82.7
Bayern 🏆
vs
Monaco
Position#10
Record15-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game85.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 27· SAP Garden
European cup2025
Meetings · Bayern v Monaco
05 Feb 2026
BAY91
MCO82
15 Jan 2025
BAY95
MCO94
22 Dec 2023
BAY80
MCO91
31 Mar 2023
BAY81
MCO84
13 Jan 2022
BAY78
MCO83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monaco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
76avg 78
A09/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#4
W
66-63
66
63
+3
64avg 78
H11/01
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
H15/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#11
W
87-59
87
59
+28
no box
A18/01
BBL
Partizan
#15
L
63-67
63
67
-4
51avg 78
H20/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
93-89
93
89
+4
94avg 78
H22/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
98-79
98
79
+19
102avg 78
H25/01
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
79-64
79
64
+15
74avg 78
A29/01
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
L
62-79
62
79
-17
49avg 78
H01/02
BBL
Paris
#16
W
81-75
81
75
+6
78avg 78
H03/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
24-28
14-24
19-22
15-12
18-12
13-15
20-24
25-24
15-19
18-21
27-14
18-10
24-17
23-18
22-14
7-18
25-16
18-16
13-17
22-24
31-20
26-26
14-19
20-14
17-22
28-15
33-28
23-26
20-13
18-11
18-14
14-18
23-23
18-19
7-19
21-18
13-13
18-18
29-26
154.2Avg total
79.4Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.582.7162.2-3.242%
Season at home (14)81.279.6160.9+1.664%
Season away (12)77.586.2163.8-8.817%
Last 10 (10)79.474.8154.2+4.670%
Last 5 (5)82.677.2159.8+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.685.9164.4-7.343%
vs Similar (9)80.880.8161.6+0.033%
vs Weaker (14)84.670.7155.3+13.986%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Nancy
#10
W
93-79
93
79
+14
97avg 91
A10/01
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
101-82
101
82
+19
97avg 91
H13/01
LNB
Paris
#16
W
95-87
95
87
+8
no box
A15/01
Euroleague
Limoges
#13
W
99-88
99
88
+11
97avg 91
H17/01
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
96-100 OT
96
100
-4
84avg 91
H20/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
66avg 91
A22/01
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#14
W
98-73
98
73
+25
106avg 91
A25/01
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
82-84
82
84
-2
72avg 91
H30/01
Euroleague
Le Portel
#16
W
113-86
113
86
+27
119avg 91
H01/02
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
87-104
87
104
-17
82avg 91
A03/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
19-24
27-17
24-21
26-19
26-25
24-24
25-14
27-23
25-20
24-21
19-23
22-26
31-18
34-21
12-23
21-27
23-23
27-18
19-22
13-23
18-31
22-17
25-19
31-18
28-23
20-13
19-19
30-22
21-22
14-18
17-22
26-19
27-21
29-21
31-25
18-35
20-21
22-20
27-28
181.5Avg total
94.2Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)90.985.7176.6+5.258%
Season at home (12)97.086.7183.7+10.367%
Season away (14)85.684.9170.5+0.850%
Last 10 (10)94.287.3181.5+6.960%
Last 5 (5)91.687.4179.0+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)94.292.5186.6+1.754%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)93.778.1171.8+15.681%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
BayernMonaco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A09/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#4
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H11/01
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H15/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#11
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A18/01
BBL
Partizan
#15
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H22/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H25/01
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A29/01
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H01/02
BBL
Paris
#16
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/02
Euroleague
76.6Avg total
39.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.178.7+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.538.476.9+0.246%-
Last 30 away (17)42.237.880.0+4.465%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.876.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.279.0+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.643.985.4-2.329%-
vs Similar (9)38.939.778.6-0.844%-
vs Weaker (14)41.234.175.4+7.179%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nancy
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A10/01
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H13/01
LNB
Paris
#16
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A15/01
Euroleague
