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Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 78-86
6-28 19-22 30-20 23-16
Position#4
Record4-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game71.6
SpainACBRound 9
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Valencia v Real Madrid
01 Apr 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
04 Jan 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
22 May 2026
VAL90
MAD105
25 Apr 2026
VAL82
MAD96
11 Nov 2025
VAL89
MAD76
25 Jun 2025
VAL70
MAD81
22 Dec 2024
VAL85
MAD84
10 May 2024
VAL99
MAD93
14 Nov 2023
VAL73
MAD76
12 May 2023
VAL68
MAD79
22 Nov 2022
VAL73
MAD80
10 Oct 2021
VAL79
MAD93
08 Jun 2021
VAL85
MAD67
19 Feb 2021
VAL89
MAD78
01 Nov 2020
VAL78
MAD86
05 Oct 2018
VAL70
MAD88
20 Mar 2018
VAL96
MAD88
15 Oct 2017
VAL82
MAD86
16 Jun 2017
VAL87
MAD76
14 Jun 2017
VAL81
MAD64
06 Oct 2016
VAL75
MAD94
09 Jun 2016
VAL80
MAD82
07 Jun 2016
VAL87
MAD86
28 Feb 2016
VAL94
MAD95
11 Jun 2015
VAL84
MAD90
09 Jun 2015
VAL100
MAD103
15 Feb 2015
VAL87
MAD99
22 Dec 2013
VAL75
MAD82
07 Apr 2013
VAL88
MAD79
11 Mar 2012
VAL83
MAD66
31 Mar 2011
VAL81
MAD72
29 Mar 2011
VAL66
MAD75
19 Feb 2011
VAL59
MAD52
13 Mar 2010
VAL67
MAD78
19 Nov 2008
VAL82
MAD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#11
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A27/09
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H01/10
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A04/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#7
W
93-77
93
77
+16
A08/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H11/10
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H13/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
94-82
94
82
+12
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H24/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A27/10
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A29/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
19-17
13-22
21-12
18-17
19-16
13-14
15-16
18-23
24-24
18-18
25-30
17-19
27-20
24-14
25-24
20-18
13-10
18-21
15-22
19-16
16-17
9-21
22-17
22-27
15-18
30-12
27-25
17-27
22-28
23-19
31-10
19-21
20-12
18-22
21-22
16-17
19-27
23-18
17-22
157.5Avg total
79.7Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.179.0160.1+2.157%
Season at home (3)83.377.0160.3+6.367%
Season away (4)79.580.5160.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)79.777.8157.5+1.960%
Last 5 (5)81.279.6160.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)71.879.5151.2-7.825%
vs Similar (9)84.272.7156.9+11.689%
vs Weaker (16)85.281.0166.2+4.269%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#10
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A02/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
77-93
77
93
-16
H08/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
90-65
90
65
+25
A11/10
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H14/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A16/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H20/10
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A23/10
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H25/10
ACB
Real Betis
#16
W
84-65
84
65
+19
A27/10
ACB
Bayern
#5
W
100-82
100
82
+18
H29/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
13-18
20-19
14-24
19-17
20-27
14-24
24-25
18-12
26-22
20-11
26-20
25-25
24-16
21-16
24-28
19-10
23-21
13-23
15-24
23-25
17-19
21-10
23-23
14-18
13-30
25-16
20-15
18-23
26-11
25-10
24-33
19-17
12-14
26-18
27-16
27-17
22-28
21-16
30-21
160.4Avg total
82.7Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.471.6161.0+17.9100%
Season at home (3)93.079.0172.0+14.0100%
Season away (4)86.866.0152.8+20.8100%
Last 10 (10)82.777.7160.4+5.060%
Last 5 (5)86.676.0162.6+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.079.0151.0-7.00%
vs Similar (6)82.383.2165.5-0.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)88.774.4163.1+14.3100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
ValenciaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#11
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A27/09
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H01/10
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A04/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A08/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H11/10
ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H13/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H24/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A27/10
