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Bayern vs Monaco Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-84
22-23 18-22 20-12 21-27
Position#16
Record11-20
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Monaco 🏆
Position#4
Record20-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game81.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 32
European cup2022
Meetings · Bayern v Monaco
05 Feb 2026
BAY91
MCO82
15 Jan 2025
BAY95
MCO94
22 Dec 2023
BAY80
MCO91
31 Mar 2023
BAY81
MCO84
13 Jan 2022
BAY78
MCO83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
H02/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 72
A04/03
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
76-72
76
72
+4
62avg 72
H07/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
74-102
74
102
-28
67avg 72
A09/03
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
W
80-79
80
79
+1
83avg 72
A12/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#17
L
75-76
75
76
-1
64avg 72
H17/03
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
87-66
87
66
+21
87avg 72
H19/03
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
74-99
74
99
-25
56avg 72
A24/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
74-63
74
63
+11
68avg 72
A26/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
L
76-86
76
86
-10
72avg 72
A28/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
22-15
11-18
35-24
16-17
27-26
13-7
20-21
21-19
17-17
15-14
23-22
12-26
23-29
30-26
9-21
17-25
29-27
19-10
15-17
14-20
23-18
21-18
17-20
14-22
23-15
24-14
26-15
8-25
28-24
18-23
20-27
21-13
13-23
21-15
19-12
27-21
16-27
11-23
22-15
157.3Avg total
77.9Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)76.780.4157.1-3.735%
Season at home (15)80.279.4159.6+0.853%
Season away (16)73.481.4154.8-8.019%
Last 10 (10)77.979.4157.3-1.560%
Last 5 (5)77.278.0155.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.782.8160.4-5.122%
vs Similar (10)79.179.8158.9-0.750%
vs Weaker (11)82.575.6158.2+6.982%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#15
W
84-70
84
70
+14
72avg 80
H08/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
102-93
102
93
+9
94avg 80
A10/03
Euroleague
Roanne
#11
W
85-74
85
74
+11
80avg 80
A12/03
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
81-68
81
68
+13
79avg 80
H16/03
Euroleague
Pau-Orthez
#34
W
98-78
98
78
+20
no box
A18/03
French Cup
Le Mans
#3
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H19/03
French Cup
Le Portel
#12
W
99-78
99
78
+21
103avg 80
H21/03
LNB
Valencia
#13
W
90-79
90
79
+11
87avg 80
H24/03
Euroleague
Limoges
#15
L
76-83
76
83
-7
73avg 80
A26/03
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
70-79
70
79
-9
61avg 80
A29/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
21-19
22-21
20-13
23-28
29-19
22-26
28-20
25-17
19-23
22-20
19-14
21-22
20-15
22-16
18-15
23-17
24-20
30-16
21-25
15-26
30-20
22-20
20-12
27-21
23-11
19-20
30-26
22-22
26-19
23-23
19-15
21-18
21-23
19-14
15-28
19-28
22-20
12-17
17-14
165.2Avg total
87.2Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.681.4165.0+2.265%
Season at home (16)84.778.8163.4+5.981%
Season away (15)82.584.2166.7-1.747%
Last 10 (10)87.278.0165.2+9.280%
Last 5 (5)84.479.4163.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.577.5155.0+0.050%
vs Similar (10)82.784.2166.9-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)90.279.3169.5+10.988%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
BayernMonaco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H02/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A04/03
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A09/03
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A12/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#17
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H17/03
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H19/03
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A24/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A26/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A28/03
Euroleague
82.2Avg total
39.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.680.6-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.939.079.9+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)39.242.081.2-2.825%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.282.2-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.679.0-4.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.441.979.3-4.422%-
vs Similar (10)40.039.579.5+0.540%-
vs Weaker (11)42.140.582.6+1.555%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H08/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A10/03
