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Bayern vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 93-89
22-24 31-20 26-26 14-19
Position#14
Record8-15
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game83.6
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#3
Record15-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game85.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24
European cup2025
Meetings · Bayern v Valencia
28 Jan 2027
BAY v VAL
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
BAY93
VAL89
28 Dec 2023
BAY85
VAL84
15 Dec 2022
BAY97
VAL92
13 Nov 2020
BAY90
VAL79
11 Mar 2015
BAY60
VAL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Trier
#12
W
94-83
94
83
+11
89avg 78
H28/12
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
79avg 78
A31/12
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
95-71
95
71
+24
97avg 78
H02/01
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
91-62
91
62
+29
94avg 78
A04/01
BBL
Baskonia
#18
W
96-89
96
89
+7
98avg 78
H07/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
76avg 78
A09/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#4
W
66-63
66
63
+3
64avg 78
H11/01
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
H15/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#11
W
87-59
87
59
+28
no box
A18/01
BBL
Partizan
#15
L
63-67
63
67
-4
51avg 78
H20/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
31-21
20-25
18-16
18-14
22-17
16-24
29-12
31-23
19-18
26-13
19-17
18-21
31-16
22-16
20-9
24-19
14-27
22-23
36-20
23-21
24-28
14-24
19-22
15-12
18-12
13-15
20-24
25-24
15-19
18-21
27-14
18-10
24-17
23-18
22-14
7-18
25-16
18-16
13-17
157.6Avg total
84.2Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.983.6162.4-4.735%
Season at home (12)80.279.2159.5+1.058%
Season away (11)77.488.3165.6-10.99%
Last 10 (10)84.273.4157.6+10.880%
Last 5 (5)76.272.4148.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)78.088.7166.7-10.733%
vs Similar (10)81.880.4162.2+1.440%
vs Weaker (14)85.370.5155.8+14.893%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Partizan
#15
W
86-73
86
73
+13
79avg 88
H30/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
W
116-72
116
72
+44
119avg 88
A02/01
ACB
Manresa
#10
W
103-76
103
76
+27
89avg 88
H04/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
106-89
106
89
+17
104avg 88
A06/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
92-101
92
101
-9
86avg 88
H08/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
70-76
70
76
-6
56avg 88
H10/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
115-73
115
73
+42
107avg 88
H12/01
ACB
Fenerbahce
#4
L
79-82
79
82
-3
no box
A16/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
79-94
79
94
-15
no box
A18/01
ACB
Paris
#16
W
98-84
98
84
+14
99avg 88
H20/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
25-21
22-20
21-10
24-11
13-24
36-18
43-19
30-22
26-20
22-21
25-13
34-20
20-17
23-27
29-25
28-26
14-27
28-23
22-25
25-21
14-15
12-21
19-19
32-25
18-17
34-19
31-12
20-28
14-17
24-21
21-16
24-9
19-34
17-33
19-18
27-16
23-26
20-11
28-31
176.4Avg total
94.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)90.185.3175.5+4.865%
Season at home (12)90.582.1172.6+8.483%
Season away (11)89.788.9178.6+0.845%
Last 10 (10)94.482.0176.4+12.460%
Last 5 (5)88.281.8170.0+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)88.183.5171.6+4.670%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)92.080.9172.9+11.170%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: +7.0+7.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: +7.0+7.0
BayernValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trier
#12
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H28/12
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A31/12
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H02/01
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A04/01
BBL
Baskonia
#18
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H07/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A09/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#4
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H11/01
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H15/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#11
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A18/01
BBL
Partizan
#15
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/01
Euroleague
80.1Avg total
42.7Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.880.6+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.739.880.4+0.942%-
Last 30 away (18)42.538.280.7+4.361%-
Last 10 (10)42.737.480.1+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.474.2+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.846.886.7-7.00%-