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A29/10
Euroleague
78.6Avg total
38.9Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.778.2+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.135.575.6+4.679%-
Last 30 away (16)39.141.580.6-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.778.6-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.042.079.0-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)30.035.565.5-5.525%-
vs Similar (9)38.437.776.1+0.844%-
vs Weaker (16)42.440.182.6+2.369%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#10
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A02/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H08/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/10
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H14/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A16/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H20/10
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A23/10
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H25/10
ACB
Real Betis
#16
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A27/10
ACB
Bayern
#5
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H29/10
Euroleague
77.9Avg total
39.4Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.278.0+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.938.381.1+4.671%-
Last 30 away (16)39.036.275.2+2.856%-
Last 10 (10)39.438.577.9+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.478.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.048.075.0-21.00%-
vs Similar (6)40.339.379.7+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.835.476.2+5.467%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.0
55.1%
53.2%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.0
33.2%
36.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.312.5
81.7%
76.6%12.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.2
54.0%
53.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.211.1
38.0%
36.5%33.3
🏀 Free throws15.112.2
80.8%
76.6%12.2
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWWWLLWLWW
Real Madrid
WWWLWLWWLL
#4
League position
#1
+2.1
Net rating
+7.1
109.3
Offensive rating
112.1
107.3
Defensive rating
105.0
53.1%
Effective FG%
55.4%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
17.0%
Turnover %
17.0%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.2%
3-point %
38.0%
59.3%
Assist %
58.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 112.1Defence107.3 · 105.0Shooting53.1% · 55.4%3-point %33.2% · 38.0%Ball care17.0% · 17.0%Off. rebounds29.4% · 27.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Valencia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Valencia wins
5
Real Madrid wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/20ACSKA Moscow75-84
27/10/20AObradoiro CAB78-77
24/10/20HBasket Zaragoza93-84
22/10/20AZalgiris Kaunas94-82
13/10/20HBarcelona66-71
11/10/20HUnicaja66-71
08/10/20AReal Madrid93-77
04/10/20AReal Betis85-95
01/10/20HLyon-Villeurbanne65-63
27/09/20AManresa82-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/20HBayern100-82
27/10/20AReal Betis84-65
25/10/20HEstudiantes93-77
23/10/20ABarcelona72-79
20/10/20HObradoiro CAB84-77
16/10/20AOlimpia Milano70-78
14/10/20HKhimki M.94-85
11/10/20AGran Canaria90-65
08/10/20HValencia77-93
02/10/20ABaskonia63-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game81.183.379.5
Allowed / game79.077.080.5
Point differential+2.1+6.3-1.0
Avg total160.1160.3160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.493.086.8
Allowed / game71.679.066.0
Point differential+17.9+14.0+20.8
Avg total161.0172.0152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%89.471.6+17.9
2 Tenerife660100%86.581.0+5.5
3 Barcelona75271%80.472.9+7.6
4 Joventut Badalona96367%82.979.6+3.3
5 Baskonia85362%83.278.2+5.0
6 San Pablo Burgos74357%88.483.9+4.6
7 Valencia74357%81.179.0+2.1
8 Murcia74357%80.180.9-0.7
9 Unicaja95456%79.877.7+2.1
10 Obradoiro CAB95456%83.281.3+1.9
11 Manresa95456%83.283.0+0.2
12 Estudiantes94544%81.383.0-1.7
13 MoraBanc Andorra73443%78.979.3-0.4
14 Fuenlabrada83538%89.487.4+2.0
15 Real Betis82625%75.580.5-5.0
16 Basket Zaragoza82625%81.988.1-6.2
17 Bilbao61517%82.388.8-6.5
18 Gran Canaria71614%75.190.7-15.6
19 Gipuzkoa81712%68.583.6-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia619302378
Real Madrid2822201686
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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