Euroleague
Roanne
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A12/03
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H16/03
Euroleague
Pau-Orthez
#34
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A18/03
French Cup
Le Mans
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H19/03
French Cup
Le Portel
#12
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H21/03
LNB
Valencia
#13
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H24/03
Euroleague
Limoges
#15
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A26/03
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A29/03
Euroleague
85.7Avg total
45.2Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.242.687.8+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.641.186.7+4.565%-
Last 30 away (13)44.744.589.2+0.254%-
Last 10 (10)45.240.585.7+4.780%-
Last 5 (5)45.241.686.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.542.080.5-3.50%-
vs Similar (10)43.445.588.9-2.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.540.787.2+5.881%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.6
52.7%
53.5%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.0
35.5%
36.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.712.0
76.4%
78.5%12.0
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.625.1
58.9%
53.5%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.9
33.5%
36.2%20.7
🏀 Free throws20.616.9
82.0%
78.5%16.9
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWLWLWLWWW
Monaco
LLWWWWWWWW
#16
League position
#4
-2.2
Net rating
+16.1
111.8
Offensive rating
126.5
113.9
Defensive rating
110.4
52.9%
Effective FG%
56.1%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
18.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
43.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.5%
3-point %
33.5%
55.4%
Assist %
58.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 126.5Defence113.9 · 110.4Shooting52.9% · 56.1%3-point %35.5% · 33.5%Ball care18.6% · 15.9%Off. rebounds35.3% · 43.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Bayern   ■ Monaco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bayern wins
3
Monaco wins
DateGameScore
25/11/22Monaco v Bayern80-79
13/01/22Bayern v Monaco78-83
12/11/21Monaco v Bayern94-71
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/23APanathinaikos76-86
26/03/23ABasketball Braunschweig74-63
24/03/23AOlimpia Milano74-99
19/03/23HSyntainics MBC87-66
17/03/23HAlba Berlin75-76
12/03/23ABayreuth80-79
09/03/23AOlympiacos74-102
07/03/23HLyon-Villeurbanne76-72
04/03/23AAlba Berlin76-71
02/03/23HCrvena zvezda87-80
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/23AZalgiris Kaunas70-79
26/03/23ALimoges76-83
24/03/23HValencia90-79
21/03/23HLe Portel99-78
19/03/23HLe Mans87-78
18/03/23APau-Orthez98-78
16/03/23HVirtus Bologna81-68
12/03/23ARoanne85-74
10/03/23ABaskonia102-93
08/03/23HPanathinaikos84-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL35%
HomeWLWWL53%
AwayLLLLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %35%53%19%
Points / game76.780.273.4
Allowed / game80.479.481.4
Point differential-3.7+0.8-8.0
Avg total157.1159.6154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%13%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Monaco
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL65%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayLWLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %65%81%47%
Points / game83.684.782.5
Allowed / game81.478.884.2
Point differential+2.2+5.9-1.7
Avg total165.0163.4166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%38%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)75% (8)60% (5)
Overtime %10%6%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos3122971%84.275.5+8.7
2 Real Madrid3122971%85.478.4+7.0
3 Barcelona32221069%80.976.7+4.3
4 Monaco31201165%83.681.4+2.2
5 Maccabi Tel Aviv32191359%83.680.9+2.7
6 Fenerbahce31181358%83.980.9+3.0
7 Partizan31171455%84.582.5+2.1
8 Baskonia31161552%85.883.9+1.9
9 Zalgiris Kaunas31161552%75.677.6-1.9
10 Anadolu Efes32161650%82.880.9+1.9
11 Crvena zvezda31141745%76.578.0-1.5
12 Valencia31141745%82.585.9-3.4
13 Olimpia Milano32141844%74.277.3-3.1
14 Virtus Bologna32131941%78.082.8-4.8
15 Panathinaikos31112035%79.382.6-3.3
16 Bayern31112035%76.780.4-3.7
17 Alba Berlin3292328%79.684.8-5.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne3182326%74.180.7-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2218202181
Monaco2322122784
← all games of the day
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