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Bayern vs Monaco Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 95-94
30-13 23-27 25-28 17-26
Position#7
Record11-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game88.2
Bayern 🏆
vs
Monaco
Position#4
Record13-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game82.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 21· SAP Garden
European cup2024
Meetings · Bayern v Monaco
05 Feb 2026
BAY91
MCO82
15 Jan 2025
BAY95
MCO94
22 Dec 2023
BAY80
MCO91
31 Mar 2023
BAY81
MCO84
13 Jan 2022
BAY78
MCO83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monaco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Rostock
#12
W
80-70
80
70
+10
73avg 79
A15/12
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
74-93
74
93
-19
69avg 79
A17/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
79-78
79
78
+1
72avg 79
A20/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
W
89-75
89
75
+14
88avg 79
H22/12
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
69-80
69
80
-11
63avg 79
H27/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#16
W
91-84
91
84
+7
89avg 79
A29/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
76-88
76
88
-12
65avg 79
A03/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
77avg 79
A05/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
L
69-112
69
112
-43
61avg 79
A10/01
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
87-59
87
59
+28
87avg 79
A12/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
24-21
28-15
14-15
24-18
16-28
20-31
14-16
26-14
14-25
25-20
14-19
24-21
18-15
25-11
22-28
16-13
20-19
17-23
16-25
25-25
27-22
22-21
17-16
16-23
14-24
20-15
26-26
27-18
20-19
18-26
16-25
14-28
23-23
20-27
12-34
22-12
27-12
17-24
21-11
162.2Avg total
79.5Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.688.2173.8-2.655%
Season at home (9)93.785.4179.1+8.289%
Season away (11)79.090.5169.5-11.527%
Last 10 (10)79.582.7162.2-3.250%
Last 5 (5)80.886.2167.0-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)77.092.2169.2-15.217%
vs Similar (12)86.785.7172.3+1.067%
vs Weaker (11)88.274.0162.2+14.282%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#15
W
78-56
78
56
+22
94avg 88
H14/12
LNB
Bayern
#7
W
93-74
93
74
+19
92avg 88
H17/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
72-94
72
94
-22
60avg 88
A19/12
Euroleague
Limoges
#14
W
96-84
96
84
+12
109avg 88
A21/12
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
94-75
94
75
+19
97avg 88
H26/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
105-90
105
90
+15
107avg 88
A02/01
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
109-82
109
82
+27
123avg 88
H05/01
LNB
Ada Blois
#6
W
99-84
99
84
+15
102avg 88
A07/01
French Cup
Barcelona
#6
L
84-98
84
98
-14
73avg 88
H09/01
Euroleague
Nanterre
#13
W
81-73
81
73
+8
99avg 88
A11/01
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
19-12
14-21
21-8
18-24
28-16
31-20
16-14
22-29
13-24
12-24
25-17
28-21
28-23
15-17
25-23
22-13
27-21
20-20
25-21
30-21
25-14
24-32
26-23
22-27
32-22
29-21
26-12
21-26
33-21
26-19
19-18
17-25
24-20
19-21
24-32
18-18
21-22
15-15
27-18
172.1Avg total
91.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.582.2169.8+5.265%
Season at home (11)91.285.2176.4+6.064%
Season away (9)83.078.7161.7+4.367%
Last 10 (10)91.181.0172.1+10.180%
Last 5 (5)95.685.4181.0+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)87.186.8173.9+0.347%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.776.7167.5+14.093%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +4.8+4.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +4.8+4.8
BayernMonaco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A15/12
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A17/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A20/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H22/12
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H27/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#16
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A29/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A03/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A05/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A10/01
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
49-24
49
24
+25
A12/01
BBL
81.0Avg total
41.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.782.4+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.739.483.1+4.362%-
Last 30 away (17)40.341.681.9-1.441%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.981.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.284.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.243.881.0-6.717%-