vs Similar (10)41.040.681.6+0.450%-
vs Weaker (14)43.134.177.2+9.179%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#15
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H30/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A02/01
ACB
Manresa
#10
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H04/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A06/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H08/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H10/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H12/01
ACB
Fenerbahce
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A16/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A18/01
ACB
Paris
#16
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H20/01
Euroleague
86.6Avg total
44.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.185.0+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.940.786.6+5.367%-
Last 30 away (12)40.841.882.5-1.033%-
Last 10 (10)44.841.886.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.684.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)43.541.785.2+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.040.884.8+3.255%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.920.6
60.8%
60.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.3
37.2%
35.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.614.4
77.4%
78.2%14.4
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 95.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.822.8
57.3%
60.4%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.911.3
35.4%
35.9%33.9
🏀 Free throws21.816.2
74.3%
78.2%16.2
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWWLWWWWW
Valencia
WLLWLLWWWW
#14
League position
#3
+12.5
Net rating
+19.1
112.1
Offensive rating
113.3
99.6
Defensive rating
94.3
58.7%
Effective FG%
55.4%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
18.7%
Turnover %
14.6%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
37.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.2%
3-point %
35.4%
60.9%
Assist %
63.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 113.3Defence99.6 · 94.3Shooting58.7% · 55.4%3-point %37.2% · 35.4%Ball care18.7% · 14.6%Off. rebounds32.8% · 37.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bayern wins
6
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
25/11/25Valencia v Bayern90-64
20/03/24Valencia v Bayern70-68
28/12/23Bayern v Valencia85-84
31/01/23Valencia v Bayern82-73
15/12/22Bayern v Valencia97-92
25/03/21Valencia v Bayern83-76
13/11/20Bayern v Valencia90-79
11/03/15Bayern v Valencia60-94
04/03/15Valencia v Bayern80-58
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/26HPartizan63-67
18/01/26AChemnitz87-59
15/01/26HPanathinaikos85-78
11/01/26HBonn66-63
09/01/26AOlympiacos80-95
07/01/26HBaskonia96-89
04/01/26ABasketball Braunschweig91-62
02/01/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv95-71
31/12/25ARostock85-67
28/12/25HTrier94-83
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/26HParis98-84
18/01/26AReal Madrid79-94
16/01/26AFenerbahce79-82
12/01/26HBasket Zaragoza115-73
10/01/26HUnicaja70-76
08/01/26HMonaco92-101
06/01/26ACrvena zvezda106-89
04/01/26HManresa103-76
02/01/26ABilbao116-72
30/12/25HPartizan86-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL35%
HomeLWWWL58%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %35%58%9%
Points / game78.980.277.4
Allowed / game83.679.288.3
Point differential-4.7+1.0-10.9
Avg total162.4159.5165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW65%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWWLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %65%83%45%
Points / game90.190.589.7
Allowed / game85.382.188.9
Point differential+4.8+8.4+0.8
Avg total175.5172.6178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%58%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv2216673%86.881.0+5.8
2 Fenerbahce2215768%82.179.8+2.4
3 Monaco2315865%92.084.8+7.2
4 Olympiacos2315865%88.983.3+5.6
5 Valencia2315865%90.185.3+4.8
6 Real Madrid2315865%87.782.9+4.7
7 Barcelona2315865%86.784.3+2.3
8 Panathinaikos24141058%86.684.1+2.5
9 Zalgiris Kaunas23131057%88.182.0+6.2
10 Crvena zvezda23131057%86.685.3+1.2
11 Virtus Bologna23111248%82.382.6-0.3
12 Olimpia Milano23111248%85.186.3-1.2
13 Dubai23101343%85.687.9-2.3
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv24101442%88.991.6-2.7
15 Baskonia2381535%87.090.7-3.7
16 Bayern2381535%78.983.6-4.7
17 Paris2271532%89.892.5-2.8
18 Partizan2371630%78.989.0-10.0
19 Lyon-Villeurbanne2361726%78.286.9-8.7
20 Anadolu Efes2461825%78.884.7-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2231261493
Valencia2420261989
← all games of the day
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