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Bayern vs Valencia Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 28 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#17
Record3-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game94.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#3
Record7-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game95.8
Allowed / game89.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 25· SAP Garden
European cup2026
Meetings · Bayern v Valencia
28 Jan 2027
BAY v VAL
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
BAY93
VAL89
28 Dec 2023
BAY85
VAL84
15 Dec 2022
BAY97
VAL92
13 Nov 2020
BAY90
VAL79
11 Mar 2015
BAY60
VAL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#14
W
87-83
87
83
+4
77avg 83
A10/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
101-93
101
93
+8
96avg 83
A14/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
L
87-95
87
95
-8
88avg 83
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#6
L
91-107
91
107
-16
86avg 83
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#18
W
96-77
96
77
+19
102avg 83
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#7
L
84-88
84
88
-4
75avg 83
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
73-103
73
103
-30
65avg 83
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#6
L
67-69
67
69
-2
no box
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
108-66
108
66
+42
no box
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
24-25
22-12
20-21
26-22
28-24
21-22
26-25
17-26
18-27
23-16
29-26
14-29
22-34
31-19
24-25
27-23
15-18
29-12
25-24
17-21
25-20
19-23
23-24
15-19
16-29
23-31
19-24
15-24
25-14
13-12
14-19
22-18
35-20
28-17
23-11
20-21
25-24
28-21
26-29
176.9Avg total
89.3Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.894.5181.3-7.730%
Season at home (4)86.593.8180.2-7.20%
Season away (6)87.095.0182.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)89.387.6176.9+1.750%
Last 5 (5)86.284.2170.4+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)85.294.5179.8-9.225%
vs Similar (2)93.094.5187.5-1.550%
vs Weaker (20)89.773.1162.8+16.680%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#7
L
86-89
86
89
-3
74avg 95
A11/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
86avg 95
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
L
88-91
88
91
-3
79avg 95
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
116-93
116
93
+23
113avg 95
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
104-93
104
93
+11
98avg 95
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
84-75
84
75
+9
69avg 95
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#5
W
86-78
86
78
+8
73avg 95
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#7
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 95
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
111-79
111
79
+32
no box
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
14-20
20-29
26-21
31-17
28-17
12-25
19-31
23-31
25-19
24-21
16-20
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
32-26
25-28
26-16
21-23
27-19
14-16
18-18
25-22
19-9
17-16
24-21
26-32
25-30
17-14
26-25
26-29
20-21
26-18
31-29
34-11
24-15
16-22
11-22
33-14
182.1Avg total
95.0Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)95.889.1184.9+6.770%
Season at home (5)95.088.2183.2+6.860%
Season away (5)96.690.0186.6+6.680%
Last 10 (10)95.087.1182.1+7.960%
Last 5 (5)91.880.6172.4+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)90.088.4178.4+1.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)98.487.0185.4+11.480%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.0+2.0
BayernValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#14
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A10/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#6
L
36-63
36
63
-27
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
89.0Avg total
42.7Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.385.0+4.573%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.138.884.9+7.382%-
Last 30 away (13)42.942.285.1+0.862%-
Last 10 (10)42.746.389.0-3.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.085.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.048.288.2-8.250%-
vs Similar (2)44.048.592.5-4.50%-
vs Weaker (20)46.736.283.0+10.590%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#7
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#5
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/11
Euroleague
86.0Avg total
46.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.541.088.5+6.477%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.240.289.5+9.075%-
Last 30 away (14)45.441.987.4+3.579%-
Last 10 (10)46.739.386.0+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.077.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)47.839.287.0+8.680%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)47.441.488.8+6.076%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.2
58.1%
55.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.9
37.8%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.816.2
81.8%
77.1%16.2
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.6
55.4%
55.2%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.7
35.4%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.615.2
73.8%
77.1%15.2
They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWLLLWLLWW
Valencia
WWLWWWWLLL
#17
League position
#3
+2.0
Net rating
+7.0
103.8
Offensive rating
106.7
101.8
Defensive rating
99.7
57.5%
Effective FG%
54.5%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
16.1%
Turnover %
8.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.8%
3-point %
35.4%
65.1%
Assist %
52.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 106.7Defence101.8 · 99.7Shooting57.5% · 54.5%3-point %37.8% · 35.4%Ball care16.1% · 8.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bayern wins
6
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
22/01/26Bayern v Valencia93-89
25/11/25Valencia v Bayern90-64
20/03/24Valencia v Bayern70-68
28/12/23Bayern v Valencia85-84
31/01/23Valencia v Bayern82-73
15/12/22Bayern v Valencia97-92
25/03/21Valencia v Bayern83-76
13/11/20Bayern v Valencia90-79
11/03/15Bayern v Valencia60-94
04/03/15Valencia v Bayern80-58
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26ALyon-Villeurbanne99-95
03/11/26HBasketball Braunschweig108-66
01/11/26ARostock67-69
29/10/26ACrvena zvezda73-103
27/10/26HBarcelona84-88
25/10/26HHamburg96-77
22/10/26HDubai91-107
16/10/26ABesiktas87-95
14/10/26AAnadolu Efes101-93
10/10/26AChemnitz87-83
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26AOlimpia Milano84-73
01/11/26AMoraBanc Andorra111-79
30/10/26ABarcelona94-98
27/10/26HFenerbahce86-78
25/10/26HBaskonia84-75
23/10/26AParis104-93
18/10/26HMurcia116-93
15/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv88-91
13/10/26HOlympiacos97-102 OT
11/10/26ABarcelona86-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW30%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%0%50%
Points / game86.886.587.0
Allowed / game94.593.895.0
Point differential-7.7-7.2-8.0
Avg total181.3180.2182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW70%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%60%80%
Points / game95.895.096.6
Allowed / game89.188.290.0
Point differential+6.7+6.8+6.6
Avg total184.9183.2186.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos108280%87.678.7+8.9
2 Crvena zvezda107370%83.275.0+8.2
3 Valencia107370%95.889.1+6.7
4 Olympiacos107370%87.281.6+5.6
5 Fenerbahce107370%80.375.4+4.9
6 Dubai107370%88.084.1+3.9
7 Barcelona107370%91.088.7+2.3
8 Real Madrid106460%97.890.7+7.1
9 Hapoel Tel-Aviv106460%92.187.9+4.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas106460%85.682.3+3.3
11 Partizan105550%79.478.9+0.5
12 Anadolu Efes104640%84.287.1-2.9
13 Besiktas104640%87.790.9-3.2
14 Paris104640%89.092.6-3.6
15 Virtus Bologna104640%85.689.5-3.9
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne104640%88.393.0-4.7
17 Bayern103730%86.894.5-7.7
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv102820%84.794.0-9.3
19 Olimpia Milano101910%81.189.6-8.5
20 Baskonia101910%81.393.1-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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