vs Similar (12)41.841.283.0+0.558%-
vs Weaker (11)44.437.882.2+6.564%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#15
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H14/12
LNB
Bayern
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H17/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A19/12
Euroleague
Limoges
#14
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A21/12
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H26/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A02/01
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H05/01
LNB
Ada Blois
#6
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A07/01
French Cup
Barcelona
#6
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H09/01
Euroleague
Nanterre
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A11/01
LNB
88.6Avg total
47.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.841.686.4+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.441.886.2+2.650%-
Last 30 away (16)45.141.486.5+3.856%-
Last 10 (10)47.241.488.6+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)48.643.291.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)44.944.789.5+0.247%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.738.583.2+6.360%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.817.5
55.0%
54.5%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.1
34.0%
36.2%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.812.8
71.9%
78.0%12.8
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.2
57.9%
54.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.5
40.4%
36.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws21.816.4
75.2%
78.0%16.4
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLLLWLWWLW
Monaco
WLWWWWWLWW
#7
League position
#4
-5.7
Net rating
+13.8
105.5
Offensive rating
121.3
111.2
Defensive rating
107.5
53.1%
Effective FG%
59.0%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
20.1%
Turnover %
16.7%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.0%
3-point %
40.4%
71.7%
Assist %
68.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 121.3Defence111.2 · 107.5Shooting53.1% · 59.0%3-point %34.0% · 40.4%Ball care20.1% · 16.7%Off. rebounds29.3% · 31.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Bayern   ■ Monaco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bayern wins
7
Monaco wins
DateGameScore
17/12/24Monaco v Bayern93-74
11/04/24Monaco v Bayern89-85
22/12/23Bayern v Monaco80-91
31/03/23Bayern v Monaco81-84
25/11/22Monaco v Bayern80-79
13/01/22Bayern v Monaco78-83
12/11/21Monaco v Bayern94-71
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25AHeidelberg87-59
10/01/25AOlympiacos69-112
05/01/25AAlba Berlin81-88
03/01/25AReal Madrid76-88
29/12/24AFrankfurt91-84
27/12/24HPanathinaikos69-80
22/12/24HOldenburg89-75
20/12/24AOlimpia Milano79-78
17/12/24AMonaco74-93
15/12/24ARostock80-70
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25ANanterre81-73
09/01/25HBarcelona84-98
07/01/25AAda Blois99-84
05/01/25HChalon/Saone109-82
02/01/25AAlba Berlin105-90
26/12/24HAnadolu Efes94-75
21/12/24ALimoges96-84
19/12/24AReal Madrid72-94
17/12/24HBayern93-74
14/12/24HLe Portel78-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL55%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %55%89%27%
Points / game85.693.779.0
Allowed / game88.285.490.5
Point differential-2.6+8.2-11.5
Avg total173.8179.1169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Monaco
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL65%
HomeLWWWL64%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %65%64%67%
Points / game87.591.283.0
Allowed / game82.285.278.7
Point differential+5.2+6.0+4.3
Avg total169.8176.4161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%55%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2115671%87.681.8+5.8
2 Panathinaikos2013765%87.782.2+5.5
3 Monaco2013765%87.582.2+5.2
4 Fenerbahce2013765%79.879.8+0.1
5 Paris2012860%85.384.5+0.8
6 Real Madrid2112957%86.082.2+3.8
7 Olimpia Milano2112957%87.784.4+3.3
8 Crvena zvezda2112957%83.281.1+2.0
9 Barcelona2011955%86.284.2+1.9
10 Bayern2011955%85.688.2-2.6
11 Zalgiris Kaunas21111052%76.876.8-0.0
12 Partizan21101148%83.180.7+2.4
13 Anadolu Efes21101148%83.682.7+1.0
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne2191243%79.984.0-4.1
15 Baskonia2181338%79.681.9-2.3
16 Virtus Bologna2161529%80.684.7-4.0
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2151624%84.990.3-5.4
18 Alba Berlin2131814%79.091.9-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern3023251795
Monaco1327282694
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