Limoges
#13
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H17/01
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H20/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A22/01
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#14
W
59-41
59
41
+18
A25/01
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H30/01
Euroleague
Le Portel
#16
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H01/02
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A03/02
Euroleague
93.2Avg total
47.5Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.941.689.5+6.283%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.942.893.7+8.194%-
Last 30 away (14)44.440.384.7+4.171%-
Last 10 (10)47.545.793.2+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.447.093.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)46.844.291.0+2.577%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.738.586.2+9.288%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.6
58.0%
60.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.2
34.1%
35.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.313.7
79.2%
78.2%13.7
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 95.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.221.9
58.9%
60.4%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.9
40.7%
35.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws24.118.5
76.8%
78.2%18.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLWWWLWWWL
Monaco
LWLWLLWWWW
#14
League position
#10
+5.7
Net rating
+9.1
96.0
Offensive rating
111.1
90.3
Defensive rating
102.0
54.9%
Effective FG%
59.8%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
19.1%
Turnover %
12.7%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.1%
3-point %
40.7%
69.4%
Assist %
70.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 111.1Defence90.3 · 102.0Shooting54.9% · 59.8%3-point %34.1% · 40.7%Ball care19.1% · 12.7%Off. rebounds33.3% · 34.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Monaco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bayern wins
8
Monaco wins
DateGameScore
19/12/25Monaco v Bayern103-77
15/01/25Bayern v Monaco95-94
17/12/24Monaco v Bayern93-74
11/04/24Monaco v Bayern89-85
22/12/23Bayern v Monaco80-91
31/03/23Bayern v Monaco81-84
25/11/22Monaco v Bayern80-79
13/01/22Bayern v Monaco78-83
12/11/21Monaco v Bayern94-71
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26HParis81-75
01/02/26HUlm62-79
29/01/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv79-64
25/01/26HWurzburg98-79
22/01/26HValencia93-89
20/01/26HPartizan63-67
18/01/26AChemnitz87-59
15/01/26HPanathinaikos85-78
11/01/26HBonn66-63
09/01/26AOlympiacos80-95
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas87-104
01/02/26HLe Portel113-86
30/01/26HVirtus Bologna82-84
25/01/26ASaint Quentin98-73
22/01/26AReal Madrid78-90
20/01/26HCrvena zvezda96-100 OT
17/01/26HLimoges99-88
15/01/26AParis95-87
13/01/26HGravelines-Dunkerque101-82
10/01/26ANancy93-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW42%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %42%64%17%
Points / game79.581.277.5
Allowed / game82.779.686.2
Point differential-3.2+1.6-8.8
Avg total162.2160.9163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%21%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Monaco
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL58%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game90.997.085.6
Allowed / game85.786.784.9
Point differential+5.2+10.3+0.8
Avg total176.6183.7170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%42%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)25% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %8%8%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2518772%82.178.6+3.4
2 Olympiacos2516964%89.283.9+5.2
3 Valencia27171063%90.786.9+3.9
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv26161062%86.582.9+3.6
5 Panathinaikos26161062%86.283.7+2.4
6 Crvena zvezda26161062%87.585.5+2.0
7 Barcelona26161062%86.384.6+1.7
8 Real Madrid27161159%87.683.6+3.9
9 Zalgiris Kaunas26151158%88.882.9+5.8
10 Monaco26151158%90.985.7+5.2
11 Olimpia Milano26131350%85.986.1-0.2
12 Dubai27131448%87.488.1-0.7
13 Virtus Bologna26121446%82.383.2-0.9
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv26111542%88.991.8-2.8
15 Bayern26111542%79.582.7-3.2
16 Baskonia2691735%87.091.1-4.1
17 Paris2581732%89.192.3-3.2
18 Partizan2681831%80.489.5-9.1
19 Anadolu Efes2671927%79.384.7-5.4
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne2671927%78.786.3-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2424202391
Monaco2316241982
← all games of the day
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